Inflation in Sudan Declines despite Stagnation, Economic Concerns

A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
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Inflation in Sudan Declines despite Stagnation, Economic Concerns

A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)
A man waits to buy food at a market in Khartoum. (REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah)

The Central Bureau of Statistics in Sudan said on Tuesday that the annual inflation rate fell for the second month in a row to 125.41 percent in July, compared to 148.88 percent the previous month, after registering 192 percent in May.

The country is facing record inflation rates, amid a sharp devaluation of the Sudanese pound against the US dollar. The economy deteriorated in the wake of last October's events, which caused the suspension of international financing and a severe shortage of hard currency.

In early August, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs reported that an estimated quarter of Sudan’s population (11.7 million people) faced acute food insecurity from June to September.

In its latest update on the situation in Sudan, the UN Office noted that this number represented an increase of about two million people compared to the same period last year. According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), a fragile economy, long periods of drought, low cultivated area and erratic rainfall were among the root causes of the increase.

The United Nations News website quoted the Coordination Office as saying that the high prevalence of acute malnutrition in Sudan contributes to increasing morbidity and mortality rates among children under the age of five.

A further increase in acute malnutrition cases is expected, due to multiple factors, including the rising number of people in need of humanitarian assistance, the mounting inflation, and limited coverage of water, sanitation, hygiene and health services.

In a recent report, the Arab Monetary Fund said that the monetary policy in Sudan was facing major challenges since the recent developments, in addition to high rates of inflation.
The Fund added that despite this situation, the Sudanese state was keen to maintain the ongoing economic reforms and to contain inflation amid the pressures imposed by the high levels of the public budget deficit.



Oil Falls Nearly 4% as Iran's Retaliation Focuses on Regional US Military Bases

FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009.  REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009. REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
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Oil Falls Nearly 4% as Iran's Retaliation Focuses on Regional US Military Bases

FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009.  REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A meter shows the gas pressure in pipelines at oil and gas group MOL's gas transmission subsidiary in Vecses January 2, 2009. REUTERS/Karoly Arvai (HUNGARY)/File Photo

Oil prices slipped more than $3, or 4%, on Monday after Iran attacked the US military base in Qatar in retaliation for US attacks on its nuclear facilities, and took no action to disrupt oil and gas tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures were down $2.91, or 3.8%, at $74.09 a barrel by 1:13 p.m. ET (1713GMT). US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) eased $2.8, or 3.8%, to $71.06, Reuters reported.

"Oil flows for now aren't the primary target and is likely not to be impacted, I think it's going to be military retaliation on US bases and/or trying to hit more of the Israeli civilian targets," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital.

US President Donald Trump said he had "obliterated" Iran's main nuclear sites in strikes over the weekend, joining an Israeli assault in an escalation of conflict in the Middle East as Tehran vowed to defend itself.

Israel also carried out fresh strikes against Iran on Monday including on capital Tehran and the Iranian nuclear facility at Fordow, which was also a target of the US attack.

At least two supertankers made U-turns near the Strait of Hormuz following US military strikes on Iran, ship tracking data shows, as more than a week of violence in the region prompted vessels to speed, pause, or alter their journeys.

About a fifth of global oil supply flows through the strait. However, the risk of a complete shutdown is low, analysts have said.

A telegraphed attack on a well defended US base could be a first step in reducing tensions provided there are no US casualties, Energy Aspects said in a post.

"Unless there are indications of further Iranian retaliation or escalation by Israel/the US then we may see some geopolitical risk premium come out of the price in subsequent days," it said.

Qatar said there were no casualties from the attack on the US military base.
Iran, which is OPEC's third-largest crude producer, said on Monday that the US attack on its nuclear sites expanded the range of legitimate targets for its armed forces and called Trump a "gambler" for joining Israel's military campaign against Iran.

Meanwhile, Trump expressed a desire to see oil prices kept down amid fears that ongoing fighting in the Middle East could cause them to spike. On his Truth Social platform, he addressed the US Department of Energy, encouraging "drill, baby, drill" and saying, "I mean now."

Investors are still weighing up the extent of the geopolitical risk premium, given the Middle East crisis has yet to crimp supply.

HSBC expects Brent prices to spike above $80 a barrel to factor in a higher probability of a Strait of Hormuz closure, but to recede again if the threat of disruption does not materialize, the bank said on Monday.

Iraq's state-run Basra Oil Company said international oil majors including BP, TotalEnergies and Eni had evacuated some staff members working in oilfields.