Al-Falih: We Have Quadrupled Foreign Investment Flows

25 May 2022, Switzerland, Davos: Khalid al-Falih, Minister of Investment of Saudi Arabia, speaks during the "Saudi Arabia Outlook" session at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters. (World Economic Forum/dpa)
25 May 2022, Switzerland, Davos: Khalid al-Falih, Minister of Investment of Saudi Arabia, speaks during the "Saudi Arabia Outlook" session at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters. (World Economic Forum/dpa)
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Al-Falih: We Have Quadrupled Foreign Investment Flows

25 May 2022, Switzerland, Davos: Khalid al-Falih, Minister of Investment of Saudi Arabia, speaks during the "Saudi Arabia Outlook" session at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters. (World Economic Forum/dpa)
25 May 2022, Switzerland, Davos: Khalid al-Falih, Minister of Investment of Saudi Arabia, speaks during the "Saudi Arabia Outlook" session at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters. (World Economic Forum/dpa)

It might seem somewhat strange for one of the biggest electric car producers to open a factory in one of the world’s major oil-producing countries, but it actually boils down to the story of the most exciting economic transformation of the 21st century.

“It is one of the most exciting projects for us, and a project that I am personally proud of,” said Saudi Investment Minister Khalid al-Falih about Lucid Motors opening a factory for assembling electric automobiles in Saudi Arabia.

During an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, al-Falih said that he expects the size of the Saudi economy to grow to between $1.7 and $1.8 trillion by 2030, placing Saudi Arabia among the 15 largest economies in the world.

Al-Falih praised significant improvement in the performance of investment indicators. He pointed out the doubling of foreign direct investment flows by about four times in recent years.

The minister highlighted the series of reforms pursued by Saudi Arabia in its business environment and investment systems.

He also revealed that Saudi Arabia aims to attract more than $100 billion in foreign investments by 2030.

A trillion dollar economy

Voicing great optimism about economic growth in the Kingdom, al-Falih said the Saudi economy is on the right path to cross the threshold of one trillion dollars in 2022, compared to about $650 billion before launching its national economic transformation plan Vision 2030.

In addition to economic growth, he stressed the importance of examining the composition of the Saudi economy.

“The oil and gas sector will remain important during the next three decades and will continue to grow, but its contribution to the economy will decline,” he went on to say.

“The year 2021, for example, witnessed a growth of non-oil activities by 6%, while the growth of oil activities amounted to about 0.2% due to the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic,” he added.

Promising sectors

The minister expected non-oil industries to grow significantly in the coming years, pointing out that the contribution of the tourism sector, for example, to the gross domestic product will exceed 10% by 2030.

Al-Falih believes that the growth of new and promising sectors would contribute to stimulating investment in entire value chains, such as: tourism, hotels, entertainment, retail, logistics, culture, and others.

He shed light on the importance of the information technology sector, adding that it is expected to witness significant growth in coming years.

“As a sector in itself, it provides infrastructure that serves all other sectors,” said the minister, citing the two examples of financial technology (Fintech) and e-commerce.

Moreover, al-Falih highlighted the importance of the logistics sector as one of the promising sectors in the plan for growth and diversification of the Saudi economy.

He predicted that significant investments will be made in this sector, which includes several areas such as transporting people, goods, and commodities, and distributing parcels by air, sea, and land.

Al-Falih also believes that the value chains associated with the health sector are “very large,” and include scientific research, entrepreneurship, health technology, and others.

The official pointed to some other sectors that will play a pivotal role in supporting growth. They include education, modern agriculture, and water.

“We traditionally view them as a burden on the state, but this will transform as they witness privatization, and become attractive to investment. This will allow these sectors to generate their own revenue,” al-Falih told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Renewable energy

Despite predicting a growing demand for oil and gas on a world scale, al-Falih explained that the new restructuring of the Saudi economy necessitates the growth of renewable energy at a rate greater than oil and gas.

Renewable energy sources, whether solar or wind, aim to produce electricity with a capacity that meets 50% of domestic demand in the medium term, clarified al-Falih, adding that there are plans for converting it into energy for export through interconnection cables .

Factors encouraging investment

Al-Falih underscored the important role played by private investments, part of which is led by the Public Investment Fund, in developing economic sectors.

The minister considered that the regulatory environment may be the first obstacle to foreign investment in some sectors, pointing to the most prominent reforms that have been pursued in terms of improving the investment atmosphere.

“We have made it possible for foreign investors to have full ownership of businesses in most sectors, access investment opportunities and conclude partnerships with Saudi investors if they wish to do so,” said al-Falih.

“We have also facilitated entering the Saudi market and obtaining licenses,” he added.

Al-Falih said his ministry is working today to ensure clarity and transparency in all sectoral strategies which are available online in both Arabic and English.

“I am proud that we have been able to multiply foreign investment flows in the Kingdom by about four-fold in recent years (from about $ 5 billion to $ 20 billion in 2021),” he remarked.

He revealed that Saudi Arabia aims to attract more than $100 billion in foreign investments by 2030, pointing out that work is in full swing to enhance investment incentives in non-traditional knowledge-based sectors (such as health technology, education and modern agriculture), by strengthening digital infrastructure, talent development, and research.



Global Markets Reel from Putin's Nuclear Threats

A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
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Global Markets Reel from Putin's Nuclear Threats

A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS
A Russian Yars intercontinental ballistic missile system drives in Red Square during a military parade on Victory Day, which marks the 78th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, in central Moscow, Russia May 9, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via REUTERS

President Vladimir Putin’s remarks on Tuesday about revising Russia’s nuclear doctrine triggered immediate reactions in global financial markets, as investors rushed to safe haven assets.

Putin issued a warning to the US lowering the threshold for a nuclear strike after the administration of Joe Biden reportedly allowed Ukraine to fire American-made long-range missiles deep into Russia.

The Russian President’s warnings sent markets to extreme volatility.

In this context, global stocks sharply fell while gold prices and the Japanese yen climbed amid rising geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Tuesday, “The Russian Federation reserves the right to use nuclear weapons in the event of aggression against it or the Republic of Belarus, ... with the use of conventional weapons, in a way that poses a critical threat to their sovereignty and (or) territorial integrity.”

The spokesperson further said that Russia would view the use of Western non-nuclear missiles by Ukraine as an attack by a non-nuclear state with the support of a nuclear state against the country, potentially justifying the use of nuclear weapons by Moscow, according to NBC news.

Rise of safe-haven assets

Global stocks briefly fell and investors fled to safe-haven assets on Tuesday, as global markets reacted to escalating tensions between the world's two largest nuclear powers: Russia and the US.

Investors rushed to safe-haven assets including gold and the Japanese yen.

Wall Street’s fear index, the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s CBOE Volatility Index, jumped to 17,88, its highest level since the November 5 US elections. It then fell to 16.61.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 327 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost 0.5% each. Treasurys increased as investors moved into the safe haven, driving yields lower.

Europe's main stock index touched its lowest level in three months on Tuesday, spurring investors to head to safer havens.

The pan-European STOXX 600 closed 0.9% lower, after logging a third straight day of losses.

Metals and currencies under pressure

Meanwhile, base metals prices came under pressure on Tuesday as some investors chose safe-haven assets due to signs of escalating tensions between Russia and the United States over Ukraine.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell 0.3% to $9,042 per metric ton in official open-outcry trading. Spot gold prices rose by about 1%.

Meanwhile, LME aluminium prices were stable at $2,607 in official activity as the market digested China's plan to remove a tax refund on exports of some aluminium products.

Lead lost 0.4% to $1,983 due to the second day of a significant inflow of the metal to the LME-registered warehouses in Singapore.

Zinc fell 0.1% to $2,947.5, tin eased 0.4% to $28,900 and nickel rose 1.2% to $15,915.

In currency markets, the Japanese yen rose 0.7% and 0.36% against the euro and US dollar respectively.

“Typical risk-off move in forex following the headline,” said Athanasios Vamvakidis, global head of forex strategy at Bofa, referring to the reaction to the Kremlin statement.

“The market has been complacent on geopolitical risks, focusing on other themes,” he added. “Positioning has been a long risk, getting even more stretched after the US elections.”

In return, crude oil futures were down slightly. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate, scheduled for delivery in December, fell 0.53% to $68.79.

Meanwhile, the price of a barrel of Brent, scheduled for delivery in January, fell 0.38% to $73.02.