UN Envoy: Iraq Is ‘Highly Volatile’ and Leaders Must Talk

An Iraqi man grills fish stewed in a traditional style known as "Maskuf", carp fish from the Tigris river grilled over firewood, at his shop in Kifah district in central Baghdad, Iraq, 04 October 2022. (EPA)
An Iraqi man grills fish stewed in a traditional style known as "Maskuf", carp fish from the Tigris river grilled over firewood, at his shop in Kifah district in central Baghdad, Iraq, 04 October 2022. (EPA)
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UN Envoy: Iraq Is ‘Highly Volatile’ and Leaders Must Talk

An Iraqi man grills fish stewed in a traditional style known as "Maskuf", carp fish from the Tigris river grilled over firewood, at his shop in Kifah district in central Baghdad, Iraq, 04 October 2022. (EPA)
An Iraqi man grills fish stewed in a traditional style known as "Maskuf", carp fish from the Tigris river grilled over firewood, at his shop in Kifah district in central Baghdad, Iraq, 04 October 2022. (EPA)

The UN special envoy for Iraq warned Tuesday that the situation in the country remains “highly volatile” nearly a year after last October’s elections failed to form a government, saying all sides have made “strategic mistakes” and it’s now time for all Iraqi leaders to hold talks “and pull the country back from the ledge.”

Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert told the UN Security Council that “with risks of further strife and bloodshed still very tangible, dwelling on who did what when is no longer an option.”

She said “public disillusion is running sky-high,” and too many Iraqis have lost faith in the country’s political class to act in the interests of the country and the people.

Iraq’s leaders must take responsibility and quickly engage in dialogue and put the spotlight on the people’s needs, Hennis-Plasschaert said, warning that “a continued failure to address this loss of faith will only exacerbate Iraq’s problems.”

Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr’s bloc won the most votes in parliamentary elections last October but he has been unable to form a majority government. His followers stormed the parliament in late July to prevent their rivals from Iran-backed Shiite Coordination Framework from forming a government.

With ensuing rallies, clashes with security forces, counter-rallies and a sit-in outside parliament, the government formation process has stalled.

Sadr has been calling for the dissolution of parliament and early elections and has been in a power struggle with his Iran-backed rivals since the vote.

Hennis-Plasschaert stressed that there are solutions, but for any of them to be adopted Iraq’s leaders must start talking and be willing to compromise.

“Delivering a functioning government is merely the first step to overcoming the current crisis in a sustainable way,” she said. “A wide range of critical issues must be addressed. Chief among them is the adoption of federal budget, absent which state spending could come to a halt by the end of the year.”

Hennis-Plasschaert said that since 2003, when a US-led invasion toppled Iraq’s longtime ruler Saddam Hussein, too many opportunities for meaningful reforms in the country have been wasted, and corruption remains “a core feature of Iraq’s current political economy, built into every day transactions.”

The country also relies on “patronage and clientelism” which have resulted in a ballooning public sector functioning more as “an instrument of political favor” than improving the lives of the Iraqi people, she said,

“Pervasive corruption is a major root cause of Iraqi dysfunctionality,” the Iraqi envoy said. “And frankly, no leader can claim to be shielded from it.”

She warned that keeping this system as it is will backfire, “sooner rather than later.”

As for calls for early national elections, Hennis-Plasschaert asked: “What are the guarantees that new national elections will not be held in vain once again? How will Iraqi citizens be persuaded that it is worth casting their votes? And what reassurances would the international community need for them to support new elections?”

She said the UN has made clear that it would not be able to confirm at this time that the UN political mission which she heads would be able to assist in new elections because this would require a request from the government to the Security Council which would then have to be considered.

Hennis-Plasschaert said the UN also doesn’t have “a magic wand” about parliamentary elections in the Kurdistan region which were initially supposed to be held Oct. 1, but did not because of divisions among political parties.

She warned that the political fallout from not holding timely elections and neglecting basic democratic principles ”will bear a high cost.”

The UN special representative recalled that when she last briefed the Security Council in May she raised an alarm about Turkish and Iranian shelling in the north. With Iran’s attacks last week, she reiterated the alarm that this was becoming the “new normal” for Iraq.

Iran’s attacks on Iranian-Kurdish bases killed at least nine people and wounded 32 others. The strikes targeted a banned Iranian leftist armed opposition group.

“No neighbor should treat Iraq as its backyard,” Hennis-Plasschaert said. “No neighbor should be allowed to routinely, and with impunity, violate Iraq’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Yet it is happening. Time and again.”



Macron Maintains Contacts to Stop Israeli War on Lebanon

The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
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Macron Maintains Contacts to Stop Israeli War on Lebanon

The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)
The French president intensifies his contacts for an immediate ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. (AFP)

French President Emmanuel Macron continues his efforts to halt the Israeli war on Lebanon, also stressing the need to stop supplying weapons to Israel.
Macron’s communications, as part of his call for an international conference to support Lebanon announced over a week ago, involve a wide range of Arab leaders, France’s European partners, the US, and Israel. The Lebanese issue was also discussed at the summit of the European-Mediterranean countries held in the Cypriot city of Paphos.
So far, Paris has not backed away from the French-American initiative calling for a temporary halt to military operations between Israel and Hezbollah, allowing room to discuss the activation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and arrange security measures along the borders while seeking to find solutions to the border disputes between Lebanon and Israel.
Macron has strongly reacted to the targeting of UN peacekeeping forces (UNIFIL), stating that France “will not allow this to happen again.” In addition to a joint statement by France, Spain, and Italy on the security of UNIFIL, in which attacks on the forces were described as trampling on international humanitarian law and UN Security Council resolutions, Paris also signed a statement by the Group of Forty. This group includes 36 countries with troops operating under UNIFIL, along with six other supporting nations.
The statement emphasized the need to “respect the presence of UNIFIL, which means ensuring the safety and security of its personnel at all times”. It also expressed support for UNIFIL’s role, especially in the current critical phase, given the escalation in the region.
Macron and Berri
As part of intensive contacts, French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot visited Beirut before embarking on a second regional tour that took him to several Arab capitals and Israel, without returning to Lebanon. Sources in Paris indicated that the reason for excluding Beirut was the resistance Barrot encountered in Israel regarding the possibility of achieving a ceasefire on the Lebanese front.
Macron also called Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Saturday. The latter received an extended 40-minute call from US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.
Paris sees Berri as playing a “key role” today, given that he is “officially” tasked by Hezbollah with handling the political aspect and is considered the channel capable of delivering direct messages to the party’s leadership and influencing it. This comes especially after the issuance of the tripartite statement calling for a ceasefire and the acceptance of implementing UN Resolution 1701, which effectively means Hezbollah abandoning its “support front” and separating the war in Gaza from the conflict in Lebanon.
Given the importance of the Macron-Berri conversation, which provided the French president with a clear picture of what Hezbollah is willing to accept and reject, the Élysée Palace issued a detailed statement summarizing the call and outlining the key messages Macron aimed to convey to Lebanon and other parties involved.
Three Key Messages
The first message expressed “concern over the intensification of Israeli strikes on Lebanon and their tragic impact on civilians.” Naturally, Macron expressed “solidarity with the Lebanese people during this ordeal” and reaffirmed France’s commitment to “ensuring Lebanon’s safety, sovereignty, and security in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 1701.”
The presidential statement practically conveyed that neither Hezbollah nor Israel had respected the letter or spirit of the international resolution, and that UN peacekeeping forces had been unable to fulfill their mission as mandated by the Security Council, with the same applying to the Lebanese army.
Macron reiterated France’s commitment to two things: first, keeping the French contingent of 700 troops stationed in southern Lebanon as part of UNIFIL.
The second message urged Lebanese parties to work for the “unity and stability of the country during this critical phase,” calling for a consensus on a political agenda that includes “the election of a president who guarantees national unity.” Macron stressed that France “will always stand by those who choose this path, and will continue to mobilize the international quintet (comprised of France, the US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Qatar).
Macron had previously appointed former Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian as his personal envoy to Lebanon. However, Le Drian’s mediation efforts, along with the meetings of the quintet and his communications, have not yielded any results due to internal complications and external influences.
Macron’s main attempt in the Lebanese file now is the international conference scheduled for Oct. 24 in Paris.
The third message conveyed that Paris “remains steadfast in its efforts to organize the international conference to support the Lebanese people and Lebanon’s sovereignty.” The Élysée statement clarified that the conference “will provide an opportunity to mobilize the international community to respond to the humanitarian needs of the Lebanese people and offer support to the Lebanese armed forces and internal security forces, whose role will be crucial for the country’s stability.”
As for the ceasefire, Paris is not the key actor. In an unusually frank statement, French Defense Minister Sébastien Lecornu acknowledged France’s inability to influence Israel’s decisions. In a radio interview last week, Lecornu said: “Israel does not respond to American demands and requests, so how can France influence it?”