Saudi Experts Suggest Int’l Production Center Focusing on Coffee as a National Wealth

The first international “Saudi Coffee Sustainability Forum” in Jazan to discuss the value chain of Saudi coffee (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The first international “Saudi Coffee Sustainability Forum” in Jazan to discuss the value chain of Saudi coffee (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Experts Suggest Int’l Production Center Focusing on Coffee as a National Wealth

The first international “Saudi Coffee Sustainability Forum” in Jazan to discuss the value chain of Saudi coffee (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The first international “Saudi Coffee Sustainability Forum” in Jazan to discuss the value chain of Saudi coffee (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia needs to focus on the quality of production and agriculture of coffee beans and increase its research if it wants to compete in the global market, concluded an international gathering.

Under the patronage of Governor of Jazan Prince Mohammad bin Nasser bin Abdulaziz, organized by the Ministry of Culture, Saudi Arabia hosted the first international forum to examine the benefit of coffee as national wealth, explore available investment opportunities, and discuss financing options and the role of this activity in the domestic product.

The Ministry of Culture organized the international “Saudi Coffee Sustainability Forum” in Jazan between Oct. 1 and 2 to discuss the value chain of Saudi coffee and relevant economic, social, and environmental aspects of sustainability.

It provides an overview of the local economy and presents practical papers and in-depth research that discuss aspects related to agriculture, production, and sustainable international practices for growing coffee beans.

- Government cooperation

Expert in agricultural economics, Mohammad al-Qunaibet, stressed the importance of the cooperation of authorities such as the Ministry of Culture and the Jazan Mountain Development Authority in scientific research to obtain high results that will lead to the sustainability and development of the sector.

According to Qunaibet, a scientific study revealed that the average costs are dedicated to preparing land and equipment, with about 79 percent, while the rest goes to variable expenses, including labor, irrigation water, and harvesting.

The expert pointed out that the world produces 10 million tons of coffee beans, three of which are made by Brazil, while Saudi Arabia produces 650 tons.

Saudi competition must be based on high quality and a “very luxurious” product to compete and market globally, said Qunaibet.

- Funding

The head of the development impact department at the Agricultural Development Fund, Bandar al-Rabiah, stated that the farm funding program amounts to $800,000 for farms in rural areas, pointing out that this year the funding recorded a leap, bringing the total value of approved financing to $3.2 million in Jazan alone.

Rabiah called for intensifying the efforts of the relevant authorities to increase cultural awareness of coffee to push funding to higher levels.

- Increased prices

For his part, Karl Weinhold, a researcher in rural development and the coffee economy, explained that coffee is currently experiencing price risks due to environmental changes and climatic conditions, pushing prices to rise globally.

Weinhold pointed out that many local farmers in the coffee industry around the world have been suffering from low income and poverty recently, explaining that it is possible to find diversified sequential paths.

He demanded that small coffee farmers must be aware that working collectively ensures the continuity of their businesses and industries.

- Economics of coffee

Furthermore, a professor of economics at the College of Business Administration at King Faisal University, Hassan Hajooj, stated that the coffee sector could become an economic tributary, provided that authorities take advantage of the geographical location of the Kingdom between the coffee-growing regions in Asia and Asia.

The Kingdom is one of the largest importers and consumers of coffee, ranking eighth in the world.

Hajooj added that Saudi consumption increased 100 percent in 2019, which means an increasing consumption trend in the Kingdom.

The Ministry of Commerce issued 7,300 commercial records, 2020 for cafes, which is an indicator of the contribution of coffee to economic activity.

The Kingdom’s annual spending on coffee consumption amounted to $346 million, said Hajooj, while the market value of restaurants and cafes is estimated at a compound annual rate of 8 percent.

The professor estimated that the linear forecast for the value of the Saudi coffee import bill would rise to $425 million until 2023, noting that the coffee sector accounted for about 0.86 percent of Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product in 2020 and that that figure was set to rise to 6.18 percent over the next five years.

- Global Trends

Hajooj added that the current global trends prove the increased demand for coffee consumption, especially with the change in the behavioral pattern of consumption in China and India.

- Global Center

The expert called for Saudi Arabia to adopt a global center in coffee production within the framework of the 10th National Development Plan aimed at making the Kingdom a global logistics hub and supporting Vision 2030.

He explained that the Kingdom could become a global center for the coffee industry through the location of Jazan, especially with the export ports between Asia and Africa.

Turkey, the UAE, and Malaysia are among the largest exporters to the Kingdom, and they are all non-producing countries but reproduce and export.

- Complex and Museum

Director of the Jazan Mountain Development Authority Dhafer al-Fahad explained that authorities continue to develop crops suitable for the climate of the mountainous governorates and coffee seedlings.

He added that 900,000 coffee seedlings would be distributed for research in the coming years.

The Authority established a statistical database for all coffee growers in Jazan that is updated periodically. It has also founded the Saudi Coffee Center in cooperation with Saudi Aramco.

In addition, it created an automated nursery to increase the production capacity of coffee seedlings to 800,000 annually.

Fahad announced the Culinary Arts Commission intended to establish the Saudi Coffee Museum in partnership with the Ministry of Culture and that the Kingdom had joined the World Coffee Organization.



Azour to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Has Strong Financial Buffers to Confront War Impact

Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
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Azour to Asharq Al-Awsat: Saudi Arabia Has Strong Financial Buffers to Confront War Impact

Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)
Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, speaks at the IMF, World Bank spring meetings. (IMF)

“This is a multidimensional shock.” That is how Dr. Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund, summed up the bleak outlook gripping the region, describing the current war as an earthquake not seen in geopolitics and economics for five decades.

He said it has struck one of the world’s most vital economic corridors, shaking energy markets, disrupting trade routes and eroding business confidence, creating uncertainty that demands unconventional responses.

He added that Saudi Arabia has, in recent years, built strong financial institutions and diversified its income, giving it room to maneuver despite the pressure.

The IMF has cut its 2026 growth forecasts for Gulf states in its World Economic Outlook, citing the fallout from the Iran war. The impact varies sharply by country, depending on exposure to energy markets and trade, and the availability of alternatives to secure oil exports.

Among oil exporters hit by the conflict, five of eight economies are now expected to contract in 2026. Qatar faces the steepest downgrade due to extensive infrastructure damage. Oman, by contrast, sees only a slight downgrade, as its maritime outlet lies entirely outside the Strait of Hormuz, and it is expected to benefit from stronger fiscal and current account balances driven by higher oil prices.

Saudi Arabia stands out, with growth projected at about 3.1% this year, supported by alternative oil pipelines.

Speaking at a virtual discussion on the IMF’s latest assessment of the war’s impact on Middle East and North Africa economies, Azour said this exceptional shock, hitting the core of global trade and energy routes, is being met in Saudi Arabia with institutional resilience.

He said the Kingdom has built strong financial “buffers” through income diversification and institutional strengthening, giving it the fiscal space to advance Vision 2030 and shield its mega projects from regional turbulence.

Strong financial institutions

Responding to a question from Asharq Al-Awsat, Azour said Saudi Arabia has anchored its fiscal policy to a medium-term framework.

He described the Kingdom’s “reordering of project priorities” as a healthy and normal response to shifting global conditions, aimed at preserving Vision 2030’s core goals of economic diversification and job creation.

He added that strong financial institutions give the Kingdom the flexibility to absorb disruptions to trade routes.

Cracks in energy infrastructure

Azour said the shock has centered on hydrocarbons, with data showing a sudden halt in the flow of more than 12 million barrels a day of oil and gas. The disruption has spread beyond energy to the real economy, with tourism across most Gulf Cooperation Council countries declining noticeably.

Business confidence has weakened, reflected in widening credit spreads and currency volatility. The Egyptian pound has been among the clearest indicators of these sharp aftershocks.

‘Baseline scenario’

Looking ahead, Azour outlined a “baseline scenario” in which hostilities end by midyear. Even then, he said, markets should expect oil prices to rise by $10 a barrel. He warned of a more severe scenario in which oil averages $130 for a prolonged period, turning the crisis from a supply shock into a heavy burden on oil importers such as Jordan and Tunisia, triggering a sharp contraction in their current accounts.

Interconnected regional interests

Azour underscored the region’s deep interdependence, saying countries such as Pakistan, Egypt and Jordan rely structurally on Gulf states not only for energy, but for financial lifelines.

Any disruption in the Gulf quickly translates into falling remittances, which account for about 5% of GDP in some countries, and a halt in capital flows. A prolonged war, he warned, could turn the energy crisis into a food security disaster for vulnerable states due to rising fertilizer and basic commodity costs.

‘Keep your powder dry’

In his strongest remarks, Azour said governments’ room for maneuver is shrinking under the weight of pandemic-era debt. He cited advice from a “Gulf finance minister” to “keep your powder dry,” urging countries to use their limited buffers with agility.

He stressed the need for precise policy calibration, replacing broad subsidies with targeted cash support for vulnerable groups, maintaining monetary tightening to curb inflation, and recognizing exchange rate flexibility as the key shield against severe shocks.

Azour said the crisis, despite its severity, should mark a turning point, forcing a fundamental rethink of the region’s long-term economic strategies.

Heavy reliance on single trade and energy routes, he said, has become an existential risk in a world of fast-moving geopolitical volatility. The post-war phase should not mean a return to old models, but a shift toward building a “resilience economy.”

He said this shift requires parallel action, accelerating diversification of production to reduce exposure to energy price shocks, while deepening regional economic integration, which the crisis has shown is not just a political choice, but a shared economic safeguard.

He also highlighted the need to strengthen food and water security through innovation, to ensure livelihoods are not left vulnerable to disruptions in global supply chains.

In a message to policymakers, Azour said lasting financial stability depends not only on crisis management, but on embedding structural shock absorbers within economic systems, enabling countries to absorb major shocks and move toward more sustainable and inclusive growth, away from the volatility of geopolitics and prolonged conflict.


Alternative Routes for Middle East Oil and Gas Due to Hormuz Disruption

 The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
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Alternative Routes for Middle East Oil and Gas Due to Hormuz Disruption

 The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
The sun rises behind tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)

The US-Israeli war with Iran has disrupted shipping through ‌the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important oil chokepoint, exposing the Middle East's limited alternatives for exporting its hydrocarbons.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) called it the largest supply disruption on record, bigger than the oil shocks of the 1970s and the loss of Russian pipeline gas after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine combined.

These are the existing and possible alternative oil and gas export bypasses of the Strait of Hormuz:

EXISTING PIPELINES:

EAST–WEST PIPELINE (SAUDI ARABIA)

Saudi Arabia's 1,200-km East–West pipeline can transport up to 7 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, with effective exports estimated at around 4.5 million bpd, depending on tanker and jetty availability.

From Yanbu, shipments can travel ‌to Europe via ‌the Suez Canal or south via the Bab el-Mandeb ‌strait ⁠to reach Asia, ⁠a route carrying security risks from Yemen's Houthi militants, who have attacked tankers during the Gaza war.

HABSHAN–FUJAIRAH PIPELINE (UAE)

The Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (ADCOP) runs from Abu Dhabi's Habshan onshore fields to Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman, outside Hormuz. Operated by ADNOC and commissioned in 2012, the 360-km pipeline has capacity of about 1.5–1.8 million bpd. Oil loadings at Fujairah, however, have been affected by drone attacks since the Iran war started ⁠at the end of February.

KIRKUK-CEYHAN PIPELINE (IRAQ- TÜRKIYE)

Iraq's main northern export route ‌runs from Kirkuk to Türkiye's Mediterranean port of ‌Ceyhan via the Kurdistan region. The pipeline restarted last September after a 2-1/2-year shutdown following an ‌interim deal between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government. On March 17, Iraq began ‌pumping 170,000 bpd, with plans to reach 250,000 bpd, after Iraq's national oil company SOMO signed export contracts via Türkiye, Jordan and Syria.

GOREH-JASK PIPELINE

Iran may be able to utilize the Jask terminal, fed by the 1 million bpd Goreh-Jask pipeline, to bypass the Strait, the ‌IEA said in its latest oil market report. The construction of the terminal is not fully complete but a loading ⁠from Jask was tested ⁠in 2024, it said.

POSSIBLE ALTERNATIVE ROUTES:

IRAQ–OMAN PIPELINE Iraq said last September it was considering a pipeline from Basra to Oman’s port of Duqm on the Gulf of Oman.

The project remains at an early conceptual stage, with routes under study including an overland line via neighboring countries or a costly subsea pipeline.

IRAQ–JORDAN PIPELINE

The proposed 1 million bpd pipeline would ship crude from Basra to Jordan's Red Sea port of Aqaba, bypassing Hormuz.

First proposed in the 1980s and approved in principle in 2022, the project remains stalled by cost, security and political hurdles.

GULF–SEA OF OMAN CANAL

A canal bypassing Hormuz - similar to the Suez or Panama Canals - remains purely conceptual. A project to cut through the Hajar Mountains toward Fujairah would face extreme engineering challenges and could cost hundreds of billions of dollars.


US Official Says Gas Prices Have Peaked Despite Iran War

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
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US Official Says Gas Prices Have Peaked Despite Iran War

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright testifies before a Senate Energy and Natural Resources Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing on US President Donald Trump’s budget request for the Department of Energy on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, US, April 21, 2026. (Reuters)

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Tuesday that gasoline prices appeared to have peaked after a surge linked to the Iran war -- a marked shift in tone a day after President Donald Trump publicly rebuked his earlier, more cautious outlook.

"I don't know the future of energy prices -- often I will speculate or look at those things. I would say, gasoline prices, it looks like they peaked about a week or so ago," Wright told the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee.

He said the high point was $1 a gallon cheaper than the peak during the administration of Trump's predecessor Joe Biden, adding: "Yet we're in the midst of ending a 47-year conflict in the Middle East, a major energy producing region."

The remarks mark an abrupt pivot from comments Wright made on CNN on Sunday, when he warned that prices might not fall below $3 per gallon until next year due to disruptions in global oil flows.

But Trump swiftly distanced himself from that assessment, telling politics news outlet The Hill that Wright was "totally wrong" to suggest a prolonged period of elevated prices. He said prices would fall "as soon as this ends," referring to the Iran war.

The rebuke underscores tensions within the administration as it grapples with the economic fallout from the conflict, which has rattled global energy markets.

Oil prices surged after disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz -- a critical shipping chokepoint off Iran's southern coast -- pushed US gasoline above $4 a gallon for the first time since 2022.

Data from AAA show the national average for regular gasoline at $4.02 on Tuesday, down slightly from $4.118 a week earlier -- lending some support to Wright's claim that prices were coming down.

Still, prices remain sharply higher than roughly $3.15 a year ago, underscoring the political sensitivity of fuel costs ahead of November's congressional elections.

The current crisis is rooted in decades of US-Iran tensions dating back to the 1979 revolution and hostage crisis.

The latest flare-up has seen shipping restrictions, military pressure and a fragile ceasefire that appeared close to expiring as of Tuesday, with no clear path to lasting resolution.

While oil benchmarks have eased from recent highs, any renewed disruption in the Gulf could quickly reverse that trend.