UAE, Germany Boost Hydrogen Collaboration

ADNOC and German officials stand for the family photo during the signing ceremony (WAM)
ADNOC and German officials stand for the family photo during the signing ceremony (WAM)
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UAE, Germany Boost Hydrogen Collaboration

ADNOC and German officials stand for the family photo during the signing ceremony (WAM)
ADNOC and German officials stand for the family photo during the signing ceremony (WAM)

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) signed a new memorandum of understanding (MoU) and joint study agreements (JSA) with counterparts in Germany to boost and deepen collaboration in clean hydrogen.

The agreements were announced during the visit of the German Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, Robert Habeck, to the UAE.

They build upon the longstanding Emirati-German Energy Partnership and the Ministerial Emirati-German Hydrogen Task Force that was inaugurated in November 2021.

UAE's Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology and ADNOC Managing Director Sultan al-Jaber said the agreements would help enable and accelerate the global energy transition.

ADNOC has ambitious growth plans for clean hydrogen, a critical tool in efforts to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors, which we are actively delivering to meet demand in Asia and, through partnerships, Europe.

"We remain committed to working with like-minded partners across the public and private sectors to implement tangible projects that will supply the world's energy needs while reducing carbon emissions and the carbon intensity of the energy that supports our everyday lives," asserted Jaber.

ADNOC seeks to enter European markets through Germany. It is expected to accelerate further the delivery of UAE's Hydrogen Leadership Roadmap, which has identified Germany as a critical export market to provide up to 25 percent of the country's imported clean hydrogen.

As part of its ambitious decarbonization drive, the German government's National Hydrogen Strategy expects clean hydrogen demand of up to 3 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa) by 2030, of which around 60 percent is expected to be imported. Notably, demand may grow to over 11 Mtpa by 2050.

Habeck underlined the importance of the Emirati-German cooperation for advancing on climate action, saying: "The accelerated scale-up of hydrogen supply chains is key for our transition to sustainable energy and for achieving the decarbonization goals in line with our commitments under the Paris Agreement. Today's agreements signal a decisive milestone towards meeting our climate action ambitions."

Meanwhile, a spokesman for the German Economy Ministry told Reuters that Habeck did not speak with ADNOC about increasing oil production,

"We haven't talked about oil except OPEC. In this respect, the appeal that the production volume is increased in such a way that the people of the world can pay for this oil as long as we need it," Habeck told journalists after a meeting with the company.

During the minister's visit, cooperation agreements and low-carbon demonstration cargos were signed, including Individual contracts with German companies Aurubis, RWE, GETEC, and STEAG to explore opportunities for collaboration in low-carbon and renewable hydrogen derivatives, including the execution of the first low-carbon (blue) ammonia demonstration cargos, produced by Fertiglobe, from the UAE to Germany in 2022 for use in a variety of applications.

Fertiglobe is a critical strategic partner for ADNOC in ammonia, and ADNOC will provide low-carbon ammonia to its partners in Germany that Fertiglobe produces at its Fertil plant in the Ruwais Industrial Complex in Abu Dhabi.

The sales represent a further milestone in the planned scale-up of blue ammonia production capabilities in Abu Dhabi.

ADNOC and its partners invest in a new world-scale 1 million metric tonnes per annum blue ammonia project at TA'ZIZ in Ruwais, subject to regulatory approvals.

ADNOC is also exploring with its partners various opportunities in green hydrogen.

Memorandum of Understanding between ADNOC, HHLA, and AD Ports Group: ADNOC entered into an MoU with HHLA, a Hamburg-based logistics and transportation company specializing in port throughput and container and transport logistics, and AD Ports Group to work on realizing Hamburg's ambition to become a hydrogen import hub in Germany.

Under the agreement, the parties will explore opportunities to increase the capabilities of the technology currently used to transport hydrogen using organic liquids to help meet the growing global demand for hydrogen transportation.



Euro Zone Poised to Enter Trade Quagmire as Trump Wins

A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
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Euro Zone Poised to Enter Trade Quagmire as Trump Wins

A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)

As Trump 2.0 becomes a reality, Europe is poised to enter a new geopolitical and trade quagmire with its biggest trading partner.

Donald Trump's victory may harm Europe's economy as proposed 10% US tariffs risk hitting European exports such as cars and chemicals, eroding Europe's GDP by up to 1.5% or about €260 billion.

Analysts warn of European Central Bank (ECB) rate cuts, euro weakness, and a recession risk.

According to several economic analyses, there is broad agreement that Trump's proposed 10% universal tariff on all US imports may significantly disrupt European growth, intensify monetary policy divergence, and strain key trade-dependent sectors such as autos and chemicals.

The long-term effects on Europe's economic resilience could prove even more significant if tariffs lead to protracted trade conflicts, prompting the European Central Bank (ECB) to respond with aggressive rate cuts to cushion the impact, according to Euronews.

Trump's proposed across-the-board tariff on imports, including those from Europe, could profoundly impact sectors such as cars and chemicals, which rely heavily on US exports.

Data from the European Commission shows that the European Union exported €502.3 billion in goods to the US in 2023, making up a fifth of all non-European Union exports.

European exports to the US are led by machinery and vehicles (€207.6 billion), chemicals (€137.4 billion), and other manufactured goods (€103.7 billion), which together comprise nearly 90% of the bloc's transatlantic exports.

ABN Amro analysts, including head of macro research Bill Diviney, warn that tariffs “would cause a collapse in exports to the US,” with trade-oriented economies such as Germany and the Netherlands likely to be hardest hit.

According to the Dutch bank, Trump's tariffs would shave approximately 1.5 percentage points off European growth, translating to a potential €260 bn economic loss based on Europe's estimated 2024 GDP of €17.4 tn.

Should Europe's growth falter under Trump's tariffs, the European Central Bank (ECB) may be compelled to respond aggressively, slashing rates to near zero by 2025.

In contrast, the US Federal Reserve may continue raising rates, leading to “one of the biggest and most sustained monetary policy divergences” between the ECB and the Fed since the euro's inception in 1999.

Dirk Schumacher, head of European macro research at Natixis Corporate & Investment Banking Germany, suggests that a 10% tariff increase could reduce GDP by approximately 0.5% in Germany, 0.3% in France, 0.4% in Italy, and 0.2% in Spain.

Schumacher warns that “the euro area could slide into recession in response to higher tariffs.”

According to Goldman Sachs' economists James Moberly and Sven Jari Stehn, the broad tariff would likely erode eurozone GDP by approximately 1%.

Goldman Sachs analysts project that a 1% GDP loss translates into a hit to earnings per share (EPS) for European firms by 6-7 percentage points, which would be sufficient to erase expected EPS growth for 2025.