Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Resumes Growth

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
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Saudi Non-oil Private Sector Resumes Growth

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)
Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand. (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector managed to regain its strength in February, as improved business confidence and customer demand led to faster expansions in production, new business and purchases.

Cost inflation pressures eased for the second month in a row, while expectations for future production rose to their highest levels since the beginning of 2021.

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 56.2 in February from 53.2 in January, marking the first increase since last September.

According to the index, the improvement was driven by a spurt in new business growth after concerns about the Omicron variant led to a slowdown at the beginning of the year.

Overall sales picked up at the quickest rate since last November, despite a further slight fall in export demand, while activity growth moved closer to the peak levels seen towards the end of 2021.

New orders grew at the fastest rate in three months after dropping to the slowest rate of expansion in 15 months in January. Export orders, however, declined for a second month, due to greater competition in foreign markets, while the Omicron wave continued to curb demand in some places.

“The latest PMI figures confirmed that the impact of the Omicron wave on the non-oil economy was only mild,” said David Owen, economist at survey compiler IHS Markit.

He added: “Signs of improving market conditions meant that business optimism was at its highest since January 2021, as firms expect demand growth to remain robust and the impact of the pandemic to subside. Reflecting this optimism, companies raised purchasing activity at the fastest rate since May 2019, aided by a strong improvement in supply chain performance.”



Anger Against Trump Is Forecast to Cost the US International Visitors 

Replicas of the Statue of Liberty are displayed for sale in a tourist shop in lower Manhattan on March 28, 2025, in New York City. (AFP)
Replicas of the Statue of Liberty are displayed for sale in a tourist shop in lower Manhattan on March 28, 2025, in New York City. (AFP)
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Anger Against Trump Is Forecast to Cost the US International Visitors 

Replicas of the Statue of Liberty are displayed for sale in a tourist shop in lower Manhattan on March 28, 2025, in New York City. (AFP)
Replicas of the Statue of Liberty are displayed for sale in a tourist shop in lower Manhattan on March 28, 2025, in New York City. (AFP)

Anger over the Trump administration’s tariffs and rhetoric will likely cause international travel to the US to fall even further than expected this year, an influential travel forecasting company said Tuesday.

Tourism Economics said it expects the number of people arriving in the US from abroad to decline by 9.4% this year. That’s almost twice the 5% drop the company forecast at the end of February.

At the beginning of the year, Tourism Economics predicted a booming year for international travel to the US, with visits up 9% from 2024.

But Tourism Economics President Adam Sacks said high-profile lockups of European tourists at the US border in recent weeks have chilled international travelers. Potential visitors have also been angered by tariffs, Trump's stance toward Canada and Greenland, and his heated White House exchange with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

“With each policy development, each rhetorical missive, we’re just seeing unforced error after unforced error in the administration,” Sacks said. “It has a direct impact on international travel to the US.”

The decline will have consequences for airlines, hotels, national parks and other sites frequented by tourists.

Tourism Economics expects travel from Canada to plummet 20% this year, a decline that will be acutely felt in border states like New York and Michigan but also popular tourist destinations like California, Nevada and Florida.

The US Travel Association, a trade group, has also warned about Canadians staying away. Even a 10% reduction in travel from Canada could mean 2.0 million fewer visits, $2.1 billion in lost spending and 14,000 job losses, the group said in February.

Other travel-related companies have noted worrying signs. At its annual shareholder meeting on Monday, Air Canada said bookings to the US were down 10% for the April-September period compared to the same period a year ago.

Sacks said he now expects foreign visitors to spend $9 billion less in the US compared to 2024, when international tourism to the country rose 9.1%.

“The irony is that the tariffs are being put in place to help right the trade deficit, but they're harming the trade balance by causing fewer international travelers to come and spend money here,” Sacks said.

Sacks said international arrivals had been getting close to returning to 2019 numbers, before the coronavirus pandemic halted most travel. Now he thinks they won't get back to that level until 2029.