World Bank Projects Slow Growth, Warns of ‘Stagflation’ Risk

World Bank President David Malpass said that the danger of stagflation is considerable today. (Reuters)
World Bank President David Malpass said that the danger of stagflation is considerable today. (Reuters)
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World Bank Projects Slow Growth, Warns of ‘Stagflation’ Risk

World Bank President David Malpass said that the danger of stagflation is considerable today. (Reuters)
World Bank President David Malpass said that the danger of stagflation is considerable today. (Reuters)

The World Bank on Tuesday slashed its global growth forecast by nearly a third to 2.9% for 2022, warning that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has compounded the damage from the COVID-19 pandemic, and many countries now faced recession.

The bank forecast a slump in global growth to 2.9% in 2022 from 5.7% in 2021, a drop of 1.2 percentage points from its January forecast, and said growth was likely to hover near that level in 2023 and 2024.

The war in Ukraine had magnified the slowdown in the global economy, which was now entering what could become “a protracted period of feeble growth and elevated inflation,” the Bank said in its Global Economic Prospects report, warning that the outlook could still grow worse.

This raises the risk of stagflation, with potentially harmful consequences for middle- and low-income economies alike.

In a news conference, World Bank President David Malpass said global growth was being hammered by the war, fresh COVID lockdowns in China, supply-chain disruptions and the rising risk of stagflation -- a period of weak growth and high inflation last seen in the 1970s.

“The danger of stagflation is considerable today,” Malpass wrote in the foreword to the report.

“Subdued growth will likely persist throughout the decade because of weak investment in most of the world,” he added.

“With inflation now running at multi-decade highs in many countries and supply expected to grow slowly, there is a risk that inflation will remain higher for longer.”

Between 2021 and 2024, the pace of global growth is projected to slow by 2.7 percentage points, Malpass said, more than twice the deceleration seen between 1976 and 1979.

The report warned that interest rate increases required to control inflation at the end of the 1970s were so steep that they touched off a global recession in 1982, and a string of financial crises in emerging market and developing economies.

It said global inflation should moderate next year but would likely remain above targets in many economies.

Growth in advanced economies was projected to decelerate sharply to 2.6% in 2022 and 2.2% in 2023 after hitting 5.1% in 2021.

Emerging market and developing economies were seen achieving growth of just 3.4% in 2022, down from 6.6% in 2021, and well below the annual average of 4.8% seen in 2011-2019.



Saudi Electricity Company Reports 22% Net Profit Growth in Q2 2025

Revenue for Q2 grew by 24% to reach SAR27.7 billion - SPA
Revenue for Q2 grew by 24% to reach SAR27.7 billion - SPA
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Saudi Electricity Company Reports 22% Net Profit Growth in Q2 2025

Revenue for Q2 grew by 24% to reach SAR27.7 billion - SPA
Revenue for Q2 grew by 24% to reach SAR27.7 billion - SPA

Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) continued to deliver robust financial and operational performance in the second quarter and first half of 2025, said an SEC press release issued on Sunday.

Revenue for Q2 grew by 24% to reach SAR27.7 billion, while gross profit rose by 42% to SAR7.4 billion. Operating profit increased by 21% to SAR6.8 billion, and net profit reached SAR5.3 billion—marking a 22% year-on-year increase.

For the first half of 2025, SEC reported a revenue growth of 23%, totalling SAR47.2 billion. Gross profit rose by 40% to SAR10.2 billion, operating profit increased by 20% to SAR9.1 billion, and net profit grew by 19% to SAR6.3 billion compared to the same period in 2024.

According to the release, this strong financial performance was primarily driven by higher allowed revenue due to the growth of the regulated asset base of the electricity network and increased electricity production revenues in response to rising energy demand.

These gains were partially offset by higher operating and maintenance expenses due to network expansion, asset growth, and increased loads, as well as a rise in provisions for accounts receivable and a decrease in other income.

SEC noted that the expansion of its regulated asset base reflects the continued growth in its transmission and distribution networks to meet increasing electricity demand, support renewable energy integration, and advance energy storage projects. The company is also maintaining strategic investments in digital transformation and operational excellence initiatives.

Acting CEO of SEC Engineer Khalid Al-Ghamdi stated: “Our positive performance in the first half of 2025 reflects the company’s continued growth across its business portfolio and asset base. It aligns with our strategy to provide reliable and secure electricity across the Kingdom, improve service quality for our customers, and advance sustainability and operational excellence. We are committed to further strengthening our position and leveraging the significant opportunities emerging from the energy transition in Saudi Arabia, in line with the ambitions of Vision 2030—enabled by the dedication of our talented national workforce and our unwavering commitment to serving the nation.”

As of the end of H1 2025, the renewable energy capacity connected to the grid exceeded 9.2 GW, and the company successfully commissioned 8.0 GWh of battery energy storage systems across four sites: Bisha, Jazan, Khamis Mushait, and Najran.

SEC is currently developing an additional 14 GWh of storage capacity, expected to be operational and grid-connected next year, further strengthening grid reliability and renewable energy integration.

Reaffirming its commitment to embedding sustainability throughout its operations and enhancing its ESG practices, SEC achieved a significant leap in its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) rating from S&P Global, earning 65 out of 100 in 2025. This marks a 30% increase over 2024 and an 85% improvement over 2023.

This accomplishment places SEC at the top of all companies in Saudi Arabia and as the regional leader in the energy sector across the Middle East and North Africa, surpassing the global utilities sector average by 66%, reinforcing its global leadership in sustainability performance.

Electricity demand continued to rise in H1 2025, with peak load growing by 3% to 75.1 GW, and total electricity consumption increasing by 10% to reach 160.5 terawatt-hours.

SEC successfully met record-breaking peak loads in Makkah, Madinah, and the holy sites during the 1446 AH Hajj season without a single service interruption—thanks to the company’s full mobilization of resources to serve pilgrims and ensure their comfort.
The company also made strong progress in service expansion and infrastructure development. SEC connected around 110,000 new customers, bringing the total customer base to 11.4 million.

The length of the distribution network grew by 6% to exceed 827,000 circuit kilometers, while transmission and fiber optic networks grew by 6% and 9%, respectively, reaching 103,800 and 101,000 circuit kilometers.

As part of its efforts to enhance service reliability and customer experience, SEC continued digital infrastructure upgrades and automated distribution substations, connecting them to control centers via fiber optic networks.

The automation rate of distribution substations reached 38.4%, and customer satisfaction rose to 85.8%, underscoring improvements in service quality and communication effectiveness.