Egypt Says Russian-Ukrainian Tensions Increase Wheat Market Volatility

A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
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Egypt Says Russian-Ukrainian Tensions Increase Wheat Market Volatility

A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)

Egypt is working on several preventive measures to hedge the volatility of the wheat market amid the current tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the two largest wheat exporters in the world.

Minister of Supply and Internal Trade Ali al-Moselhi warned that the tensions are increasing the uncertainty in the market.

The official Middle East News Agency quoted Moselhi saying that the government has adopted several measures to secure wheat reserves and diversify its import origins.

He stated that the supply season for the strategic crop will start in April, adding that there would be a surplus and the strategic reserve will even last until November.

Egypt's wheat strategic reserve is safe and will suffice for more than five months, assured the minister.

"A finance ministry committee has been formed to study hedging policies, and discussions will be completed at the beginning of next month so we can decide if we should go forward with it or not," he explained.

A potential invasion of Ukraine by neighboring Russia could lead to interruptions to the flow of grain out of the Black Sea region, adding upward pressure on prices.

Russia has repeatedly denied it is planning such an invasion.

Data from two regional traders show that Egypt, one of the world's top wheat importers, bought about 50 percent of its wheat from Russia and about 30 percent from Ukraine last year.

The General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC), the state's grains buyer, has diversified wheat sources and recently adopted Latvian wheat as a new import origin in November.

The government is also considering overhauling its decades-old food subsidy program, which provides a daily bread allowance to nearly two-thirds of the population.

According to the Finance Ministry, the program costs the government about $5.5 billion, with higher wheat prices expected to add $763 million to the 2021/2022 budget.

In December, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said Egypt is "no longer isolated from global inflationary pressures," adding that it was time to "revise" the program.

Abbas al-Shenawy, an agriculture ministry official, had previously announced that Egypt planted 3.62 million feddans of wheat for the current 2022 season.

He explained that the cultivated area might increase slightly during the coming period, but will not exceed 3.7 million feddans.

The regular wheat planting season began in mid-November and ended in January.

Egypt imported 5.5 million tons of wheat in 2021, while the total domestic supply amounted to 3.5 million tons.

Last November, the Egyptian cabinet approved a procurement price of 820 Egyptian pounds per ardeb for wheat bought by the government from local farmers ahead of planting for the new season.

The new procurement price at 23.5 percent purity wheat was approved after a complete study by the agriculture and supply ministries, based on global prices and local costs per feddan unit of land.



SABIC Returns to Profit in Q3 Driven by Revenue Growth

SABIC reported a net profit of SAR 1 billion ($266 million) for the three months ending September 30. (SPA)
SABIC reported a net profit of SAR 1 billion ($266 million) for the three months ending September 30. (SPA)
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SABIC Returns to Profit in Q3 Driven by Revenue Growth

SABIC reported a net profit of SAR 1 billion ($266 million) for the three months ending September 30. (SPA)
SABIC reported a net profit of SAR 1 billion ($266 million) for the three months ending September 30. (SPA)

Saudi Basic Industries Corp (SABIC), one of the world’s largest petrochemical firms, returned to profit in the third quarter, recovering from a loss a year earlier, helped by higher revenue and core earnings.

SABIC, 70% owned by Aramco, reported a net profit of SAR 1 billion ($266 million) for the three months ending September 30, according to a disclosure to the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul).

This is a major improvement from a loss of SAR 2.87 billion during the same period last year.

SABIC CEO Abdulrahman Al-Fageeh said: “The increase in the third quarter’s profits compared to the same quarter last year is attributable to higher average selling prices of some key products, and a decrease in total losses on non-continuing operations.”

Analysts had projected that SABIC would achieve profits of up to SAR 1.7 billion.

SABIC attributed its growth mainly to higher average selling prices, which were partially offset by a slight decline in sales volumes.

The company’s net profit was primarily driven by an increase in operating income of about SAR 797 million, thanks to improved profit margins despite higher operating costs. Gains also came from selling its specialized business that produces plastic sheets and films, along with foreign exchange benefits in the third quarter of 2024.

Profit was also driven by a decrease in losses from discontinued operations by around SAR 3.3 billion, mainly due to the fair value assessment of Saudi Iron and Steel Company (Hadeed), classified as a discontinued operation while awaiting the closure of a previously announced sale.

This was partly offset by a drop in financing income of SAR 390 million from the revaluation of equity derivatives, which are non-cash items.