Oil Prices Slump to Lowest Since Before Ukraine Invasion

The fall in oil prices could come as a relief to large consumer nations. EPA
The fall in oil prices could come as a relief to large consumer nations. EPA
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Oil Prices Slump to Lowest Since Before Ukraine Invasion

The fall in oil prices could come as a relief to large consumer nations. EPA
The fall in oil prices could come as a relief to large consumer nations. EPA

Global oil prices dropped on Thursday to their lowest levels since before Russia's February invasion of Ukraine as traders fretted over the possibility of an economic recession later this year that could torpedo energy demand.

Benchmark Brent crude futures dropped more than 3% to $93.81 a barrel after touching a mid-session low of $93.20, the lowest since Feb. 21. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 2.7% to $88.21 after touching the lowest since Feb. 3 at $87.97.

The fall in oil prices could come as a relief to large consumer nations like the United States and countries in Europe that have been urging producers to ramp up output to offset tight supplies and combat raging inflation, Reuters reported.

Oil had surged to well over $120 a barrel earlier in the year after a sudden rebound in demand from the darkest days of the COVID-19 pandemic combined with supply disruptions stemming from sanctions on major producer Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.

Thursday's selling followed an unexpected surge in US crude inventories last week. Gasoline stocks, the proxy for demand, also showed a surprise build as demand slowed under the weight of gasoline prices near $5 a gallon, the Energy Information Administration said.

The demand outlook remains clouded by increasing worries about an economic slump in the United States and Europe, debt distress in emerging market economies, and a strict zero COVID-19 policy in China, the world's largest oil importer.

"A break below $90 is now a very real possibility which is quite remarkable given how tight the market remains and how little scope there is to relieve that," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda in London.

"But recession talk is getting louder and should it become reality, it will likely address some of the imbalance."

Further pressure followed fears that rising interest rates could slow economic activity and limit demand for fuel. The Bank of England (BoE) raised rates on Thursday and warned about recession risks.



Turkish Cenbank Total Reserves Fell $55 billion Since War Began

Turkish Central Bank (official website)
Turkish Central Bank (official website)
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Turkish Cenbank Total Reserves Fell $55 billion Since War Began

Turkish Central Bank (official website)
Turkish Central Bank (official website)

The Turkish Central Bank's total reserves fell by a hefty $22 billion last week to $155.5 billion, bringing their declines since the start of the Iran war to $55 billion, bankers said, Reuters reported.

They said the central bank sold $18 billion in foreign exchange last week, meaning its total forex sales amid the one-month war totaled $44 billion.

The central bank's net reserves fell $22.5 billion last week to $35 billion, the bankers also said.


Aluminium Prices Jump after Gulf Attacks

Aluminum is the most widely used metal after steel (X)
Aluminum is the most widely used metal after steel (X)
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Aluminium Prices Jump after Gulf Attacks

Aluminum is the most widely used metal after steel (X)
Aluminum is the most widely used metal after steel (X)

Aluminium prices climbed around six percent in early trading on Monday after Iran attacked two major plants in the Gulf that produce the widely used metal, raising concerns over supply disruptions.

Gains later reduced, though prices were still up 4.2 percent at $3,435 per ton on the London Metal Exchange.

"Escalation and expansion of the Middle East conflict sent crude oil and aluminium up at the open," noted Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Swissquote Bank.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they launched missile and drone strikes on aluminium plants in Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates over the weekend.

The US-Israeli war on Iran and resulting closure of the Strait of Hormuz has already restricted shipments of ⁠aluminium to export markets ⁠in the United States and Europe.

Aluminium Bahrain, which runs the world's largest single-site smelter, said it was assessing the damage from the Iranian strikes. Emirates Global Aluminium, meanwhile, said its plant sustained "significant damage.”

Following sanctions on Russian aluminium over the war in Ukraine, "the Middle East became a crucial supplier to the European Union and countries including the US and Japan", analysts from ANZ bank said.

"Any further disruption to deliveries would add upward pressure on aluminium prices and premiums," they added.


WTO Suffers Fresh Blow as Reform Push Hits a Wall at Cameroon Meeting

Delegates attend the World Trade Organisation (WTO) 14th ministerial meeting in Yaounde, Cameroon, March 28, 2026.  WTO/Handout via REUTERS
Delegates attend the World Trade Organisation (WTO) 14th ministerial meeting in Yaounde, Cameroon, March 28, 2026. WTO/Handout via REUTERS
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WTO Suffers Fresh Blow as Reform Push Hits a Wall at Cameroon Meeting

Delegates attend the World Trade Organisation (WTO) 14th ministerial meeting in Yaounde, Cameroon, March 28, 2026.  WTO/Handout via REUTERS
Delegates attend the World Trade Organisation (WTO) 14th ministerial meeting in Yaounde, Cameroon, March 28, 2026. WTO/Handout via REUTERS

World Trade Organization talks broke up with no agreement on Monday on a plan for reform or even on extending a moratorium on e-commerce, piling more pressure on the trade body that finds itself increasingly sidelined by economic nationalism.

The four-day ministerial talks in Cameroon's capital Yaounde ended in the early hours with Brazil blocking a bid by the US and others to prolong a moratorium on duties for electronic transmissions like digital downloads and streaming.

Expectations for progress had been low before the talks but there had been hopes the moratorium at least would be renewed. In the end, even that proved impossible amid resistance from Brazil, and trade ministers could not agree to extend it for more than two years, which was not ⁠enough for the ⁠United States, diplomats said.

US officials and business groups expressed frustration at the impasse, and the failure to reach a joint decision was described as a "major setback for global trade" by Britain's Business and Trade Secretary Peter Kyle. The talks were deemed a test of the WTO's relevance after a year of huge trade turmoil and more recent major disruptions due to the US-Israeli war on Iran.

Agreeing on an ⁠e-commerce moratorium was seen as key to securing support for the WTO from the US, which under President Donald Trump has retreated from global multilateral bodies as he pursues his "America First" agenda.

The WTO said progress was made on a reform roadmap before time ran out, and discussions on issues like reworking its rules to render subsidy use more transparent and make decision-making easier are expected to continue in Geneva in May.

The US and the European Union argue that China in particular has taken advantage of the current rules to their detriment.

Diplomats worked throughout Sunday to close the gap between Brazil's initial two-year ⁠proposal and ⁠the US, which wanted a permanent extension, by drafting a plan for a four-year extension with a one-year sunset buffer, concluding in 2031, Reuters reported.

Brazil later proposed a four-year extension, with a review clause halfway through, but that failed to win support.

Developing countries have opposed a lengthy extension, arguing that the moratorium denies them potential tax revenue.

A US official said Brazil had opposed a "near-consensus document" saying "it's not US vs Brazil. It's Brazil and Türkiye v 164 members." A Brazilian diplomat said "the US wanted the sky," and that it was not prudent to pursue a longer extension given the rapid changes under way in digital trade.

Another diplomat present at the talks said US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer made delegates "uncomfortable" as he suggested there "would be consequences," if the US did not secure a long-term moratorium extension.