Russia Could Repeat Syria’s Ghouta, Aleppo Scenarios in Ukraine

A Russian army RS-24 Yars ballistic missile system moves through Red Square during a military parade in 2020. (AFP)
A Russian army RS-24 Yars ballistic missile system moves through Red Square during a military parade in 2020. (AFP)
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Russia Could Repeat Syria’s Ghouta, Aleppo Scenarios in Ukraine

A Russian army RS-24 Yars ballistic missile system moves through Red Square during a military parade in 2020. (AFP)
A Russian army RS-24 Yars ballistic missile system moves through Red Square during a military parade in 2020. (AFP)

Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, the former commander of the UK and NATO chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) forces, warned that strategic nuclear weapons can change the planet as we know it.

Russia and the West, including the US, UK, and France, have nearly 6,000 warheads between them. If launched, these warheads can lead to Mutually Assured Destruction, he added.

These warheads are mounted on intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), which can travel thousands of miles and are aimed at key locations and cities in the US, UK, France, and Russia, he explained.

Tactical nukes, meanwhile, are much smaller warheads with a yield, or explosive force, of up to 100 kilotons of dynamite—instead of about 1,000 kilotons for strategic warheads, he said.

That said, tactical nuclear weapons can still cause massive amounts of damage, and if fired at a nuclear power plant—for example, Zaporizhzhia in southern Ukraine—could create a chain reaction and pollution on the scale of a nuclear attack.

Moreover, Russians could even attack this plant with a conventional weapon that might have the effect of a tactical nuclear explosion, warned Bretton-Gordon.

He believes that the Russians developed their unconventional warfare tactics in Syria.

“I don’t think President Bashar al-Assad would still be in power if he hadn’t used chemical weapons,” he said.

The massive nerve agent attack on August 21, 2013 on Ghouta stopped the opposition factions from overpowering Damascus. The four-year conventional siege of Aleppo was ended by several chlorine attacks.

According to Bretton-Gordon, Russian President Vladimir Putin does not seem to have any reason not to repeat this experience again in Ukraine.



Grossi Wants to Meet with Iran’s Pezeshkian ‘at Earliest Convenience’

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi speaks to the media at the Dupont Circle Hotel in Washington, US, March 15, 2023. (Reuters)
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi speaks to the media at the Dupont Circle Hotel in Washington, US, March 15, 2023. (Reuters)
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Grossi Wants to Meet with Iran’s Pezeshkian ‘at Earliest Convenience’

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi speaks to the media at the Dupont Circle Hotel in Washington, US, March 15, 2023. (Reuters)
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi speaks to the media at the Dupont Circle Hotel in Washington, US, March 15, 2023. (Reuters)

Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Rafael Grossi announced he intends to visit Tehran through a letter he addressed to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.

Iranian Mehr Agency reported that Grossi sent a congratulatory message to the Iranian president-elect, which stated: “I would like to extend my heartfelt congratulations to you on your election win as President of the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

“Cooperation between the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Islamic Republic of Iran has been at the focal attention of the international circles for many years. I am confident that, together, we will be able to make decisive progress on this crucial matter.”

“To that effect, I wish to express my readiness to travel to Iran to meet with you at the earliest convenience,” Iran’s Mehr news agency quoted Grossi as saying.

The meeting – should it take place - will be the first for Pezeshkian, who had pledged during his election campaign to be open to the West to resolve outstanding issues through dialogue.

Last week, American and Israeli officials told the Axios news site that Washington sent a secret warning to Tehran last month regarding its fears of Iranian research and development activities that might be used to produce nuclear weapons.

In May, Grossi expressed his dissatisfaction with the course of the talks he held over two days in Iran in an effort to resolve outstanding matters.

Since the death of the former Iranian president, Ibrahim Raisi, the IAEA chief refrained from raising the Iranian nuclear file, while European sources said that Tehran had asked to “freeze discussions” until the internal situation was arranged and a new president was elected.