Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
TT
20

Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)

Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani warned on Tuesday of a wave of global economic stagnation and inflation that the world has not seen in 45 years, citing a slowdown of growth in the global economy by about a third this year.

Speaking at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022, Sheikh Tamim said the economic forecasts indicating a slowdown of growth in the global economy could be a prelude to an inflationary recession the world has never seen since the period between 1976 and 1979, according to the world bank reports.

Back then, sharp rises in the interest rates to combat inflation led to the economic recession of the early 1980s.

International indicators

He said positive health indicators have risen after the lifting of coronavirus pandemic restrictions, recovery of trade flow, increase in public spending, and growth in global demand at all levels.

However, the confusion that has impacted the supply chains is still among the significant factors that are driving up prices, in addition to the devastating effects of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

"The pandemic has revealed the extent of the gap between the rich and poor nations and contributed to its expansion, especially during the faltering efforts to achieve development and reduce poverty," said Sheikh Tamim.

He called on the international community to adopt an approach to achieve equality in economic recovery between countries and save sustainable development goals.

Ukrainian crisis

Sheikh Tamim addressed the impact of the Ukrainian crisis and the rise in energy and grain prices, which have affected the global economy.

He warned of the immediate humanitarian repercussions resulting from the war in Ukraine on crises in Ethiopia, Yemen, and Syria, which "may immediately result in exposing hundreds of thousands of people to the risk of starvation."

He admitted that some issued had no economic solution, including the war and its devastating consequences on Ukraine and many other countries and peoples.

He proposed a politically-oriented solution, warning that the food crisis should neither be left to the law of supply and demand, nor should the issue of extreme poverty be left to developing countries to face alone.

Qatar's economy

Sheikh Tamim tackled economic growth in his country, saying Qatar's gross domestic product growth outlook in 2022 is forecasted to be 4.9 percent.

He attributed this growth to the rise in energy prices and the positive impact of the policies and procedures adopted by the government to support the economic sectors, boosting the private sector's production capacity and adapting to regional and global variables.

He recalled the measures taken by the authorities in economic diversification, noting that some legislative amendments were introduced to facilitate commercial transactions, bolster competition, protect the consumer, encourage the industrial and technological sector, support the national products' competitiveness and increase the foreign direct investment by allowing full foreign investors ownership of companies.

Sheikh Tamim noted that these efforts led to a significant increase in domestic and foreign investment volume in recent years, especially in foreign direct investment, which increased by 27 percent during 2021 compared to 2020.

"We hope this growth will continue to rise in the coming years in accordance with the adopted plans."

Qatari-Egyptian relationship

Meanwhile, Minister of Finance Ali al-Kuwari announced at the Forum that Qatar would continue its investments in Egypt, describing the relations between Doha and Cairo as "brotherly and historic".

He stressed that Qatar also wants to get investment returns in Egypt.

Egypt's Minister of Trade and Industry Nevine Gamea revealed that both countries are discussing ways of increasing investment volume and expanding them in new areas.

Qatar and Egypt agreed to launch a joint business council which will consist of businessmen who will work on boosting economic relations, investment, and trade between the two countries.

ExxonMobil

Meanwhile, QatarEnergy signed an agreement with the US company, ExxonMobil, to further develop Qatar's North Field East project, the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.

The Qatar News Agency stated that ExxonMobil boasts a 6.2 percent share in the $30 billion North East Field expansion project.

Qatar, the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, has partnered with several international companies to participate in the project, which will boost Doha's position as the biggest LNG exporter in the world.

The North Field expansion includes six LNG trains that will increase Qatar's annual LNG capacity from 77 million tons per year to 110 million tons by 2026, cementing its position as the world's largest producer.



US and UK Announce Plans for a Trade Deal That Trump Says Would Cement Their Relationship

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer (C) speaks to the media after a phone conversation with US President Donald Trump, at a Jaguar Land Rover automobile manufacturing plant in the West Midlands, Britain, 08 May 2025. (EPA)
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer (C) speaks to the media after a phone conversation with US President Donald Trump, at a Jaguar Land Rover automobile manufacturing plant in the West Midlands, Britain, 08 May 2025. (EPA)
TT
20

US and UK Announce Plans for a Trade Deal That Trump Says Would Cement Their Relationship

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer (C) speaks to the media after a phone conversation with US President Donald Trump, at a Jaguar Land Rover automobile manufacturing plant in the West Midlands, Britain, 08 May 2025. (EPA)
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer (C) speaks to the media after a phone conversation with US President Donald Trump, at a Jaguar Land Rover automobile manufacturing plant in the West Midlands, Britain, 08 May 2025. (EPA)

The United States and Britain announced plans for a symbolically important trade deal on Thursday, likely lowering the financial burden from President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs while creating greater access abroad for American goods.

The announcement provided a political victory for UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and provided a degree of validation for Trump's claims that his turbulent approach on trade may be able to rebalance the global economy on his preferred terms. Yet the terms of the deal have yet to be completed so that it can be signed, a reminder that a process Trump has promised would be quick could take weeks as other nations with which the US runs a trade deficit worry that the Republican president's import taxes will drag down economic growth across the world.

“The final details are being written up,” Trump told reporters. “In the coming weeks, we’ll have it all very conclusive.”

The president said that the agreement would lead to more beef and ethanol exports to the UK, which would also streamline the processing of US goods through customs.

Starmer, speaking over the phone to Trump, stressed the importance of the relationship between the two countries as the anniversary of the World War II victory in Europe was being commemorated.

“To be able to announce this great deal on the same deal 80 years forward, almost at the same hour and as we were 80 years ago with the UK and the US standing side by side, I think is incredibly important,” Starmer said.

Britain said its deal with the United States will cut tariffs on UK cars from 27.5% to 10% and eliminate tariffs on steel and aluminum.

The British government said the deal sets a quota of 100,000 UK vehicles that can be imported to the US at a 10% tariff. It said the Trump-imposed 25% tariff on British steel will fall to nothing.

The UK said the agreement includes new reciprocal market access on beef and removes the tariff on ethanol going into the UK from the US, down to zero.

The planned deal was the first outlined since Trump began his stutter-step efforts to rewire the global economy by dramatically increasing import taxes in an attempt to increase domestic manufacturing. The Republican president quickly rolled out tariffs after returning to the White House, targeting traditional allies such as the UK with import taxes on steel, aluminum and autos.

Trump announced near universal tariffs on April 2, then partially retreated a week later and announced that his administration would seek individual agreements with various countries over the next few months.

The US already runs a trade surplus with the UK, making it a bit easier to find common ground as Trump has staked his tariffs on specifically eliminating the annual trade deficits with multiple nations he says have taken advantage of the US.

No new deals have been reached with America's largest trading partners, including Canada, Mexico and China. Trump has left the highest tariffs in place on China, sparking a confrontation between the world's two biggest economies. Washington and Beijing are sending officials to Switzerland this weekend for an initial round of trade talks.

Trump promised on Thursday that there are "many other deals, which are in serious stages of negotiation, to follow!”

Starmer, speaking at a defense conference in London, said “talks with the US have been ongoing, and you’ll hear more from me about that later today.”

The US and the UK have been aiming to strike a bilateral trade agreement since the British people voted in 2016 to leave the European Union, allowing the country to negotiate independently of the rest of the continent. Then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson touted a future deal with the US as an incentive for Brexit.

Negotiations started in 2020, during Trump’s first term. But the talks made little progress under President Joe Biden, a Democrat and a critic of Brexit. Negotiations resumed after Trump returned to office in January and intensified in recent weeks.

A major goal of British negotiators has been to reduce or lift the import tax on UK cars and steel, which Trump set at 25%. The US is the largest destination for British cars, accounting for more than a quarter of UK auto exports in 2024, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Britain has also sought tariff exemptions for pharmaceuticals, while the US wants greater access to the British market for agriculture products. Starmer’s government has said it won’t lower UK food standards to allow in chlorine-rinsed American chicken or hormone-treated beef.

The British government will see a deal as a vindication of Starmer’s emollient approach to Trump, which has avoided direct confrontation or criticism. Unlike the European Union, Britain did not announce retaliatory tariffs on US goods in response to Trump’s import taxes.

A trade deal with the United Kingdom would be symbolically important and a relief for British exporters. But an agreement would do little to address Trump’s core concern about persistent trade deficits that prompted him to impose import taxes on countries around the world.

The US ran a $11.9 billion trade surplus in goods with the UK last year, according to the Census Bureau. The $68 billion in goods that the US imported from the UK last year accounted for just 2% of all goods imported into the country.

The US is much more important to the UK economy. It was Britain's biggest trading partner last year, according to government statistics, though the bulk of Britain’s exports to the US are services rather than goods.

Trump has previously said that his leverage in talks would be US consumers, but he appeared to suggest that the UK would also start buying more American-made goods.

“I think that the United Kingdom, like every other country, they want to ... go shopping in the United States of America," he said.

A trade deal with the US is one of several that Starmer’s government is seeking to strike. On Tuesday, Britain and India announced a trade agreement after three years of negotiations. The UK is also trying to lift some of the barriers to trade with the EU imposed when Britain left the bloc in 2020.