Jordan to Push Ahead with IMF-Backed Reforms

General view of Amman, Jordan. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Amman, Jordan. (Reuters file photo)
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Jordan to Push Ahead with IMF-Backed Reforms

General view of Amman, Jordan. (Reuters file photo)
General view of Amman, Jordan. (Reuters file photo)

Jordan will accelerate the momentum of IMF-backed structural reforms in 2022 to help a nascent recovery gather pace in an economy hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic and regional turmoil.

Jordan’s Finance Minister Mohammed al-Ississ told lawmakers ahead of a parliamentary session that passed the $15 billion 2022 budget that the country could ill afford any delay in reforms.

"The process of reform and dealing with the distortions and imbalances is more pressing and necessary than ever," he said in a speech ahead of a vote on the budget.

The International Monetary Fund said in January after the kingdom completed the third review of an ambitious four-year $1.5 billion program that the country's progress in reforms was helping maintain macroeconomic stability while supporting an emerging recovery.

The top official announced that the return to 2 percent growth last year after a steep 1.5 percent contraction in 2020, the worst in decades from the impact of the pandemic, showed "signs of economic recovery.”

Growth is expected to reach 2.7 percent in 2022, signaling an end to the recession and a return to pre-pandemic levels.

Ississ, who was praised by the IMF for the “sound financial reforms” that closed tax loopholes, expanded the tax base, and achieved the biggest revenue gains in years, said that the public budget deficit decreased by JD453 million to reach 5.4 percent of GDP.

The total in 2021 compared to seven percent in the previous year.

The IMF said the deficit is scheduled to drop to 3.1 percent of the GDP in the 2022 budget.

During a six-day session, several parliamentarians criticized the government for its failure to reduce the public debt, which amounted to JD29 billion, or nearly 91 percent of the GDP.

They called for more government jobs to soak unemployment, which hit record levels of about 24 percent.

Ississ blamed the rise in public debt on increased borrowings over the past decade to cover higher security costs, at a time when the region witnessed unrest with the closure of borders with Syria and Iraq, which were exacerbated by a large influx of refugees.

Debt service would fall in 2022 for the first time in years with cheaper financing that replaced commercial borrowing with soft loans from major donors, the minister said.

He said that Jordan's improved outlook helped maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging market ratings were downgraded.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.