OPEC’s Barkindo: Common Objective with Non-OPEC Partners is Market Stability

OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo (Reuters)
OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo (Reuters)
TT
20

OPEC’s Barkindo: Common Objective with Non-OPEC Partners is Market Stability

OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo (Reuters)
OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo (Reuters)

The common objective of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its non-OPEC partners has always been to maintain oil market stability, not to raise prices or bring them down, OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said on Saturday.

Asked whether bringing 9.7 million barrels a day back to the market according to the latest adjustment decision by OPEC+ would help bring oil prices down, he said “we cannot dictate to the market what it does.”

However, he stressed that the task to continuously bring supply and demand in balance is the responsibility of all producers.

He made his remarks during his participation in the sixth edition of Iraq Energy Forum organized by the American University in Baghdad.

“We are working with our allies to develop the oil market, achieve balance, and organize supply in the market according to understandings between OPEC members and their allies,” Barkindo told reporters.

“We will continue our steps to achieve price balance in the oil market,” he added, praising Iraq’s role in supporting OPEC decisions to stabilize oil prices during the past years.

He said Iraq is able to show its support for the organization and that it is the first country to support price stability decisions.

The two-day forum kicked off on June 18 under the theme “Global Energy Security in Times of Conflict and Uncertain Economic Recovery.”

It discusses issues and files related to the energy, oil and gas sector, with the participation of a number of foreign companies operating in Iraq.

Brent crude is trading at $120 per barrel and is expected to reach $150. Some fear it keeps going higher, with wild chatter about oil hitting $175 or even $180 by the end of 2022.

OPEC’s top diplomat told European Union officials in April that the current crisis in global oil markets caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is beyond the group’s control.

Russian oil supply losses stemming from current and future sanctions or a boycott by customers could potentially exceed seven million barrels a day, Barkindo said.

He pointed out that markets are being swayed by political factors rather than supply and demand, leaving little for the organization to do.



Oil Rises as Investors Weigh Market Outlook, Tariffs, Sanctions

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
TT
20

Oil Rises as Investors Weigh Market Outlook, Tariffs, Sanctions

A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Oil prices rose by around 1% on Friday as investors weighed a tight prompt market against a potential large surplus this year forecast by the IEA, while US tariffs and possible further sanctions on Russia were also in focus.

Brent crude futures were up 76 cents, or 1.11%, at $69.40 a barrel as of 1153 GMT US West Texas Intermediate crude ticked up 82 cents, or 1.23%, to $67.39 a barrel.

At those levels, Brent was headed for a 1.6% gain on the week, while WTI was up around 0.6% from last week's close.

The IEA said on Friday the global oil market may be tighter than it appears, with demand supported by peak summer refinery runs to meet travel and power-generation, Reuters reported.

Front-month September Brent contracts were trading at a $1.11 premium to October futures at 1153 GMT.

"Civilians, be they in the air or on the road, are showing a healthy willingness to travel," PVM analyst John Evans said in a note on Friday.

Prompt tightness notwithstanding, the IEA boosted its forecast for supply growth this year, while trimming its outlook for growth in demand, implying a market in surplus.

"OPEC+ will quickly and significantly turn up the oil tap. There is a threat of significant oversupply. In the short term, however, oil prices remain supported," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

Further adding support to the short-term outlook, Russian deputy prime minister Alexander Novak said on Friday that Russia will compensate for overproduction against its OPEC+ quota this year in August-September.

"Prices have recouped some of this decline after President Trump said he plans to make a 'major' statement on Russia on Monday. This could leave the market nervous over the potential for further sanctions on Russia," ING analysts wrote in a client note.

Trump has expressed frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin due to the lack of progress on peace with Ukraine and Russia's intensifying bombardment of Ukrainian cities.

The European Commission is set to propose a floating Russian oil price cap this week as part of a new draft sanctions package, but Russia said it has "good experience" of tackling and minimising such challenges.