OAPEC Says OPEC+ Decision is Correct and Came at Right Time

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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OAPEC Says OPEC+ Decision is Correct and Came at Right Time

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Secretary-General of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), Ali bin Sabt, said the OPEC+ decision to cut oil production is correct and was taken at the right time.

In a press statement issued by OAPEC on Saturday, bin Sabt confirmed that the "decision took into account the uncertainty surrounding the performance of the global economy," as its growth rate is expected to drop by about three percent during 2023.

Last week, OPEC+ agreed to cut two million barrels per day of its output, saying it was necessary to respond to rising interest rates in the West and a weaker global economy.

He explained that the decision came in line with the successful approach taken by OPEC+ in taking proactive steps to avoid any oil market imbalances, especially on the demand and supply sides.

The Sec-Gen pointed out that the main objective of the decision is to ensure stability and balance in the global oil market and bring oil prices to levels acceptable to all market actors.

OAPEC includes Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, and the United Arab Emirates.

Markets worldwide are facing sharp volatility due to increased uncertainty in the global economy, which gives the dollar strength as a haven and increases the cost of its denominated commodities of other currencies.

Oil prices dropped with the rise of the dollar, which reached its highest level in 20 years, amid a decline in oil prices from the highest levels achieved last March at $147 per barrel, while it is currently trading at less than $100 per barrel.

Oil prices tumbled more than three percent on Friday as global recession fears and weak oil demand, especially in China, exceeded the support it received from the large cut to the OPEC+ supply target.

Brent crude futures fell $2.94, or 3.1 percent, to settle at $91.63 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $3.50, or 3.9 percent, to $85.61.

Brent and WTI contracts fluctuated between positive and negative for most of Friday but fell for the week by 6.4 percent and 7.6 percent, respectively.

US core inflation posted its most significant annual increase in 40 years, reinforcing views that interest rates will remain higher for longer with the risk of a global recession.

The next US interest rate decision is due in early November.

A survey showed that US consumer sentiment improved steadily in October, but households' inflation expectations fell slightly.

The US dollar index rose by 0.8 percent. A stronger dollar reduces demand for oil by making fuel more expensive for buyers who use other currencies.

On Thursday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered its forecast for oil demand for this year and warned of a possible global recession.

The Agency estimates that underproduction among the group means the possibility of reducing production by one million barrels per day.

The decision led to a dispute between OPEC+, specifically Saudi Arabia, and the US, which usually measures such decisions by their local impact ahead of the November midterms when the Democrats and Republicans prepare for elections.

Oil prices were also supported by a sharp decline in US distillate inventories, although US crude oil inventories are more significant than expected.



Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Slips as Strong Supply Counters Middle East, Hurricane Risk

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices erased early gains on Wednesday as weak demand fundamentals and rising supply countered elevated risk of supply disruption from conflict in the Middle East and Hurricane Milton in the United States.

Brent crude futures were down 36 cents, or 0.47%, at $76.82 a barrel by 1103 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures lost 43 cents, or 0.58%, to $73.14, Reuters reported.

Brent and WTI both gained more than 1% earlier in the session after prices had plunged on Tuesday by more than 4% on a possible Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire, though markets remain wary of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian oil infrastructure.

"Despite the current heightened tensions in the Middle East, it is easy to forget that the oil market is very much vulnerable to corrections due to the ongoing bearish macro narrative centred on China," said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

China said on Tuesday it was "fully confident" of achieving its full-year growth target but refrained from introducing stronger fiscal steps, disappointing investors who had banked on more support for the economy.

Investors have been concerned about slow growth dampening fuel demand in China, the world's largest crude importer.

Weak demand continues to underpin the fundamental outlook. The US. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) on Tuesday downgraded its demand forecast for 2025 on weakening economic activity in China and North America.

US crude oil stocks rose by nearly 11 million barrels last week, much more than analysts polled by Reuters had expected, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

"Such a backdrop belies the war premium in oil prices at present, but it would be a brave soul indeed to dismiss what will happen to oil prices if Israel does the unthinkable and targets Iran's oil sector," said John Evans at oil broker PVM.

Investors are awaiting developments from expected talks between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over intensifying conflict in the Middle East.

The oil-producing region has been on high alert for any Israeli response to an Iranian missile attack last week in retaliation for Israel's war on Lebanon.