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UAE's Non-Oil Foreign Trade Hits $517 Billion

UAE non-oil exports achieve a new record, with a growth of 33% from 2020 (WAM)
UAE non-oil exports achieve a new record, with a growth of 33% from 2020 (WAM)
TT
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UAE's Non-Oil Foreign Trade Hits $517 Billion

UAE non-oil exports achieve a new record, with a growth of 33% from 2020 (WAM)
UAE non-oil exports achieve a new record, with a growth of 33% from 2020 (WAM)

UAE's non-oil foreign trade reached 1.9 trillion dirhams ($517 billion) in 2021, representing a 27 percent increase from 2020 and an 11 percent increase from 2019.

In all areas of trade, including exports, imports, and reexports, growth was consistent.

The value of non-oil exports reached a record high of 354 billion dirhams ($96.3 billion), exceeding 300 billion dirhams ($81.6 billion) for the very first time in its history, representing a growth of 33.3 percent over the December 2020 figure and 47.3 percent over the December 2019 figure.

A statement from UAE Minister of Economy Abdulla Bin Touq Al Marri said that the UAE's foreign trade has passed the point of recovery from the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on global trade and has entered an advanced stage of growth and prosperity today, with an increase of more than 11 percent over pre-pandemic levels.

“The all-encompassing nature of the positive results of import and export activities and re-exports in all the emirates of the country reflects a systematic and integrated growth based on flexible and highly efficient trade policies and sustainable development measures.”

Minister of State for Foreign Trade Thani Al Zeyoudi said that trade activity in the UAE saw an acceptable growth average over the past two years. As foreign trade grows, it is showing more positivity today.

Re-exports were valued at 521.3 billion dirhams ($141.8 billion) in 2021, showing a growth of 27.7 percent compared to 2020 and 1.6 percent compared to 2019.

Meanwhile, the total value of the country's imports during 2021 amounted to about 1 trillion dirhams ($272 billion), showing a growth of 23.8 percent over the year 2020, and about 7 percent from 2019.

China ranked first as the country's largest trading partner in 2021. India ranked second, which accounts for 8.7 percent of the country's total non-oil trade, followed by Saudi Arabia in the third position with a contribution of 6.6 percent.

The fourth went to the United States, whose trade exchange has grown by 8.1 percent since 2020. Iraq ranked in the fifth place.

About the country's export destinations, India emerged as the top destination. KSA became second largest recipient of the UAE exports.

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IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
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IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)

The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.

Georgieva said the US economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.

With inflation moving closer to the US Federal Reserve's target, and data showing a stable labor market, the Fed could afford to wait for more data before undertaking further interest rate cuts, she said. Overall, interest rates were expected to stay "somewhat higher for quite some time," she said.

The IMF will release an update to its global outlook on Jan. 17, just days before Trump takes office. Georgieva's comments are the first indication this year of the IMF's evolving global outlook, but she gave no detailed projections.

In October, the IMF raised its 2024 economic growth forecasts for the US, Brazil and Britain but cut them for China, Japan and the euro zone, citing risks from potential new trade wars, armed conflicts and tight monetary policy.

At the time, it left its forecast for 2024 global growth unchanged at the 3.2% projected in July, and lowered its global forecast for 3.2% growth in 2025 by one-tenth of a percentage point, warning that global medium-term growth would fade to 3.1% in five years, well below its pre-pandemic trend.

"Not surprisingly, given the size and role of the US economy, there is keen interest globally in the policy directions of the incoming administration, in particular on tariffs, taxes, deregulation and government efficiency," Georgieva said.

"This uncertainty is particularly high around the path for trade policy going forward, adding to the headwinds facing the global economy, especially for countries and regions that are more integrated in global supply chains, medium-sized economies, (and) Asia as a region."

Georgieva said it was "very unusual" that this uncertainty was expressed in higher long-term interest rates even though short-term interest rates had gone down, a trend not seen in recent history.

The IMF saw divergent trends in different regions, with growth expected to stall somewhat in the European Union and to weaken "a little" in India, while Brazil was facing somewhat higher inflation, Georgieva said.

In China, the world's second-largest economy after the United States, the IMF was seeing deflationary pressure and ongoing challenges with domestic demand, she said.

Lower-income countries, despite reform efforts, were in a position where any new shocks would hit them "quite negatively," she said.

Georgieva said it was notable that higher interest rates needed to combat inflation had not pushed the global economy into recession, but headline inflation developments were divergent, which meant central bankers needed to carefully monitor local data.

The strong US dollar could potentially result in higher funding costs for emerging market economies and especially low-income countries, she said.

Most countries needed to cut fiscal spending after high outlays during the COVID pandemic and adopt reforms to boost growth in a durable way, she said, adding that in most cases this could be done while protecting their growth prospects.

"Countries cannot borrow their way out. They can only grow out of this problem," she said, noting that the medium-growth prospects for the world were the lowest seen in decades.