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Oxford Economics Predicts Saudi Economy to Cross $1 Trln Mark in 2022

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
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Oxford Economics Predicts Saudi Economy to Cross $1 Trln Mark in 2022

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat
Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time in 2022, Asharq Al-Awsat

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time this year.

The leader in global economic forecasting and econometric analysis pointed out that the growth rate of Saudi Arabia's national product will reach 7.5 % during 2022.

The International Monetary Fund has previously expected that Saudi Arabia's growth rate will remain in the range of 7.6% this year.

One of the main goals of Saudi Vision 2030 is for the Kingdom to become one of the fifteen largest economies in the world by 2030 and to achieve a target of $1.7 trillion in gross national product.

The Saudi Department of Statistics has projected that Saudi Arabia's real GDP growth rate will be 11.8% in the second quarter of 2022.

In other news, the Ministry of Investment of Saudi Arabia reported the signing of a range of new investment deals in diverse sectors such as advanced manufacturing, construction and real estate, ICT, tourism, entertainment and sports, highlighting the success of the National Investment Strategy in attracting investment inflows to Saudi Arabia.

Buoyed by the ambitious objectives of the National Investment Strategy, the quarter saw the signing of 49 major investment deals worth at least $925 million and set to create about 2,000 new jobs.

Some of the major deals include a $133.3 million agreement between the Saudi Ports Authority and DP World to build a logistics park at Jeddah Islamic Port and a $37 million funding round led by global finance giant Mastercard into Saudi e-commerce firm HyperPay to expand the Kingdom’s digital payment ecosystem.

Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih responded to the latest investment deals and figures by highlighting the impact of governmental plans.

“The National Investment Strategy is a catalyst to deliver on our Vision 2030 national objectives of seeing the private sector contribute 65% to GDP and growing foreign direct investment to 5.7% of GDP,” said Al-Falih.

“Despite global headwinds, we are seeing strong interest from global investors in diverse industries to partner with Saudi Arabia,” he added.

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Lebanon’s Struggling Economy Slides Toward Full Recession

The Jousieh crossing between Lebanon and Syria following an Israeli strike on October 25. (AFP)
The Jousieh crossing between Lebanon and Syria following an Israeli strike on October 25. (AFP)
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Lebanon’s Struggling Economy Slides Toward Full Recession

The Jousieh crossing between Lebanon and Syria following an Israeli strike on October 25. (AFP)
The Jousieh crossing between Lebanon and Syria following an Israeli strike on October 25. (AFP)

The ongoing Israeli war on Lebanon has led to significant economic losses estimated between $10 billion and $20 billion.

This range reflects the difficulty in accurately assessing the damage amid Israel’s ongoing military operations, including airstrikes and ground attacks.

The destruction of homes, infrastructure, and farmland has contributed to a state of uncertainty, along with an unprecedented wave of displacement affecting many families.

Experts agree that reliable economic data is hard to obtain while the conflict continues.

Reports from the Ministry of Health and international organizations said nearly 3,000 people have been killed and around 15,000 injured, mostly civilians.

Additionally, about 1.4 million people have been displaced from their homes, representing roughly a quarter of Lebanon’s population.

Growing economic crisis ahead

The war came at a time when Lebanon’s economy was already struggling after five years of crisis.

According to Mohammad Choucair, head of the Economic Bodies Association, the situation is worsening rapidly, threatening serious economic and social consequences.

Current estimates suggest that direct losses from the conflict could reach between $10 billion and $12 billion, impacting various sectors.

As the war continues, key sectors like tourism, agriculture, and trade are experiencing a sharp decline in business activity.

Many small and medium-sized enterprises are being forced to close or suspend operations due to direct damage from attacks, reduced consumer demand, and disruptions in trade and supply chains caused by the influx of displaced people.

International financial institutions are warning that the ongoing Israeli attacks could continue for several more months, possibly lasting until mid-2025.

The Institute of International Finance (IIF) forecasts a 7% contraction in Lebanon’s GDP by the end of this year, followed by a 10% decline next year.

This would bring the total economic decline to nearly 60% from the peak GDP of around $53 billion recorded at the end of 2018.