IMF Confirms Saudi Economy’s Growth Forecast in Coming Years

Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
TT

IMF Confirms Saudi Economy’s Growth Forecast in Coming Years

Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Saudi economy continues to grow and maintains IMF predictions (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed its economic growth forecast for Saudi Arabia for the current year at 7.6 percent, the exact forecasts for July and April.

Earlier, the Fund increased its expectations twice for the Saudi economy in 2022, making the Kingdom the only country among the G20 whose growth expectations have been raised twice.

The Kingdom's 2023 predictions remained unchanged at 3.7 percent growth year-on-year.

The IMF predicts that the inflation rate for the consumer price index in Saudi Arabia will reach 2.7 percent this year, compared to 3.1 percent in 2021, and the inflation rate is expected to slow down to 2.2 percent in 2023.

According to the IMF's growth predictions, Saudi Arabia remained at a 7.6 percent output increase in 2022, with a 3.7 percent output increase the following year.

Saudi Arabia's real gross domestic product is forecast to rise 3.4 percent annually by the end of this year to reach 7.6 percent, showed the IMF data.

The Fund confirmed that Saudi Arabia could contain the inflation, despite the high prices of imported goods, pointing out that inflation in the Kingdom will remain limited to 2.8 percent during the current year.

Earlier, Saudi Arabia concluded a memorandum of understanding with the IMF to establish a regional office in Riyadh, which would boost its presence in the region and provide its economic recommendations to the countries of the Gulf and the region.

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed al-Jadaan signed the MoU with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva in Riyadh. Several Gulf finance ministers and officials were present at the event.

Georgieva’s meeting with the Saudi ministers and officials tackled opportunities to address the food insecurity that has had consequences on the economies of some countries.

Georgieva said her meeting with the ministers tackled global issues and was instrumental in further deepening the cooperation between the IMF and Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states, especially in responding to the global series of shocks, including food insecurity.

She added that the talks focused on the importance of achieving sustainability, diversifying income sources, and weighing other countries' aid needs.

Georgieva stressed that Saudi Arabia would become one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, noting that maintaining the reform momentum to diversify the economy further will be pivotal for longer-term prosperity.



Gaza Faces Multi-billion-dollar Reconstruction Challenge

A drone view shows Palestinians walking past the rubble of houses and buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the war, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip, January 20, 2025. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem
A drone view shows Palestinians walking past the rubble of houses and buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the war, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip, January 20, 2025. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem
TT

Gaza Faces Multi-billion-dollar Reconstruction Challenge

A drone view shows Palestinians walking past the rubble of houses and buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the war, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip, January 20, 2025. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem
A drone view shows Palestinians walking past the rubble of houses and buildings destroyed in Israeli strikes during the war, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip, January 20, 2025. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem

Billions of dollars will be needed to rebuild Gaza after the war between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas, according to assessments from the United Nations, Reuters reported. A ceasefire between Israel and Hamas took effect on Sunday, suspending a 15-month-old war that has devastated the Gaza Strip and inflamed the Middle East.
Here is a breakdown of the destruction in Gaza from the conflict prompted by the Oct. 7, 2023 attack on Israel by militants from Hamas, which at the time ruled the Palestinian enclave.
HOW MANY CASUALTIES ARE THERE? The Hamas attack on Israel killed 1,200 people, according to Israeli tallies. Israel's retaliation has killed more than 46,000 people, according to Gaza's health ministry.
HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE TO CLEAR THE RUBBLE? A UN damage assessment released this month showed that clearing over 50 million tons of rubble left in the aftermath of Israel's bombardment could take 21 years and cost up to $1.2 billion. The debris is believed to be contaminated with asbestos, with some refugee camps struck during the war known to have been built with the material. The rubble also likely holds human remains. The Palestinian Ministry of Health estimates that 10,000 bodies are missing under the debris. A United Nations Development Program official said on Sunday that development in Gaza has been set back by 69 years as a result of the conflict.
HOW MANY BUILDINGS HAVE BEEN DESTROYED?
Rebuilding Gaza's shattered homes will take at least until 2040, but could drag on for many decades, according to a UN report released last year. Two-thirds of Gaza's pre-war structures - over 170,000 buildings - have been damaged or flattened, according to U. satellite data (UNOSAT) in December. That amounts to around 69% of the total structures in the Gaza Strip.
Within the count are a total of 245,123 housing units, according to an estimate from UNOSAT. Currently, over 1.8 million people are in need of emergency shelter in Gaza, the UN humanitarian office said.
WHAT IS THE INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE? The estimated damage to infrastructure totaled $18.5 billion as of end-January 2024, affecting residential buildings, commerce, industry, and essential services such as education, health, and energy, a UN-World Bank report said. It has not provided a more recent estimate for that figure.
An update by the UN humanitarian office this month showed that less than a quarter of the pre-war water supplies were available, while at least 68% of the road network has been damaged.
HOW WILL GAZA FEED ITSELF? More than half of Gaza's agricultural land, crucial for feeding the war-ravaged territory's hungry population, has been degraded by conflict, satellite images analyzed by the United Nations show.
The data reveals a rise in the destruction of orchards, field crops and vegetables in the Palestinian enclave, where hunger is widespread after 15 months of Israeli bombardment.
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization said last year that 15,000 cattle, or over 95%, of the total had been slaughtered or died since the conflict began and nearly half the sheep.
WHAT ABOUT SCHOOLS, UNIVERSITIES, RELIGIOUS BUILDINGS?
Palestinian data shows that the conflict has led to the destruction of over 200 government facilities, 136 schools and universities, 823 mosques and three churches. Many hospitals have been damaged during the conflict, with only 17 out of 36 units partially functional as of January, the UN humanitarian office's report showed.
Amnesty International's Crisis Evidence Lab has highlighted the extent of destruction along Gaza's eastern boundary. As of May 2024, over 90% of the buildings in this area, including more than 3,500 structures, were either destroyed or severely damaged.