Iran Prepares for Protests Amid Fears of Nuclear Negotiations Failure

Protests in Ahwaz against water shortages (File photo: Reuters)
Protests in Ahwaz against water shortages (File photo: Reuters)
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Iran Prepares for Protests Amid Fears of Nuclear Negotiations Failure

Protests in Ahwaz against water shortages (File photo: Reuters)
Protests in Ahwaz against water shortages (File photo: Reuters)

Iranian authorities issued "secret directives" to the security and the judiciary units to prepare for public protests after an increase in food prices due to fears of the collapse of the Vienna talks, Iranian sources told Asharq Al-Awsat.

The sources said that the security services, police, riot control, the judiciary, and public prosecution offices are on alert to face possible disturbances within the next three months.

A judicial source said that the instructions refer to "more severe protests than the previous public protests," with growing public discontent, especially after increasing prices of essential food commodities.

The military and security services, especially the riot control, police stations, and checkpoints, increased their daily and night patrols at the entrances and exits of cities.

On Monday, education staff employees launched protests in dozens of Iranian cities.

The Teachers' Trade Association said that the authorities continued to arrest teachers and participants in the International Workers' Day rallies, which coincides with Teacher's Day in Iran.

Negotiations collapse

On March 11, last-minute Russian demands threatened to derail the near-complete process of reviving the Iran nuclear deal.

After the Russian issue was overcome, the negotiations faced another obstacle when Tehran demanded the US removes the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) from the list of terrorist organizations.

A source said that Iranian officials know they will not reach an agreement in the short term, and the current government prefers to continue negotiations without signing anything.

Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian and his Irish counterpart Simon Coveney held a telephone conversation on Wednesday.

Abdollahian said that the US has to adopt a realistic approach and modify former US President Donald Trump's illegal behavior, and take steps in the direction of developing political initiatives.

The ministry said that Iran will continue the path of diplomacy until achieving a final agreement in the Vienna talks.

In addition to developing and proposing political initiatives, Iran has shown that it has the necessary will to reach a "good," "strong," and "lasting" agreement in the Vienna talks, the top diplomat was quoted as saying.

Coveney described Iran's initiatives in the Vienna talks as commendable, highlighting the necessity of reaching a "good" agreement through the diplomatic process that would be capable of safeguarding the interests of Tehran's interests and the other parties.

Inflation

Meanwhile, despite objections among the middle and poor classes, inflation hit the Iranian markets, which was reflected in the chants during the state rallies on the occasion of al-Quds Day.

Conservative members of the parliament criticized the cabinet last month following the new wave of inflation.

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi ordered the regulatory authorities to set new measures that regulate markets and control prices.

State-owned media reported that the monetary decisions of the government led to a decline in annual inflation from about 60 percent to 46 percent in March.

Last month, the government announced it was revoking its subsidized exchange rate system for imports.

However, observers are concerned after essential commodities, especially bread, continue their upward trajectory.

The Jamejam website, affiliated with state television, quoted the Director General of the Basic Commodity Price Control at the Ministry of Agriculture as saying the news of the bread price increase was a "rumor."

Reports stated that the price of one piece of "baguette" rose from 3,000 rials to 10,000 rials. The cost of a 40kg bag of flour reached 600,000 rials, up from 260,000 rials.

The IRGC-affiliated Fars news agency said the government increased the prices of flour and pasta following a rise in global inflation due mainly to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

It is estimated that every Iranian citizen consumes half a kilogram of pasta a month.

The US dollar was selling for 28,250 rials, according to the foreign exchange site Bonbast.com.

Water Crisis

An official source, who spoke on anonymity, said the authorities fear the water crisis will coincide with deteriorating living conditions and basic goods.

A judicial source also confirmed instructions from the higher bodies regarding the possibility of protests erupting due to water scarcity in the country.

The Ministry of Energy announced that water levels in dams had decreased 60 percent before the summer season.

The Executive Director of the Water and Electricity in Ahwaz Governorate, Abbas Sadrian, said that the province's dams have 4.7 billion cubic meters, equivalent to 36 percent of the total volume of dams explaining that 64 percent of the dams' capacity is empty.

Experts warn of the dire consequences of the drought for the second year in a row in the provinces affected by the government's water policies.

Based on these estimates, officials expect the water protests to erupt in the Arab-majority province of Ahwaz in the south.

An activist said the authorities launched an intense campaign through Friday prayer sermons in the affected areas, fearing that public discontent would lead to protests.



Iran FM Says ‘Security Breach’ Led to Khamenei’s Assassination

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addresses a special session of the Conference on Disarmament at the United Nations, aside of US-Iran talks in Geneva, Switzerland, February 17, 2026. (Reuters)
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addresses a special session of the Conference on Disarmament at the United Nations, aside of US-Iran talks in Geneva, Switzerland, February 17, 2026. (Reuters)
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Iran FM Says ‘Security Breach’ Led to Khamenei’s Assassination

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addresses a special session of the Conference on Disarmament at the United Nations, aside of US-Iran talks in Geneva, Switzerland, February 17, 2026. (Reuters)
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi addresses a special session of the Conference on Disarmament at the United Nations, aside of US-Iran talks in Geneva, Switzerland, February 17, 2026. (Reuters)

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the February 28 strike that killed former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei revealed a security breach at the highest levels of power that probably “still exists.”

“Within seconds, three attacks targeted the command center in the Pasteur region, which holds the offices and headquarters of Iran’s Supreme Leader,” Araghchi said in a wide-ranging television interview with conservative pro-government media activist Javad Moghayi.

A number of senior Iranian political and military figures were killed on the first day of the US-Israel war, including Khamenei.

“The crucial point, in my view, is that (the US and Israel) knew about these meetings,” Araghchi said. “That possibly points to a security breach that existed and probably still exists.”

He said the problem was not limited to infiltration. “Sometimes it also involves influencing the direction of decision-making processes,” Araghchi said, adding: “I don't wish to say any more about that publicly.”

The FM also said he did not meet with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in person. “Only a handful of people have met him.”

He explained that at the time of the strike, Ali Khamenei was in his office, the Strategic Council for Foreign Relations was holding its weekly meeting, and the Defense Council had also convened.

“They knew that the Supreme Leader (Ali Khamenei) was in the office every morning. As I understand it, the command center meeting was also being held two or three buildings away, and they chose exactly that moment. An Intelligence Ministry meeting was also taking place at that time,” he said.

Araghchi said he told President Masoud Pezeshkian on the morning of February 28 that “the atmosphere is war.” He said that he then met with Khamenei aide Ali Asghar Mir Hejazi shortly after Israel carried out the deadly attack on a Tehran compound where Khamenei was having his high-level meeting.

Araghchi said that during the war, he and his colleagues remained at the Foreign Ministry. “During the 40-day war, my deputies, colleagues, and I did not leave the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building. There was no safe place,” he said.

Araghchi also revealed that he met with Pezeshkian three days after the outbreak of the war, consulted Ali Larijani five days later, and held an official meeting on the sixth day in a safe location.


Russian President Putin Meets with North Korean FM in Latest High-Level Diplomacy

Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui shake hands during a meeting at the Kremlin, in Moscow, Russia, 19 July 2026. (EPA/Alexander Shcherbak / Sputnik / Kremlin Pool)
Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui shake hands during a meeting at the Kremlin, in Moscow, Russia, 19 July 2026. (EPA/Alexander Shcherbak / Sputnik / Kremlin Pool)
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Russian President Putin Meets with North Korean FM in Latest High-Level Diplomacy

Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui shake hands during a meeting at the Kremlin, in Moscow, Russia, 19 July 2026. (EPA/Alexander Shcherbak / Sputnik / Kremlin Pool)
Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui shake hands during a meeting at the Kremlin, in Moscow, Russia, 19 July 2026. (EPA/Alexander Shcherbak / Sputnik / Kremlin Pool)

Russian President Vladimir Putin met with North Korea’s foreign minister and thanked Pyongyang for supporting his war against Ukraine, in the latest high-level diplomacy between the countries, Russian state media reported.

The visit by North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui comes without an obvious occasion, such as a multilateral diplomatic event or state anniversary, and has raised speculation that she may be coordinating a possible visit to Russia by North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

North Korean state media said Choe departed for Russia on Saturday at the invitation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov but has yet to comment on the purpose of her visit.

Yoon Min Ho, spokesperson for South Korea’s Unification Ministry, which handles affairs related to North Korea, said Monday that Seoul was closely monitoring the meetings but declined to assess whether Moscow and Pyongyang were discussing another summit between their leaders.

Russia’s Tass news agency said Putin during his meeting with Choe at the Kremlin on Sunday praised the countries’ bilateral relations and reiterated his “gratitude to the North Korean leadership and people” for supporting his military operations against Ukraine.

Choe told Putin that Kim remains committed to the “comprehensive development” of relations with Russia, Tass said.

Kim traveled to Russia’s Far East for summits with Putin in 2019 and 2023. Putin invited Kim to visit Russia again during their summit in Pyongyang in June 2024, where the leaders signed a strategic partnership agreement pledging mutual aid if either country faces aggression.

Kim in recent years has made Russia the priority of his foreign policy, sending thousands of troops and huge supplies of weapons to support Putin’s war in Ukraine, possibly in exchange for economic aid and technology transfers that some experts say are helping advance North Korea’s military capabilities.

Kim has also been seeking stronger ties with China, including hosting Chinese President Xi Jinping for a June summit in Pyongyang, as he embraces the idea of a “new Cold War” and projecting Pyongyang as part of a united front against Washington.

Choe’s visit to Moscow came shortly after North Korea and China exchanged high-level visits, with North Korean Cabinet premier, Pak Thae Song, Kim’s top economic official, meeting Xi in Beijing and Wang Huning, a member of the Chinese Communist Party’s powerful Politburo Standing Committee, visiting Kim in Pyongyang this month.

Kim has suspended all meaningful dialogue with the United States and South Korea since the collapse of his nuclear diplomacy with US President Donald Trump in 2019.

He has used Russia’s war on Ukraine as a distraction to accelerate the advancement of his nuclear weapons and missile program, while demanding that Washington abandon its calls for North Korea’s nuclear disarmament as a precondition for talks.


Rubio Says Iran Using Hormuz as Leverage

A vessel at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, July 17, 2026. (Reuters)
A vessel at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, July 17, 2026. (Reuters)
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Rubio Says Iran Using Hormuz as Leverage

A vessel at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, July 17, 2026. (Reuters)
A vessel at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, July 17, 2026. (Reuters)

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Sunday that Iran is using the Strait of Hormuz as leverage in the ongoing Middle East conflict, adding that other countries needed to step up pressure to protect global shipping.

"It's clear that Iran, at least some people in Iran, want to control the straits and hold that as leverage against the world," Rubio told reporters ahead of traveling to the Philippines for a meeting of foreign ministers with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

"The United States will do and continue to do what it needs to, to protect global shipping, but other countries need to begin to step up and provide, whether it's hardware or finances, to help carry that burden," he continued.

When asked if there was still a diplomatic off-ramp to the escalating conflict, Rubio said: "I think we're always open to diplomacy. It has to be real. It has to be a deal that they're willing to live by."

A fragile truce between Iran and the United States broke down after reported attacks by Iran on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, the critical international waterway through which a fifth of the global oil and gas supply transited prior to the war.

"They can't have an MoU that's alive if they're violating the terms of it," Rubio said.

"What I will say is that the United States always remains open to a diplomatic solution. We've tried multiple times with Iran, and we'll continue to try."