Qatar’s Finance Minister Warns of Surge in Food Prices Globally

Qatar’s finance minister speaks at the Doha Forum. (QNA)
Qatar’s finance minister speaks at the Doha Forum. (QNA)
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Qatar’s Finance Minister Warns of Surge in Food Prices Globally

Qatar’s finance minister speaks at the Doha Forum. (QNA)
Qatar’s finance minister speaks at the Doha Forum. (QNA)

Qatar’s finance minister said on Sunday that energy prices should be fair for both producers and consumers.

“We need stable and fair prices that can be supported by the supplier as well as the buyer. This is what our interest is in the long term,” Ali bin Ahmed Al Kuwari said at the Doha Forum international conference.

He underlined the impact of the Ukrainian crisis and sanctions on Russia on the hike in the prices of food and energy products.

He made his remarks during his participation at a panel discussion, “Economic Crises and Coordinated Global Recovery Efforts: Towards An Inclusive Multilateralism,” with the participation of International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva.

Al Kuwari called for resolving the Ukrainian crisis through peaceful means, saying Doha was seeking to provide peaceful solutions.

The minister underlined the current shortage of oil supply in global markets estimated at two million barrels a day, which led to the increase in prices.

He also noted that the world is witnessing a shortage of gas supplies, and that it would take years to rebalance the market.

“Qatar is committed to long-term contracts and would need four to five years to raise its production capacity by 60 percent.”

He said the world needs to join hands and think about future generations, especially at the level of sustainability in various fields.

“Everyone is responsible for maintaining a more sustainable world for future generations,” he stressed.

Georgieva, for her part, said that the comprehensive multilateralism is the approach for addressing the crises.

She pointed to the shock suffered by the world, which is still recovering from the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the war in Ukraine.

“The war has ravaged various economic expectations as the world hoped to reduce inflation rates and increased growth to find themselves in an opposite situation.”

The geopolitical tensions create great pressure on recovery efforts, she added, noting that it is important not to lose sight of the group that will pay the price, namely the poor.

Georgieva deemed sanctions the correct approach.

“The number of displaced people from Ukraine has amounted to three million,” she noted, stressing the need to end this war.



US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
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US Consumers to Bargain Hunt in Annual ‘Black Friday’ Spree

 A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)
A family eats lunch near a store advertising a Black Friday sale at the Pentagon City Mall in Arlington, Virginia, on November 22, 2023. (AFP)

US shoppers are coming out in force this holiday season, but the festiveness is being tempered by inflationary pressures that have abated but not completely faded.

After the sticker shock during the latter stages of the pandemic, a familiar frustration has settled in towards consumer prices that remain broadly elevated even if they have stopped rising rapidly.

Americans are "ready to open their wallets this holiday season," said the Conference Board ahead of Black Friday -- the day after Thanksgiving, which this year, falls on November 28 -- that traditionally sees US stores kick off the Christmas shopping season with steep discounts.

"US consumers plan to spend more than last year, but inflation reduces how far their dollars can go."

In this environment, nobody expects to pay the full price for items.

"Holiday shoppers are likely to increase their budgets this year versus last year but remain selective and are looking for discounts," said a note from Morgan Stanley.

The investment bank's survey found that 35 percent planned to spend more this holiday season. But nearly two-thirds would skip a purchase if an item is not adequately discounted, meaning a price cut of more than 20 percent.

"It's gonna be a good year, but I don't think that growth is going to be spectacular because consumers are still under pressure," predicted Neil Saunders of GlobalData.

Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's two percent long-term target, rising in October to 2.6 percent on an annual basis from 2.4 percent in September. But that's significantly below the peak level of 9.1 percent in June 2022.

Other recent economic data has been solid. Unemployment remains low at 4.1 percent, while a preliminary GDP reading for the third quarter came in at 2.8 percent.

But Joe Biden's presidency coincided with about a 20 percent rise in consumer prices as Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns gave way to supply chain bottlenecks.

That inflation played a central role in the 2024 US presidential election, with Republican Donald Trump defeating Biden's appointed Democratic successor, Vice President Kamala Harris.

"There is still a perception among consumers that things are quite difficult," Saunders said. "So people are being quite cautious and careful in their spending."

- Tariff hit? -

How Trump's looming presidency will affect inflation remains to be seen. Industry groups have warned that tariffs favored by the Republican could reignite pricing pressures.

The National Retail Federation projected that a Trump tariff proposal floated during the campaign would dent US consumer budgets by as much as $78 billion annually.

But while tough potential trade actions are already preoccupying Washington trade groups, tariffs are not on consumer radars for the 2024 season, according to Saunders.

One challenge this year will be the shortness of the season.

Black Friday falls at the latest possible date on November 29, shortening the stretch between Turkey Day and Christmas on December 25.

But the impact of that dynamic on 2024 sales should not be overstated. Retailers in recent years have pulled the holiday shopping season ahead, with some vendors launching online "Black Friday" promotions as early as October.

Among the companies that have already begun discounts: the big-box chains Walmart and Target, electronics giant Best Buy and home-improvement retailer Home Depot.

Amazon officially launched "Black Friday Week" on Thursday.

NRF has projected holiday spending growth of between 2.5 and 3.5 percent in the 2024 season compared with the year-ago period, to as much as $989 billion over the two-month period.

Economists with the trade group have pointed to an easing of gasoline prices as a supportive factor.

Online sales are projected to grow as much as nine percent this season, extending a long-term trend. Black Friday itself has become a big occasion for online shopping, along with "Cyber Monday" three days later.

"Over time, we've moved from a period where it was just Black Friday, and maybe a little of the weekend, to it being a period of discounting that starts very early," said Saunders. "It's seasonal discounts."

There has been a diminishment of "doorbuster" sales that are known to draw hordes of waiting crowds, sometimes resulting in injury or worse.

Instead, increasing numbers of consumers are spreading out their purchases or opting to click through Black Friday promotions at home.