Saudi Energy Minister: OPEC+ Does Not Target Specific Price Range

The Saudi Energy minister said OPEC+ sought to support market stability and balance supply and demand (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Energy minister said OPEC+ sought to support market stability and balance supply and demand (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Energy Minister: OPEC+ Does Not Target Specific Price Range

The Saudi Energy minister said OPEC+ sought to support market stability and balance supply and demand (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Energy minister said OPEC+ sought to support market stability and balance supply and demand (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman stressed that OPEC+ did not target specific prices or price ranges, but rather sought to support market stability and balance supply and demand for the benefit of the petroleum industry.

Prince Abdulaziz, who chairs the ministerial committee in the OPEC+ alliance, told an interview with Energy Intelligence, on Wednesday, that the decision to cut 100,000 barrels of oil per day until next October was “an expression of our willingness to use all of the tools in our kit.”

“This simple tweak shows that we are attentive, pre-emptive and proactive in terms of supporting the stability of the market to the benefit of market participants and the industry,” he added.

The minister explained that the reduction was a measure to return to the production levels of August, noting that the increase of 100,000 barrels per day was planned for the month of September only.

“As the OPEC+ meeting clearly stated, this measure was a reversion to the production level of August. The addition of the 100,000 barrels in September was always intended as a measure for that month only,” he told Energy Intelligence.

Commenting on the signs of a looming global economic recession, the minister said: “We are seeing mixed signals in relation to economic growth from different parts of the world, and there has been a tendency towards exaggeration in some of the negative analyses of the global economic situation.”

He continued: “In this regard, we think the jury is still out, but that only reinforces the need to be ready to use all the tools in our kit. It’s also worth highlighting that historical data indicates that you could have recessions with limited oil demand contractions and in fact you could even have demand growth in recession years as was the case in 1991.”

Prince Abdulaziz said he believed that the oil futures market has fallen into a “self-perpetuating vicious circle in the paper market of extreme volatility and very thin liquidity.”

“This has undermined the market’s essential function of efficient price discovery, with prohibitive costs for users of hedging and risk management techniques in oil and other commodities, creating new types of risk and instability. This cycle is exacerbated by speculative reports and analysis about demand destruction, possible return of large supply volumes, and measures related to price caps, embargoes and sanctions,” the minister remarked.

Asked whether OPEC+ had any intention of defending a certain price range, he stressed that the group did not target prices or price ranges.

“Its aim is to support market stability and supply and demand balance for the benefit of market participants and the industry,” he stated.



US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
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US Job Growth Surges in September, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%

A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo
A woman enters a store next to a sign advertising job openings at Times Square in New York City, New York, US, August 6, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

US job growth accelerated in September and the unemployment slipped to 4.1%, further reducing the need for the Federal Reserve to maintain large interest rate cuts at its remaining two meetings this year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 254,000 jobs last month after rising by an upwardly revised 159,000 in August, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its closely watched employment report on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 140,000 positions after advancing by a previously reported 142,000 in August.
The initial payrolls count for August has typically been revised higher over the past decade. Estimates for September's job gains ranged from 70,000 to 220,000.
The US labor market slowdown is being driven by tepid hiring against the backdrop of increased labor supply stemming mostly from a rise in immigration. Layoffs have remained low, which is underpinning the economy through solid consumer spending.
Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% after gaining 0.5% in August. Wages increased 4% year-on-year after climbing 3.9% in August.
The US unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in August. It has jumped from 3.4% in April 2023, in part boosted by the 16-24 age cohort and rise in temporary layoffs during the annual automobile plant shutdowns in July.
The US Federal Reserve's policy setting committee kicked off its policy easing cycle with an unusually large half-percentage-point rate cut last month and Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized growing concerns over the health of the labor market.
While the labor market has taken a step back, annual benchmark revisions to national accounts data last week showed the economy in a much better shape than previously estimated, with upgrades to growth, income, savings and corporate profits.
This improved economic backdrop was acknowledged by Powell this week when he pushed back against investors' expectations for another half-percentage-point rate cut in November, saying “this is not a committee that feels like it is in a hurry to cut rates quickly.”
The Fed hiked rates by 525 basis points in 2022 and 2023, and delivered its first rate cut since 2020 last month. Its policy rate is currently set in the 4.75%-5.00% band.
Early on Friday, financial markets saw a roughly 71.5% chance of a quarter-point rate reduction in November, CME's FedWatch tool showed. The odds of a 50 basis points cut were around 28.5%.