Egypt Asserts New IMF Program Won't Entail New Burdens on Citizens

General view of an Egyptian local market - AP
General view of an Egyptian local market - AP
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Egypt Asserts New IMF Program Won't Entail New Burdens on Citizens

General view of an Egyptian local market - AP
General view of an Egyptian local market - AP

Egypt's Finance Minister Mohamed Maait said that the new program with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) aims to maintain the economic reform program and ensure the sustainability of growth rates, asserting that it won't entail any additional burdens on citizens.

Egypt kicked off talks with IMF officials to consult on a new program to maintain the stability of economic and financial conditions and enhance comprehensive structural reforms.

The program also aims to enhance the ability of the Egyptian economy to withstand external shocks and the possible repercussions of the conflict in Ukraine which will result in doubling global pressures on countries' economies and disrupt supply chains.

The minister said in a press statement that the program seeks to maintain a declining path of the deficit and GDP debt rates by moving forward with greater opportunities for the private sector in the development process, leading to enhancing its contributions to economic activity.

Maait pointed out that the successive certificates of confidence that the national economy has received from international financing and rating institutions confirm that Egypt is on the right path.

The government is closely following the repercussions of the Russian-Ukrainian crisis on global prices and supply chains, which coincide with a significant and accelerating rise in interest rates globally, said Maait.

He added that the global economic environment is witnessing successive changes that impact the economies of various countries, especially emerging ones, and in light of this, the Egyptian government is keen to take all necessary measures and policies to ensure macroeconomic stability.

The Ukrainian war impacted Egypt's economy, and Cairo is one of the largest importers of grain globally, which put pressure on the local currency, coinciding with the massive withdrawal of the dollar from the country after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

The Central Bank raised its key interest rate for the first time since 2017, citing inflationary pressures triggered by the coronavirus pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine, which hiked oil prices to record highs.

Head of HC Securities and Bonds Hussein Choucri said the recent decisions of the Central Bank of Egypt had a good resonance with the business community in Egypt and international institutions and significant foreign investors in the stock market and debt instruments.

He explained in a press statement that these decisions positively impact the market, encourage exports, and help rationalize imports.

Choucri believes the adoption of these decisions was inevitable in light of the changes taking place at a global level due to the Russian-Ukrainian war.

He referred to the new measures announced by the government to rationalize expenditures, noting that following a rational fiscal policy indicates that no new projects to preserve foreign exchange reserves and increase foreign debt should be implied, even if it led to a drop in the rate of expected growth in GDP.

Choucri expects foreign investors to start entering into stocks and debt instruments as soon as they believe the Egyptian Pound will stabilize at this level.

The expert indicated that the Egyptian Pound stands at 18.5 to the dollar and is not expected to fall below this level.



Oil Prices Rise as Investors Eye US Election Fallout

FILE PHOTO: Oil pump jacks are seen at the Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas deposit in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina, January 21, 2019.  REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Oil pump jacks are seen at the Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas deposit in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina, January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo
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Oil Prices Rise as Investors Eye US Election Fallout

FILE PHOTO: Oil pump jacks are seen at the Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas deposit in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina, January 21, 2019.  REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Oil pump jacks are seen at the Vaca Muerta shale oil and gas deposit in the Patagonian province of Neuquen, Argentina, January 21, 2019. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo

Oil prices rose on Thursday following a sell-off triggered by the US presidential election, as risks to oil supply from a Trump presidency and a hurricane building in the Gulf Coast outweighed a stronger US dollar and higher inventories.
Brent crude oil futures were up 65 cents, or 0.87%, at $75.57 per barrel by 0400 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 54 cents or 0.75% to $72.23, Reuters said.
Concerns around a Trump presidency squeezing oil supply from Iran and Venezuela as well as an approaching storm "more than offset the post-election impact of a stronger US dollar and ... higher-than-expected US inventories," Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.
Trump's election had initially triggered a sell-off that pushed oil prices down by more than $2 as the US dollar rose to its highest level since September 2022. But the front-month contracts pared losses to settle down 61 cents for Brent and 30 cents for WTI by the end of the Wednesday session.
"Historically, Trump's policies have been pro-business, which likely supports overall economic growth and increases demand for fuel. However, any interference in the Fed's easing policies could lead to further challenges for the oil market," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.
"With the bumper surge in the dollar hovering at near 4-month highs, oil seems to be talking massive headwinds in the aftermath of the US election results."
The upside to oil markets may be limited to the short to medium term as OPEC is expected to increase supply capacity in January, while historical trends do not suggest sanctions will prevent India and China from continuing to purchase oil from Russia or Iran, Sachdeva said.
Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his "maximum pressure policy" of sanctions on Iranian oil. That could cut supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to an Energy Aspect estimate.
Trump in his first term had also put in place harsher sanctions on Venezuelan oil, measures that were briefly rolled back by the Biden administration but later reinstated.
In North America, Hurricane Rafael intensified into a category 3 hurricane on Wednesday, and about 17% of crude oil production or 304,418 barrels per day in the US Gulf of Mexico had been shut in response, the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.
US crude inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels to 427.7 million barrels in the week ending on Nov. 1, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, compared with expectations for a 1.1 million-barrel rise.