Inflation in Sudan Declines despite Stagnation, Economic Concerns

A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
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Inflation in Sudan Declines despite Stagnation, Economic Concerns

A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)

The Central Bureau of Statistics in Sudan said on Tuesday that the annual inflation rate fell for the second month in a row to 125.41 percent in July, compared to 148.88 percent the previous month, after registering 192 percent in May.

The country is facing record inflation rates, amid a sharp devaluation of the Sudanese pound against the US dollar. The economy deteriorated in the wake of last October's events, which caused the suspension of international financing and a severe shortage of hard currency.

In early August, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs reported that an estimated quarter of Sudan’s population (11.7 million people) faced acute food insecurity from June to September.

In its latest update on the situation in Sudan, the UN Office noted that this number represented an increase of about two million people compared to the same period last year. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), a fragile economy, long periods of drought, low cultivated area and erratic rainfall were among the root causes of the increase.

The United Nations News website quoted the Coordination Office as saying that the high prevalence of acute malnutrition in Sudan contributes to increasing morbidity and mortality rates among children under the age of five.

A further increase in acute malnutrition cases is expected, due to multiple factors, including the rising number of people in need of humanitarian assistance, the mounting inflation, and limited coverage of water, sanitation, hygiene and health services.

In a recent report, the Arab Monetary Fund said that the monetary policy in Sudan was facing major challenges since the recent developments, in addition to high rates of inflation.
The Fund added that despite this situation, the Sudanese state was keen to maintain the ongoing economic reforms and to contain inflation amid the pressures imposed by the high levels of the public budget deficit.



Dollar Hovers as Investors Focus on Israel-Iran Conflict ahead of Fed Decision

US dollar banknotes are seen in this photo illustration taken February 12, 2018. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/Illustration/File Photo
US dollar banknotes are seen in this photo illustration taken February 12, 2018. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Hovers as Investors Focus on Israel-Iran Conflict ahead of Fed Decision

US dollar banknotes are seen in this photo illustration taken February 12, 2018. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/Illustration/File Photo
US dollar banknotes are seen in this photo illustration taken February 12, 2018. REUTERS/Jose Luis Gonzalez/Illustration/File Photo

The US dollar dipped against the yen and steadied against the Swiss franc on Wednesday, as fighting between Israel and Iran prompted investors to scoop up safe havens, while a Federal Reserve decision later on rates kept volatility subdued.

Israel has bombarded arch-enemy Iran over the past six days to halt its nuclear activity and has asserted the need for a change of government in the Islamic Republic.

The US military is also bolstering its presence in the region, Reuters reported, stirring speculation about US intervention that investors fear could widen the conflict in an area with critical energy resources, supply chains and infrastructure.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said in a statement read by a state television presenter on Wednesday that his country would not accept US President Donald Trump's call for an unconditional surrender.

The dollar has resumed its role as a safe haven, having gained around 1% against both the Japanese yen and Swiss franc since last Thursday. On Wednesday, theurrency took a breather, edging fractionally lower against the yen and the franc and more noticeably so against the euro and the pound.

"The dollar is still a safe haven because of its depth and liquidity, so, yes, the structural forces are diluting the dollar safe-haven activities, but they're not eroding them completely," said currency strategist Rodrigo Catril at National Australia Bank.

"But in a scenario of big risk aversion, the dollar will still gain support, but maybe not to the same extent it has managed in the past."

Against a basket of six other major currencies, the dollar is still down around 8% so far this year, as confidence in the US economy and the reliability of Trump's administration as a trading and diplomatic partner has faded.

With the Fed's decision on interest rates just hours away and US markets closed on Thursday for the Juneteenth federal holiday, activity in currencies was muted.

Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.3% to 144.845 and was steady against the franc at 0.8175 francs.