Lebanon’s Pound Sinks to Historic Low at 40,000 against US Dollar

Lebanese and US currencies at a money exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon (Reuters)
Lebanese and US currencies at a money exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon (Reuters)
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Lebanon’s Pound Sinks to Historic Low at 40,000 against US Dollar

Lebanese and US currencies at a money exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon (Reuters)
Lebanese and US currencies at a money exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon (Reuters)

The Lebanese pound has sunk to a historic low against the US dollar, trading at LBP 40,000 to the dollar on the parallel market. Lebanon’s cost of living index has also recorded a staggering hike of more than 272% in three years.

Money changers on the black market traded the dollar for LBP 40,100 after maintaining the trade rate between LBP37,000-LBP39,000 for the dollar for around two weeks.

The currency devaluation, coupled with increased prices, has negatively affected the purchasing power of the Lebanese.

Since currency depreciation hit Lebanon and collapsed the purchasing power of the population, the country has witnessed a significant and continuous rise in the cost of living, which reached 272% from the beginning of the year 2020 until the end of August 2022, according to data collected by the Central Administration of Statistics.

Despite the published figures, many argue that the cost of living for the Lebanese had possibly even exceeded 500%.

Experts note that the prices of imported goods increased at a rate that exceeded the rise in the dollar exchange rate. Moreover, the hike affected locally produced goods.

Because of the price hikes, the 272% increased cost of living estimation must be revised, Information International specialists suggested.

Information International studied the minimum cost of living for a Lebanese family of four members, considering the differences between living in a village or city and owning and renting.

The study concluded that the cost of living ranges between LBP 20 million and LBP 26 million per month at a minimum, and an average of LBP 23 million per month, about $600, according to the distribution of costs.



OPEC Sees Robust Oil Demand in Third Quarter

The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais (X)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais (X)
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OPEC Sees Robust Oil Demand in Third Quarter

The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais (X)
The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais (X)

The Secretary-General of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais, said the group anticipates exceptionally strong demand for oil in the third quarter of this year, with only a narrow gap expected between supply and consumption in the months that follow.

According to Russia’s state news agency on Monday, Al Ghais shared these assessments with reporters on the sidelines of last week’s OPEC seminar in Vienna. He indicated that the organization foresees demand rising by 1.3 million barrels per day on an annual basis in 2025, driven largely by a resilient global economy.

He explained that this outlook suggests a particularly robust increase in consumption during the third quarter. Demand is also projected to stay healthy into the fourth quarter, while the difference between production and usage should remain minimal. Al Ghais noted that this dynamic is among the key factors encouraging the alliance of eight oil-producing countries to consider raising output once again.

OPEC’s latest oil market outlook, published last Thursday, forecasts that global demand will average 105 million barrels per day this year. The report predicts demand will climb further to 106.3 million barrels per day in 2026 and reach 111.6 million barrels per day by 2029.

Meanwhile, eight members of the broader OPEC+ coalition - which includes Russia among other allies - are moving to phase out production cuts that have been in place for years to help stabilize the market.

Five sources told Reuters that OPEC+ producers are leaning toward agreeing on another production increase in September.