Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
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Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)

Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani warned on Tuesday of a wave of global economic stagnation and inflation that the world has not seen in 45 years, citing a slowdown of growth in the global economy by about a third this year.

Speaking at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022, Sheikh Tamim said the economic forecasts indicating a slowdown of growth in the global economy could be a prelude to an inflationary recession the world has never seen since the period between 1976 and 1979, according to the world bank reports.

Back then, sharp rises in the interest rates to combat inflation led to the economic recession of the early 1980s.

International indicators

He said positive health indicators have risen after the lifting of coronavirus pandemic restrictions, recovery of trade flow, increase in public spending, and growth in global demand at all levels.

However, the confusion that has impacted the supply chains is still among the significant factors that are driving up prices, in addition to the devastating effects of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

"The pandemic has revealed the extent of the gap between the rich and poor nations and contributed to its expansion, especially during the faltering efforts to achieve development and reduce poverty," said Sheikh Tamim.

He called on the international community to adopt an approach to achieve equality in economic recovery between countries and save sustainable development goals.

Ukrainian crisis

Sheikh Tamim addressed the impact of the Ukrainian crisis and the rise in energy and grain prices, which have affected the global economy.

He warned of the immediate humanitarian repercussions resulting from the war in Ukraine on crises in Ethiopia, Yemen, and Syria, which "may immediately result in exposing hundreds of thousands of people to the risk of starvation."

He admitted that some issued had no economic solution, including the war and its devastating consequences on Ukraine and many other countries and peoples.

He proposed a politically-oriented solution, warning that the food crisis should neither be left to the law of supply and demand, nor should the issue of extreme poverty be left to developing countries to face alone.

Qatar's economy

Sheikh Tamim tackled economic growth in his country, saying Qatar's gross domestic product growth outlook in 2022 is forecasted to be 4.9 percent.

He attributed this growth to the rise in energy prices and the positive impact of the policies and procedures adopted by the government to support the economic sectors, boosting the private sector's production capacity and adapting to regional and global variables.

He recalled the measures taken by the authorities in economic diversification, noting that some legislative amendments were introduced to facilitate commercial transactions, bolster competition, protect the consumer, encourage the industrial and technological sector, support the national products' competitiveness and increase the foreign direct investment by allowing full foreign investors ownership of companies.

Sheikh Tamim noted that these efforts led to a significant increase in domestic and foreign investment volume in recent years, especially in foreign direct investment, which increased by 27 percent during 2021 compared to 2020.

"We hope this growth will continue to rise in the coming years in accordance with the adopted plans."

Qatari-Egyptian relationship

Meanwhile, Minister of Finance Ali al-Kuwari announced at the Forum that Qatar would continue its investments in Egypt, describing the relations between Doha and Cairo as "brotherly and historic".

He stressed that Qatar also wants to get investment returns in Egypt.

Egypt's Minister of Trade and Industry Nevine Gamea revealed that both countries are discussing ways of increasing investment volume and expanding them in new areas.

Qatar and Egypt agreed to launch a joint business council which will consist of businessmen who will work on boosting economic relations, investment, and trade between the two countries.

ExxonMobil

Meanwhile, QatarEnergy signed an agreement with the US company, ExxonMobil, to further develop Qatar's North Field East project, the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.

The Qatar News Agency stated that ExxonMobil boasts a 6.2 percent share in the $30 billion North East Field expansion project.

Qatar, the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, has partnered with several international companies to participate in the project, which will boost Doha's position as the biggest LNG exporter in the world.

The North Field expansion includes six LNG trains that will increase Qatar's annual LNG capacity from 77 million tons per year to 110 million tons by 2026, cementing its position as the world's largest producer.



Saudi Women Propel Unemployment to Record Lows

Saudi women employees carrying out their daily tasks at a workplace in the Kingdom (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
Saudi women employees carrying out their daily tasks at a workplace in the Kingdom (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
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Saudi Women Propel Unemployment to Record Lows

Saudi women employees carrying out their daily tasks at a workplace in the Kingdom (Asharq Al-Awsat) 
Saudi women employees carrying out their daily tasks at a workplace in the Kingdom (Asharq Al-Awsat) 

Saudi Arabia has achieved the lowest unemployment rate in its history, dropping to 6.3% in the first quarter of 2025. The milestone was driven largely by the growing participation of Saudi women in the workforce, marking a major shift in employment under Vision 2030. The figure represents an unprecedented annual decline of 1.3 percentage points and a drop of 0.7 points from the previous quarter.

The General Authority for Statistics reported that Saudi women’s unemployment fell to 10.5%, its lowest level ever recorded, after dropping more than 11 percentage points since 2021. Women’s labor force participation also rose to 36.3%, while their employment rate climbed to 32.5% of the total population.

These gains reflect the impact of policies designed to expand opportunities and improve the quality of jobs available to women.

Human resources specialist Ali Al Eid described the achievement as the result of effective collaboration between government entities and the private sector. “What we see today is the outcome of years of focused policies to empower national talent and create a work environment that fosters growth,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Al Eid noted that targeted initiatives such as Saudization, skills development, and support for entrepreneurs contributed significantly to reducing unemployment. He added that shifts in employment preferences, especially among young Saudis, have accelerated these changes.

He emphasized that the Saudi labor market has proven resilient despite recent global challenges. The expanding role of women has been especially critical in lowering unemployment and strengthening economic participation.

Al Eid highlighted that young Saudis’ increasing focus on vocational training and acquiring specialized skills has lifted labor participation to record highs in recent years.

“Continuing professional development programs is essential to ensure national talent is prepared for the future,” Al Eid said, pointing to Vision 2030 projects in tourism, technology, industry, and logistics as key sources of quality jobs.

He also underscored the importance of aligning education outcomes with labor market needs to close skill gaps and prepare young people for emerging sectors.

“What has been accomplished is a significant milestone on the road to broader success,” he added. “The next priority is to focus on the quality and sustainability of jobs and to enable Saudis to take on leadership and specialized roles that will drive long-term development.”

Dr. Abdullah Al-Jassar, a member of the Saudi Association for Energy Economics, said the results demonstrate the effectiveness of the Kingdom’s economic and social reforms. He noted that the creation of more diverse, higher-quality roles - particularly those suited to women’s skills - has been instrumental in lowering unemployment.

“These positive indicators will help attract new investment, especially as the country prepares for major projects extending through 2034,” Al-Jassar said. He added that reaching a 5% unemployment rate under Vision 2030 has become a realistic goal.

Among Saudi men, the unemployment rate declined slightly to 4%, while their participation rate rose to 66.4%. Employment among Saudis aged 25–54 increased to nearly 66%, with unemployment falling to 5.4%.

Overall, including Saudis and expatriates, unemployment dropped to 2.8%, compared to 3.5% a year earlier. Labor participation rose to 68.2%. These results follow Saudi Arabia’s early success in meeting its target of reducing unemployment to 7%, five years ahead of schedule, prompting a new objective of 5% by the decade’s end.