Saudi Deposit Promotes Stability of Egypt’s Foreign Exchange Market

The Saudi move comes following the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound. (Photo: AFP)
The Saudi move comes following the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound. (Photo: AFP)
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Saudi Deposit Promotes Stability of Egypt’s Foreign Exchange Market

The Saudi move comes following the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound. (Photo: AFP)
The Saudi move comes following the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound. (Photo: AFP)

With Saudi Arabia’s announcement of a $5 billion deposit with the Central Bank of Egypt on Wednesday, sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that this move would enhance the stability of the foreign exchange market and consolidate the Egyptian economy amid severe pressure on the Egyptian pound.

In a statement published by the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), Riyadh said that the deposit comes as “an extension of the well-established historical ties and close bonds of cooperation between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the sisterly Arab Republic of Egypt, and an affirmation of the depth of the deep-rooted relations.”

The SPA added that the Kingdom - in implementation of the directives of Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman - deposited $5 billion with the Central Bank of Egypt, confirming the distinguished bilateral ties at all levels.

Meanwhile, Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly held a meeting on Wednesday with Dr. Essam bin Saeed, Saudi Minister of State for Shura Council Affairs, and his accompanying delegation.

The Cabinet said in a statement that the governments of Egypt and Saudi Arabia had signed an agreement for the Saudi Public Investment Fund to invest in Egypt.

According to the statement, the agreement aims to encourage the Saudi PIF to invest in Egypt and contribute to achieving the country’s goals in attracting investments in foreign currencies. The total volume of trade exchange between Saudi Arabia and Egypt in 2020 exceeded about $5.5 billion, and rose to $7.5 billion this year.

Bin Saeed pointed to large investment opportunities that would be presented to the Egyptian market through Egypt’s sovereign fund or partnership with the private sector.

Observers told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Saudi move came following the recent devaluation of the Egyptian pound against the US dollar and other challenges, including fears of shortage and increasing prices of basic commodities, especially wheat and grain, as well as high oil prices that affect the state budget.



China’s October New Lending Tumbles More than Expected despite Policy Support

 A masked woman walks at a fashion boutique displaying posters to promote Singles' Day discounts at a shopping mall in Beijing, Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. (AP)
A masked woman walks at a fashion boutique displaying posters to promote Singles' Day discounts at a shopping mall in Beijing, Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. (AP)
TT

China’s October New Lending Tumbles More than Expected despite Policy Support

 A masked woman walks at a fashion boutique displaying posters to promote Singles' Day discounts at a shopping mall in Beijing, Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. (AP)
A masked woman walks at a fashion boutique displaying posters to promote Singles' Day discounts at a shopping mall in Beijing, Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. (AP)

New bank lending in China tumbled more than expected to a three-month low in October, as a ramp-up of policy stimulus to buttress a wavering economy failed to boost credit demand.

Chinese banks extended 500 billion yuan ($69.51 billion) in new yuan loans in October, down sharply from September and falling short of analysts' expectations, according to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBOC).

Economists polled by Reuters had predicted a fall in new yuan loans to 700 billion yuan last month from 1.59 trillion yuan the previous month and against 738.4 billion yuan a year earlier.

"Corporate financing demand remains weak due to poor profitability," said Luo Yunfeng, an economist at Huaxin Securities. "Credit demand may not pick up soon despite recent central bank policy measures."

The PBOC does not provide monthly breakdowns but Reuters calculated the October figures based on the bank's Jan-October data released on Monday, compared with the Jan-September figure.

The PBOC said new yuan loans totaled 16.52 trillion yuan for the first ten months of the year.

Household loans, including mortgages, dropped to 160 billion yuan in October from 500 billion yuan in September, while corporate loans dipped to 130 billion yuan from 1.49 trillion yuan, according to Reuters calculations based on central bank data.

Chinese policymakers have been working to arrest further weakness in an economy stuttering in recent months from a prolonged property market downturn and swelling local government debt.

Among their goals is to tackle the side-effects from a mountain of debt left from previous stimulus dating back to the 2008-2009 global financial crisis.

China's central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said China will step up counter-cyclical adjustment and affirm a supportive monetary policy stance, a central bank statement showed on Monday, citing a report Pan delivered to the top legislative body last week.

In late September, the central bank unveiled an aggressive stimulus package including rate cuts, and Chinese leaders pledged "necessary fiscal spending" to bring the economy back on track to meet a growth target of about 5%.

MORE STEPS ON THE CARDS

China unveiled a 10 trillion yuan debt package on Friday to ease local government financing strains and stabilize flagging economic growth, as it faces fresh pressure from the re-election of Donald Trump as US president.

New measures planned will include sovereign bonds issuance to replenish the coffers of big state banks, and policies to support purchase of idle land and unsold flats from developers, Finance Minister Lan Foan said.

Analysts at OCBC Bank expect the central bank to deliver another cut in banks' reserve requirement ratio in November or December to support the planned bond issuance.

China watchers are skeptical the steps will produce a near-term boost in economic activity as most of the fresh funds will be used to reduce local government debt, but China's central bank said it will continue supportive monetary policy to create a favorable monetary and financial environment for economic growth.

The PBOC also said it will study and revise money supply statistics to better reflect the real situation of the country's money supply.

Trump's election win could also prompt a stronger fiscal package in expectations of more economic headwinds for China. Trump threatened tariffs in excess of 60% on US imports of Chinese goods, rattling China's industrial complex.

Broad M2 money supply grew 7.5% from a year earlier, central bank data showed, above analysts' forecast of 6.9% in the Reuters poll. M2 grew 6.8% in September from a year ago.

Outstanding yuan loans grew 8.0% in October from a year earlier. Analysts had expected 8.1% growth, the same pace as in September.

The outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy, slowed to a record low of 7.8% in October, from 8.0% in September. Acceleration in government bond issuance could help boost growth in TSF.

TSF includes off-balance sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies, and bond sales.

In October, TSF fell to 1.4 trillion yuan from 3.76 trillion yuan in September. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected TSF of 1.55 trillion yuan.