Egypt Says Russian-Ukrainian Tensions Increase Wheat Market Volatility

A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
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Egypt Says Russian-Ukrainian Tensions Increase Wheat Market Volatility

A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)
A wheat farmer in Egypt. (Reuters file photo)

Egypt is working on several preventive measures to hedge the volatility of the wheat market amid the current tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the two largest wheat exporters in the world.

Minister of Supply and Internal Trade Ali al-Moselhi warned that the tensions are increasing the uncertainty in the market.

The official Middle East News Agency quoted Moselhi saying that the government has adopted several measures to secure wheat reserves and diversify its import origins.

He stated that the supply season for the strategic crop will start in April, adding that there would be a surplus and the strategic reserve will even last until November.

Egypt's wheat strategic reserve is safe and will suffice for more than five months, assured the minister.

"A finance ministry committee has been formed to study hedging policies, and discussions will be completed at the beginning of next month so we can decide if we should go forward with it or not," he explained.

A potential invasion of Ukraine by neighboring Russia could lead to interruptions to the flow of grain out of the Black Sea region, adding upward pressure on prices.

Russia has repeatedly denied it is planning such an invasion.

Data from two regional traders show that Egypt, one of the world's top wheat importers, bought about 50 percent of its wheat from Russia and about 30 percent from Ukraine last year.

The General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC), the state's grains buyer, has diversified wheat sources and recently adopted Latvian wheat as a new import origin in November.

The government is also considering overhauling its decades-old food subsidy program, which provides a daily bread allowance to nearly two-thirds of the population.

According to the Finance Ministry, the program costs the government about $5.5 billion, with higher wheat prices expected to add $763 million to the 2021/2022 budget.

In December, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said Egypt is "no longer isolated from global inflationary pressures," adding that it was time to "revise" the program.

Abbas al-Shenawy, an agriculture ministry official, had previously announced that Egypt planted 3.62 million feddans of wheat for the current 2022 season.

He explained that the cultivated area might increase slightly during the coming period, but will not exceed 3.7 million feddans.

The regular wheat planting season began in mid-November and ended in January.

Egypt imported 5.5 million tons of wheat in 2021, while the total domestic supply amounted to 3.5 million tons.

Last November, the Egyptian cabinet approved a procurement price of 820 Egyptian pounds per ardeb for wheat bought by the government from local farmers ahead of planting for the new season.

The new procurement price at 23.5 percent purity wheat was approved after a complete study by the agriculture and supply ministries, based on global prices and local costs per feddan unit of land.



Trump Taps Scott Bessent for Treasury

(FILES) Scott Bessent, head of Key Square Group and former chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, attends the second day of the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, July 12, 2017 in Sun Valley, Idaho.(Photo by Drew ANGERER / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP)
(FILES) Scott Bessent, head of Key Square Group and former chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, attends the second day of the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, July 12, 2017 in Sun Valley, Idaho.(Photo by Drew ANGERER / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP)
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Trump Taps Scott Bessent for Treasury

(FILES) Scott Bessent, head of Key Square Group and former chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, attends the second day of the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, July 12, 2017 in Sun Valley, Idaho.(Photo by Drew ANGERER / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP)
(FILES) Scott Bessent, head of Key Square Group and former chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management, attends the second day of the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, July 12, 2017 in Sun Valley, Idaho.(Photo by Drew ANGERER / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP)

President-elect Donald Trump on Friday said he will nominate prominent investor Scott Bessent as US Treasury secretary, a key cabinet position with vast influence over economic, regulatory and international affairs.

"I am most pleased to nominate Scott Bessent to serve as the 79th Secretary of the Treasury of the United States," Trump said in a statement released on Truth Social. "Scott is widely respected as one of the world's foremost international investors and geopolitical and economic strategists."

Wall Street has been closely watching who Trump will pick, especially given his plans to remake global trade through tariffs and extend and potentially expand the raft of tax cuts enacted during his first term, Reuters reported
The choice came after days of deliberations by Trump as he sorted through a shifting list of candidates. Bessent spent day after day at Trump's Mar-a-Lago home in Florida providing economic advice, sources said, a proximity to the president-elect that may have helped him prevail.
Other names that had been floated included Apollo Global Management Chief Executive Marc Rowan and former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh. Investor John Paulson had also been a leading candidate, but dropped out, while Wall Street veteran Howard Lutnick, another contender, was appointed as head of the Commerce Department.
Bessent, who did not immediately respond to a request for comment, has advocated for tax reform and deregulation, particularly to spur more bank lending and energy production, as noted in a recent opinion piece he wrote for The Wall Street Journal.
The market's surge after Trump's election victory, he wrote, signaled investor expectations of "higher growth, lower volatility and inflation, and a revitalized economy for all Americans."
"Bessent has been on the side of less aggressive tariffs," said Oxford Economics' Ryan Sweet, adding that picking him makes the steep tariffs Trump proposed on the campaign trail less likely.
Bessent follows other financial luminaries who have taken the job, including former Goldman Sachs executives Robert Rubin, Hank Paulson and Steven Mnuchin, Trump's first Treasury chief. Janet Yellen, the current secretary and first woman in the job, previously chaired the Federal Reserve and White House Council of Economic Advisers.
Republican US Senator Lindsey Graham from South Carolina, Bessent's home state, said in a statement: "President Trump's economic agenda is in good hands with Scott Bessent. I look forward to working closely with Scott and President Trump to lower inflation and create the golden age of prosperity for the American people."