OPEC+ to Stick to Policy Despite Oil Price Rally

OPEC+ faced American and Indian calls to pump more oil, but it kept its production policy to stabilize the market (Reuters)
OPEC+ faced American and Indian calls to pump more oil, but it kept its production policy to stabilize the market (Reuters)
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OPEC+ to Stick to Policy Despite Oil Price Rally

OPEC+ faced American and Indian calls to pump more oil, but it kept its production policy to stabilize the market (Reuters)
OPEC+ faced American and Indian calls to pump more oil, but it kept its production policy to stabilize the market (Reuters)

OPEC+ will likely stick to existing policies of moderate output increases even as it expects demand to rise to new peaks this year and as oil prices trade near their highest since 2014.

The group, which comprises of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia and produces over 40% of global supply, has faced pressure from top consumers such as the United States and India to pump more to help the economic recovery from the pandemic.

But OPEC+ has refused to adhere to speedier increases of 400,000 barrels per day in March, arguing that the world is facing an energy shortage due to poorly calculated energy transitions to greener fuels by consuming nations.

Reuters quoted several OPEC+ sources as saying that prices had been pushed up by Russia-US tensions. Washington has accused Moscow of planning to invade Ukraine, which Russia denies.

OPEC+ oil output increases are complicated by the fact that several OPEC members have struggled to meet even current monthly targets and lack spare capacity to boost production any further.

Brent crude was trading up one percent above $90 a barrel on Wednesday and touched a seven-year high of $91.70 last week, amid tensions in Europe and the Middle East.

A report prepared by the committee, known as the Joint Technical Committee (JTC), and seen by Reuters, kept the 2022 forecast for world oil demand growth unchanged at 4.2 million bpd, and said demand would hit pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year.

Oil demand was slightly above 100 million bpd in 2019 but was hammered by the pandemic in 2020, when OPEC+ cut its production by a record 10 million bpd or 10 percent of global supply.

The report still said the world would face a crude surplus in 2022 reaching 1.3 million bpd, slightly less than its previous forecast of 1.4 million bpd.

The remaining cuts stand at 2.6 million bpd and OPEC+ hopes to wind them down before the end of the year.



Asia Shares Jump after US Stocks Soared to Historic Gains When Trump Paused Most of His Tariffs

A screen displays a trading chart on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City after the White House announced a 90-day pause & lowered 10% reciprocal tariff for other countries, US, April 9, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
A screen displays a trading chart on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City after the White House announced a 90-day pause & lowered 10% reciprocal tariff for other countries, US, April 9, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
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Asia Shares Jump after US Stocks Soared to Historic Gains When Trump Paused Most of His Tariffs

A screen displays a trading chart on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City after the White House announced a 90-day pause & lowered 10% reciprocal tariff for other countries, US, April 9, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
A screen displays a trading chart on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City after the White House announced a 90-day pause & lowered 10% reciprocal tariff for other countries, US, April 9, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

World markets soared on Thursday, with Japan’s benchmark jumping more than 9%, as investors welcomed US President Donald Trump’s decision to put his sharp tariff hikes on hold for 90 days, though he excluded China from the reprieve.

In early trading, Germany’s DAX initially gained more than 8%. It was up 7.5% at 21,141.53 a bit later, while the CAC 40 in Paris gained 7.2% to 7,360.23. Britain's FTSE 100 surged 5.4% to 8,090.02.

However, US futures edged lower and oil prices also declined. Chinese shares saw more moderate gains, given yet another jump in the tariffs each side is imposing on each others’ exports.

The future for the S&P 500 was down 0.4% while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged 0.2% lower.

Analysts had expected the global comeback given that US stocks had one of their best days in history on Wednesday as investors registered their relief over Trump’s decision.

On Thursday, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 jumped 9.1% to finish at 34,609.00, zooming upward as soon as trading began.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 soared 4.5% to 7,709.60. South Korea’s Kospi gained 6.6% to 2,445.06. Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 2.4% to 20,750.65. The Shanghai Composite rose 1.2% to 3,223.64.

Investors went “from fear to euphoria,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a commentary.

“It’s now a manageable risk, especially as global recession tail bets get unwound, and most of Asia’s exporters breathe a massive sigh of relief,” he said, referring to the tariffs on China, which Trump has kept.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 surged 9.5%, an amount that would count as a good year for the market. It had been sinking earlier in the day on worries that Trump’s trade war could drag the global economy into a recession. But then came the words investors worldwide had been waiting and wishing for.

“I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE,” Trump said, saying more than 75 countries are negotiating on trade and not retaliating against his latest increases in tariffs.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later told reporters that Trump was pausing his so-called ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on most of the country’s biggest trading partners, but maintaining his 10% tariff on nearly all global imports.

China was a huge exception, though, with Trump saying tariffs are going up to 125% against its products. The trade war is not over, and an escalating battle between the world’s two largest economies can create plenty of damage.

US stocks are also still below where they were just a week ago, when Trump announced worldwide tariffs on what he called “Liberation Day.”

But on Wednesday, at least, the focus on Wall Street was on the positive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shot to a gain of 2,962 points, or 7.9%. The Nasdaq composite leaped 12.2%. The S&P 500 had its third-best day since 1940.

The relief came after doubts had crept in about whether Trump cared about the financial pain the US stock market was taking because of his tariffs. The S&P 500, the index that sits at the center of many 401(k) accounts, came into the day nearly 19% below its record set less than two months ago.

That surprised many professional investors who had long thought that a president who used to crow about records for the Dow under his watch would pull back on policies if they sent markets reeling.

Wednesday’s rally pulled the S&P 500 index away from the edge of what’s called a “bear market.” That’s what professionals call it when a run-of-the-mill drop of 10% for US stocks, which happens every year or so, graduates into a more vicious fall of 20%. The index is now down 11.2% from its record.

Wall Street also got a boost from a relatively smooth auction of US Treasurys on Wednesday. Earlier jumps in Treasury yields had rattled the market, indicating increasing levels of stress. Trump said he had been watching the bond market “getting a little queasy.”

Higher yields on Treasurys put pressure on the stock market and push upward on rates for mortgages and other loans for US households and businesses.

US Treasury yields historically have dropped — not risen — during scary times for the market because the bonds are usually seen as some of the safest possible investments. This week’s sharp rise had brought the yield on the 10-year Treasury back to where it was in late February.

After approaching 4.50% in the morning, the 10-year yield pulled back to 4.34% following Trump’s pause and the Treasury’s auction. That’s still up from 4.26% late Tuesday and from just 4.01% at the end of last week.

In energy trading, benchmark US crude fell 81 cents to $61.54 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, declined 93 cents to $64.55 a barrel.

In currency trading, the US dollar fell to 146.77 Japanese yen from 147.38 yen. The euro cost $1.0986, up from $1.0954.