Lebanon: Govt Seen Backtracking from FX Move

Lebanese pound banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon, January 5, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
Lebanese pound banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon, January 5, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
TT
20

Lebanon: Govt Seen Backtracking from FX Move

Lebanese pound banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon, January 5, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
Lebanese pound banknotes are pictured at a currency exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon, January 5, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

The Lebanese finance ministry seemed on Thursday backing away from a Nov. 1 start date to slash the official exchange rate.

The ministry said on Wednesday the official exchange rate of 1,507 pounds per dollar would be replaced with one of 15,000, calling this a step towards unifying multiple rates that have emerged during Lebanon's three-year long financial crisis.

But after declaring a Nov. 1 implementation date, the ministry later linked the step to approval of a financial recovery plan, the latest version of which is being discussed in parliament.

Some economists and politicians saw this as a government retreat: the recovery plan, which must address a $72 billion hole in the national finances, has been in dispute since 2019.

The pound's market value currently stands at 38,000 to the dollar, a devaluation of more than 95% since Lebanon collapsed into a financial crisis that has plunged swathes of the population into poverty.

Finance Minister Youssef Khalil could not be reached for comment. In a Reuters interview on Wednesday, he said the change was agreed with the central bank and would be discussed with stakeholders over the next month before implementation.

Ibrahim Kanaan, a senior lawmaker in President Michel Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement, told Reuters amending the official rate was necessary "but not in this way".

"I want to check if he will follow through on this or has to amend it a bit, because you cant do it this way," he said.

A finance ministry official referred Reuters to a statement late on Wednesday that said the move to a new official exchange rate was "conditioned on the approval of the recovery plan that is being worked on, and which should accompany that step".

Central bank governor Riad Salameh, in a text message to Reuters late on Wednesday, said implementing the decision "will require time", without elaborating.



Gold Hits Record High on Trade War Woes, Weak Dollar

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma//File Photo
TT
20

Gold Hits Record High on Trade War Woes, Weak Dollar

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma//File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma//File Photo

Gold scaled a record peak on Monday, spurred by concerns over global economic growth amid the US-China trade war, while a weaker dollar further boosted the rally.
Spot gold advanced 1.9% to $3,391.02 an ounce as of 0641 GMT after hitting a record high of $3,391.62 earlier in the session.
US gold futures firmed 2.2% to $3,402.80.
The dollar index hit a three-year low, making gold more attractive for other currency holders, Reuters said.
"Fundamentally, markets are pricing in heightened geopolitical risks, driven by US tariff tensions and stagflation concerns, while resilient central bank demand offers an added tailwind for prices as well," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.
US President Donald Trump announced "reciprocal tariffs" on dozens of countries on April 2, and while his administration paused levies for some countries, it has ratcheted its trade battle with China.
On Monday, China warned countries against striking a broader economic deal with the US at its expense, a move Trump is reportedly seeking from countries looking for tariff reductions or exemptions.
Meanwhile, Trump launched a series of attacks against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, with his team evaluating whether they could fire Powell.
On the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine accused each other of thousands of attacks that violated the one-day Easter ceasefire declared by President Vladimir Putin, with the Kremlin saying there was no order to extend the pause in frontline fighting.
These issues bode well for the safe-haven bullion.
However, gold's relative strength index (RSI) stands at 75, indicating that the metal is overbought.
"The next potential milestone for gold could be around the $3,500 level, though positioning may appear crowded in the near term and technical indicators suggest near-term overbought conditions," IG's Rong said.
Spot silver added 0.8% to $32.84 an ounce, platinum gained 1% to $976.60, while palladium fell 0.2% to $961.50.