Worries over Ukraine Invasion Pummel US Stocks, Lift Oil Prices

File: Both the Dow and S&P finished at new peaks on Friday and also posted their fourth consecutive weekly gains. AFP/Angela Weiss
File: Both the Dow and S&P finished at new peaks on Friday and also posted their fourth consecutive weekly gains. AFP/Angela Weiss
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Worries over Ukraine Invasion Pummel US Stocks, Lift Oil Prices

File: Both the Dow and S&P finished at new peaks on Friday and also posted their fourth consecutive weekly gains. AFP/Angela Weiss
File: Both the Dow and S&P finished at new peaks on Friday and also posted their fourth consecutive weekly gains. AFP/Angela Weiss

Wall Street stocks tumbled and oil prices surged Friday as White House warnings of a possibly imminent Russian invasion of Ukraine reverberated through financial markets.

Markets lurched during a briefing by US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, who said a Russian invasion could "begin at any time," including during the Beijing Winter Olympics, AFP said.

"If a Russian attack on Ukraine proceeds, it is likely to begin with aerial bombing and missile attacks that could obviously kill civilians," Sullivan said. "Any American in Ukraine should leave as soon as possible, and in any event in the next 24 to 48 hours."

Investors had become less worried about an imminent invasion of Ukraine in recent days following Western diplomacy with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

But stocks tumbled after Sullivan's remarks, with the S&P 500 ultimately losing 1.9 percent.

Analysts said the sell-off was likely heightened by the timing just before the weekend, with investors shifting into a "risk-off" mode to reduce their exposure for the two days when there is no trading.

"The Russia-Ukraine tensions have hovered over already shaky investor sentiment," said John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management. "Investors have been counting on a diplomatic resolution, but recent developments indicate this may be wishful thinking and therefore, not fully priced into the markets."

Most industrial sectors finished lower on Wall Street following the midday White House announcement.

An exception was energy, with oil giants Chevron and ExxonMobil winning more than two percent as crude prices jumped on worries that stiff sanctions on Russia could prompt the country, a major crude and natural gas exporter, to curtail investment or weaponize their energy assets.

Shares of weapons makers also moved higher, including Lockheed Martin, which gained 2.8 percent and Northrop Grumman, which rose 4.5 percent.

Earlier in Europe, London equities slid after economic data pointed to a December slowdown amid the Omicron variant of Covid-19.

The UK economy grew by a record 7.5 percent last year to rebound from the pandemic crash, but shrank by a modest 0.2 percent in the final month, official data showed.

In the eurozone, Frankfurt and Paris stocks banked lower, mirroring Asia after overnight Wall Street losses.

- Key figures around 2150 GMT -
New York - Dow: DOWN 1.4 percent at 34,738.06 (close)

New York - S&P 500: DOWN 1.9 percent at 4,418.64 (close)

New York - Nasdaq: DOWN 2.8 percent at 13,791.15 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 7,661.02 (close)

Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN 0.4 percent at 15,425.12 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 1.3 percent at 7,011.60 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.0 percent at 4,153.23 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.1 percent at 24,906.66 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.7 percent at 3,462.95 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1351 from $1.1428 late Thursday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3564 from $1.3557

Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.64 pence from 84.29 pence

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 115.48 yen from 116.01 yen

Brent North Sea crude: UP 3.3 percent at $94.44 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 3.6 percent at $93.10 per barrel



IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
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IMF Upgrades Outlook for Surprisingly Resilient World Economy to 3.3% Growth this Year

FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) logo at its headquarters in Washington, D.C., US, November 24, 2024. REUTERS/Benoit Tessier//File Photo/File Photo

An unexpectedly sturdy world economy is likely to shrug off President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies this year, thanks partly to a surge of investment in artificial intelligence in North America and Asia, the International Monetary Fund said in a report out Monday.

The 191-nation lending organization expects that global growth will come in at 3.3% this year, same as in 2025 but up from the 3.1% it had forecast for 2026 back in October, The Associated Press reported.

The world economy "continues to show notable resilience despite significant US-led trade disruptions and heightened uncertainty,'' IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and his colleague Tobias Adrian wrote in a blog post accompanying the latest update to the fund's World Economic Outlook.

The US economy, benefiting from the strongest pace of technology investment since 2001, is forecast to expand 2.4% this year, an upgrade on the fund's October forecast and on expected 2025 growth — both 2.1%.

China — the world's second-largest economy — is forecast to see 4.5% growth, an improvement on the 4.2% the IMF had predicted October, partly because a trade truce with the United States has reduced American tariffs on Chinese exports.

India, which has supplanted China as the world's fastest-growing major economy, is expected to see growth decelerate from 7.3% last year (when it was juiced by an unexpectedly strong second half) to a still-healthy 6.4% in 2026.


France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
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France Says Still Loyal to Syria Kurds, Hails Ceasefire

Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri
Syrian army personnel celebrate as government forces enter Raqqa city following the withdrawal of Syrian Democratic Forces, in Raqqa, Syria, January 18, 2026. REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

France on Monday welcomed a ceasefire between the Syrian government and Kurdish-led forces and stressed it remained loyal to the latter who spearheaded the battle against the ISIS group.

"France is faithful to its allies," the foreign ministry said, urging all sides to respect the ceasefire deal, which will also see the Kurdish administration and forces integrate into the state after months of stalled negotiations.


Lucid in 2026: 'Made in Saudi Arabia' Label Goes Global

Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
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Lucid in 2026: 'Made in Saudi Arabia' Label Goes Global

Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 
Mark Winterhoff, interim CEO of Lucid (Company) 

Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as a global launchpad for Lucid, the electric-vehicle manufacturer, not merely as a consumer market, but as a manufacturing and export hub serving markets worldwide.

Speaking from Riyadh during his participation in the Future Minerals Forum, Mark Winterhoff, interim chief executive officer of Lucid — whose largest shareholder is Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) — outlined the company’s next phase, which focuses on disciplined expansion, resilient supply chains, and a strategic shift from ultra-luxury vehicles toward a broader consumer segment.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, Winterhoff described the forum as a critical platform for the electric-vehicle industry, given its heavy reliance on minerals and rare earth elements, particularly those used in magnets. He praised Saudi Arabia’s leadership in this area, noting its direct impact on multiple industrial sectors. Winterhoff oversees the execution of Lucid’s strategy and leads teams responsible for product design, engineering, and manufacturing efficiency.

Saudi Arabia as an Export Base

Winterhoff said Lucid’s Saudi factory - the company’s first manufacturing facility outside the United States - was designed from the outset as a major export platform, not solely to meet domestic demand.

Under current plans, only 13 to 15 percent of production will be allocated to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) markets, with the majority destined for export. He confirmed that Lucid remains on track to begin production at the facility by the end of this year, specifically in December.

In January 2025, Lucid joined the “Made in Saudi Arabia” program, enabling it to use the national manufacturing label on vehicles produced locally. The company is the first automotive original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to receive the designation, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s push to localize advanced industries, deepen partnerships with global manufacturers, and establish itself as a hub for electric-vehicle production and exports.

Strong Growth Momentum

Winterhoff said Lucid posted strong growth in both production and deliveries in 2025. Annual production more than doubled, while deliveries rose 55 percent year-on-year. The fourth quarter recorded particularly strong results in the United States and the Middle East, especially Saudi Arabia.

He noted that Lucid was the only electric-vehicle manufacturer in the US to report higher deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2025, at a time when many competitors saw sharp declines.

According to company figures, Lucid produced about 18,378 vehicles in 2025, up 104 percent from 2024, while deliveries reached 15,841 vehicles. In the fourth quarter alone, production climbed to 8,412 vehicles — up 116 percent from the previous quarter — while deliveries rose 31 percent to 5,345 vehicles.

While Lucid currently operates in the luxury segment, its most significant strategic shift involves developing a mid-size vehicle priced at around $50,000. Winterhoff said this model, aimed at a much wider consumer base, will form the backbone of production at the Saudi plant and enable the facility to reach its targeted maximum capacity.

Supply Chain Challenges and Outlook

Winterhoff identified supply chains - particularly for minerals, rare earth elements, and semiconductors - as ongoing challenges for the industry. He said Lucid faced repeated difficulties over the past year in sourcing magnets and securing stable semiconductor supplies. Forums such as the Future Minerals Forum, he added, are part of the solution, helping build a more stable and sustainable resource ecosystem.

Looking ahead, Winterhoff expressed confidence in Lucid’s trajectory. The company currently leads US electric-vehicle sales in the luxury sedan segment and ranks third when internal combustion vehicles are included. With the launch of its mid-priced model, Lucid expects higher production volumes and, in 2026, plans to enter the autonomous robotaxi market, an emerging sector it views as a key source of future growth.