Turkey’s Inflation Hits 61% Climbing to New 20-Year High

A man carries his shopping bags at a street market in Istanbul, Turkey, January 4, 2022. (Reuters)
A man carries his shopping bags at a street market in Istanbul, Turkey, January 4, 2022. (Reuters)
TT

Turkey’s Inflation Hits 61% Climbing to New 20-Year High

A man carries his shopping bags at a street market in Istanbul, Turkey, January 4, 2022. (Reuters)
A man carries his shopping bags at a street market in Istanbul, Turkey, January 4, 2022. (Reuters)

Yearly inflation in Turkey hit 61.14% on Monday, climbing to a new 20-year high and deepening a cost of living crisis for many households.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said consumer prices rose by 5.46% in March compared with the previous month. Yearly inflation was up from 54.44% in February.

The highest yearly price increase was in the transportation sector, at 99.12%, while the increase in food prices was 70.33%, according to the data. It was the biggest year-on-year increase since March 2002.

Rising prices are part of an economic crisis exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has seen a surge in gas, oil and grain prices.

Turkey’s runaway inflation also follows a series of interest rate cuts late last year, in line with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s opposition to high borrowing costs in a bid to boost growth, investment and exports. In contrast to established economic thinking, the president insists that high rates cause inflation.

The central bank cut rates by 5 percentage points between September and December but they have remained unchanged at 14% this year.

The lira, which lost 44% of its value against the US dollar last year, plunged to a record high of 18.41 against the greenback in December. The currency’s performance has fueled inflation in the import-reliant Turkish economy.

In an effort to soften the blow on households, the government has implemented tax cuts on basic goods and has adjusted electricity tariffs.



S&P Expects Saudi Issuances to Continue Domestically, Internationally Driven by Vision 2030

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
TT

S&P Expects Saudi Issuances to Continue Domestically, Internationally Driven by Vision 2030

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)

S&P Global Ratings anticipates that Saudi issuers will continue to tap local and international capital markets to finance projects under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030. The agency expects debt levels to remain manageable, with private sector debt-to-GDP ratios staying below 100% over the next 12 to 24 months.

According to S&P’s report, “Saudi Capital Market Overview: Rising Issuance Levels Are Just the Start”, Saudi companies have dominated issuance activity in recent years. Over the past five years, Saudi entities, including government-related entities, have accounted for roughly two-thirds of non-governmental US dollar-denominated issuances. However, the report predicted that banks will play an increasingly significant role in the future.

The report noted that Saudi issuers have raised over $130 billion in US dollar-denominated issuances over the last five years. This adds to $144 billion raised domestically in Saudi riyals during the same period, driven by Vision 2030 initiatives.

While the government accounts for about 60% of these issuances, the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 has created expansive opportunities in the non-oil economy and banking system, paving the way for future growth, the report underlined.

S&P highlighted the development of Saudi Arabia’s mortgage-backed securities market as a key factor to watch over the next two years. As of the end of September 2024, Saudi banks held more than $175 billion in mortgage financing, most of which carried fixed interest rates but were funded through short-term resources, primarily local deposits.

With declining interest rates, some of these mortgages could re-enter circulation, enabling banks to sell them in the secondary market without incurring losses. This would allow banks to offload mortgage financing from their balance sheets, provided legal challenges surrounding the mortgage-backed securities issuance are resolved or mitigated sufficiently to attract local and international investor interest.

According to the report, developing the mortgage-backed securities market could significantly enhance banks’ financial capacity, enabling them to better support the implementation of Vision 2030. This could occur through existing infrastructure, such as the Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company, or via direct issuances in the capital markets.