India Is Not Moving to Curb Wheat Exports, Official Says

A farmer harvests wheat on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Thursday, April 28, 2022. (AP)
A farmer harvests wheat on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Thursday, April 28, 2022. (AP)
TT

India Is Not Moving to Curb Wheat Exports, Official Says

A farmer harvests wheat on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Thursday, April 28, 2022. (AP)
A farmer harvests wheat on the outskirts of Jammu, India, Thursday, April 28, 2022. (AP)

India is not moving to curb wheat exports, the top official at the food ministry said on Wednesday, following an earlier report that the world's second biggest producer of the grain was mulling restrictions after a heat wave damaged crops.

Food and farm ministry officials said on Wednesday that India can still easily export at least 8 million tons of wheat in the current fiscal year that began in April, and that the government would only consider export curbs after any sudden, unexpected surge in overseas shipments.

"There is no move to curb wheat exports, as the country has sufficient stocks of wheat," Food Secretary Sudhanshu Pandey told Reuters.

Bloomberg reported earlier that India was considering the move after hot weather curbed its production prospects, feeding concern over world supplies sparked by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has driven soaring food inflation.

The report, citing an unnamed source, said top officials were discussing the move and will recommend it to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who will then make the decision.

India, which has seen five consecutive years of record harvests, has cut its wheat output forecast to 105 million tons from a February estimate of 111.3 tons as a sudden sharp rise in temperatures in mid-March cut crop yields.

On Tuesday, addressing the Indian diaspora in Germany, Modi said Indian farmers are coming forward to sell wheat on the world market as many countries struggle to meet supplies.

"Big nations are worried about food security, and at this time India's farmers are coming forward to feed the world," Modi said.



Gold Hits One-month High as Prospects for Fed Cuts Rise on Softer US Inflation Data

Gold prices firmed near one-month highs hit earlier on Thursday - File Photo
Gold prices firmed near one-month highs hit earlier on Thursday - File Photo
TT

Gold Hits One-month High as Prospects for Fed Cuts Rise on Softer US Inflation Data

Gold prices firmed near one-month highs hit earlier on Thursday - File Photo
Gold prices firmed near one-month highs hit earlier on Thursday - File Photo

Gold prices firmed near one-month highs hit earlier on Thursday after a softer-than-expected core US inflation print increased chances of two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, with the first likely in June.

Spot gold gained 0.3% to $2,704.56 per ounce as of 0934 GMT after hitting its highest level since Dec. 12 earlier in the session. US gold futures gained 0.7% to $2,736.50.

Further gains in safe-haven bullion were, however, limited as Hamas and Israel reached a deal for a ceasefire in Gaza after 15 months of conflict and heightened Middle East tensions, according to Reuters.

Gold rallied to multiple-record highs and is still up nearly 50% since the war began in October 2023.

"Although de-escalating geopolitical tensions can dilute demand for safe havens, bullion is still holding on to most of its post-CPI gains, suggesting that the Fed rate outlook remains the primary driver for gold prices," said Exinity Group chief market analyst Han Tan.

"Gold should find itself in a supportive environment, so long as market participants can hold on to expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025."

Interest rate futures traders are pricing in near-even odds that the Fed would reduce rates twice by the end of this year, with the first reduction to come in June. Before the inflation data on Wednesday, futures were only pricing a single quarter-point interest-rate cut in 2025.

Core US inflation increased 0.2% in December after rising 0.3% for four straight months.

Central bank officials noted US inflation continues to ease after Wednesday's data, but foresee uncertainty due to anticipated Trump administration policies.

Investors are worried that the potential for tariffs after Donald Trump re-enters the White House next week could stoke inflation and limit the Fed's ability to lower rates to a greater extent.

Non-yielding bullion, a hedge against inflation, loses its appeal with higher interest rates.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.7% to $30.87 per ounce and platinum firmed 0.6% to $944.23, while palladium fell 0.8% to $953.49.