Framework’s Announcement of New Alliance in Iraq Stumbles at Halbousi’s Resignation

People visit the Iraqi Museum in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on September 27, 2022 on the occasion of the World Tourism Day. (AFP)
People visit the Iraqi Museum in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on September 27, 2022 on the occasion of the World Tourism Day. (AFP)
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Framework’s Announcement of New Alliance in Iraq Stumbles at Halbousi’s Resignation

People visit the Iraqi Museum in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on September 27, 2022 on the occasion of the World Tourism Day. (AFP)
People visit the Iraqi Museum in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on September 27, 2022 on the occasion of the World Tourism Day. (AFP)

Iraq’s Sunni parliament Speaker Mohammed al-Halbousi intends to tender his resignation when the legislature meets on Wednesday.

He announced the move on Sunday, taking the political scene by surprise and undermining the Shiite pro-Iran Coordination Framework’s efforts to announce a new alliance that would form a new government to end the country’s monthslong political impasse.

Member of the Framework and leader of the Hikma movement, Ammar al-Hakim called on Halbousi on Tuesday to withdraw his resignation.

Halbousi had sought to resign months ago.

During a political event in Baghdad, he explained that he wanted to step down because he used to be part of a political alliance that had called for the formation of a national majority government. That alliance included Sadrist movement leader, influential cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and Sunni and Kurdish parties.

Now, Halbousi is part of efforts to form a new coalition that is demanding the formation of a government through consensus.

The Framework has been carrying out efforts to establish the new “management of state” coalition and has even approached Sadr’s former allies. The cleric was asked to join but he ignored the call.

Several political parties, starting with the Framework, have expressed their skepticism over Halbousi’s resignation, speculating that it was just a political maneuver to undermine the grouping and ensure his re-election to his post with a vast majority.

A Sunni official described as “very smart” Halbousi’s move to resign, noting that the Framework was going to sack him as soon as parliament convened because of his alliance with Sadr that had led to divisions among Shiites.

Speaking on condition of anonymity to Asharq Al-Awsat, the official explained that had the alliance with Sadr been successful, the Shiites would have lost their majority in parliament.

“The Framework would have never allowed this,” he stressed.

Moreover, the official said the Framework then worked on encouraging Halbousi’s rivals to “rebel against him” and even name an alternative for the position of parliament speaker.

However, Halbousi was one step ahead of them and joined the new alliance with the Framework. This move not only thwarted the plan to dismiss him, but also forces those who sought his sacking to back his re-appointment as speaker because his resignation would lead to the collapse of the new alliance before it is even officially announced, explained the official.

A leading member of the Framework confirmed that Halbousi’s resignation announcement throttled the group’s plan to unveil the new alliance.

“The Framework has returned to square one with Halbousi’s announcement,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat on condition of anonymity.

“Leaders of Shiite parties are frustrated by how complicated the situation is,” he admitted.

Media professor at the Al-Iraqia University Dr. Fadel al-Badrani said Halbousi made a “smart and bold” move by announcing his resignation.

“He made it at the right moment because the Framework had constantly said that it would seek to withdraw confidence from the speaker,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

The resignation was announced just as the Framework was on the verge of revealing the new coalition that would include the majority of political forces in parliament. The coalition needs the speaker to be in place for it to succeed, he said.

The Framework, therefore, has no choice but to reject the resignation and throw its support behind Halbousi remaining in his post, he added.



Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
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Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)

Already suffering from a prolonged conflict as a result of the Houthi coup against the legitimate authority, Yemen is facing mounting risks brought on by climate change, the World Bank warned on Thursday.
Many populations are facing threats from climate change, such as extreme heat, drought, and floods, the WB said in its newly released Yemen Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR).
Stephane Guimbert, World Bank Country Director for Egypt, Yemen and Djibouti said that Yemen is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises — conflict, climate change, and poverty.
He called for immediate and decisive action on climate resilience, a matter of survival for millions of Yemenis.
“By investing in water security, climate-smart agriculture, and renewable energy, Yemen can safeguard human capital, build resilience and lay the foundations for a path to sustainable recovery,” he said.
The WB report said half of Yemenis are already exposed to at least one climate hazard — extreme heat, drought, or flooding — with compounding effects on food insecurity and poverty.
These risks, it showed, are expected to intensify without immediate action and Yemen’s annual GDP could decline by an average of 3.9% by 2040 under pessimistic climate scenarios, largely due to decreased agricultural productivity and infrastructure damage.
Navigating Challenges
Despite these challenges, the CCDR identifies strategic opportunities to strengthen resilience, improve food and water security, and unlock sustainable growth, the WB report noted.
For example, it said, targeted investments in water storage and groundwater management, coupled with adaptive agriculture techniques could lead to productivity gains of up to 13.5% in crop production under optimistic climate scenarios for the period of 2041 to 2050.
The report also spoke about risks to the fisheries sector, considered as a critical source of livelihood for many Yemenis.
Its projections indicate a potential decline of up to 23% in fish stocks due to rising sea temperatures and altered marine ecosystems.

The WB report also said that climate change exacerbates existing health challenges in Yemen, leading to increased healthcare costs and strain on already fragile health systems.
“It is projected that climate-related health issues could cost the country over $5 billion in excess health costs by 2050,” it noted.
“Addressing these challenges requires integrating climate resilience into public health planning, with a focus on vulnerable groups such as women and children.”
Concerning infrastructure, the report said urban areas and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable, and without adaptation measures, economic shocks will disproportionately affect already fragile communities.
As for the private sector, it has a critical role to play in addressing Yemen’s pressing development challenges, said Khawaja Aftab Ahmed, IFC’s Regional Director for the Middle East.
“Harnessing its potential through innovative financing mechanisms and guarantee instruments and creating a conducive investment climate can help mobilize the climate-focused funding the country urgently needs to build a greener and more resilient future,” he said.
The WB report also said that Yemen also has immense potential for renewable energy, which could serve as a key component of its climate response and recovery.
It showed that harnessing renewable energy resources not only offers a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels but also enables the creation of a more resilient power infrastructure.
“This will be essential in supporting vital services such as healthcare, water supply, and food distribution, particularly in conflict-affected areas,” it said.
Global Coordination
The World Bank highlighted the significant commitments and coordination from the international community to support Yemen in coping with climate shocks and building broader resilience.
It said securing sustainable peace will be required to unlock the financing and take the action needed to build long-term resilience to climate change.
The CCDR then underscored the importance of flexible, risk-informed decision-making to adapt climate actions to Yemen's uncertain political landscape.
Under a “Peace and Prosperity” scenario, it said, a higher level of adaptation can be implemented, yielding greater economic and social benefits.
Yemeni Minister of Water and Environment, Tawfiq Al-Sharjabi, stressed the importance of integrating climate action into development strategies and adapting to climate fluctuations.
The minister was speaking at a special session to discuss the WB report on the sidelines of the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
He said the report represents a significant contribution for Yemen in addressing climate change and will facilitate access to various climate financing options amid the structural and technical fragility faced by institutions due to the war.
The report, Al-Sharjabi added, aligns closely with Yemen's urgent priorities, particularly in the areas of water and food security, enhancing livelihoods, and promoting area-based climate adaptation approaches.