Egypt Demands Intl Support, Ethiopia Insists on African Solution to GERD Dispute

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
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Egypt Demands Intl Support, Ethiopia Insists on African Solution to GERD Dispute

Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)
Egypt’s Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry during the fifth Cairo Water Week (Egyptian government)

The difference in views between Ethiopia and Egypt on how to break the deadlock in talks on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) has once again emerged.

While Addis Ababa wants the African Union’s “unproductive” sponsorship of the negotiations, Egypt demands the support of the international community to resolve the matter in a way that achieves all parties’ interests.

The massive $4.2 billion dam, set to be the largest hydro-electric scheme in Africa, has been at the center of a regional dispute ever since Ethiopia broke ground on the project in 2011.

Cairo has reiterated its demand that Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan reach a legally-binding agreement to fill and operate the dam.

As part of its efforts to mobilize international support for its “existential” issue, Egypt organized the fifth Cairo Water Week during the period between Oct 16 and 19.

Representatives of 70 countries, including 16 ministerial delegations, 54 official delegations, and 66 international organizations are taking part in the event, with a total of more than a thousand participants.

The conference focuses on water crises across the world and ways to address them.

According to Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, the country’s water resources are no longer able to meet the population’s needs.

He explained in his opening speech on Sunday that his country is facing three intertwined challenges, namely water, food security, and climate change.

“Egypt is one the world’s most arid countries and relies almost exclusively on the Nile River for its renewable water resources, about 80% of which are used by the agriculture sector,” Sisi stated, noting that the sector represents the source of livelihood for more than 60 million people (half of Egypt’s population).

Sisi stated that although Cairo has adopted a policy to rationalize water consumption by reusing irrigation water, making the overall efficiency rate in Egypt one of the highest in Africa, yet it is still unable to meet its people’s needs.

He pointed out that the impact of climate change exacerbates water scarcity on the country’s agricultural lands, which are affected by the adverse consequences of climate change within its borders and throughout the Nile Basin countries, as Egypt is a downstream country.

“Given all this, it was necessary for Egypt to adopt a comprehensive approach to successfully address water and food security challenges that are associated with climate change, considering it a matter of national security.”

At the regional level, Sisi affirmed that Cairo has always been a pioneer in advancing the rules and principles of international law regarding shared watercourses, primarily cooperation and consultation to avoid causing harm.

He said it comes in line with the management of transboundary water resources, adding that these are the absolute rules and principles to ensure the equitable and shared utilization of these resources.

“Egypt’s entrenched vision is to work together with a focus on establishing and sharing prosperity, instead of competition and rivalry, which lead to sharing impoverishment and instability.”

Realizing the gravity of the issue and given its existential importance to Cairo, Sisi renewed his country’s commitment to exerting utmost efforts to settle the dam dispute in a manner that achieves the interests of all parties.

He further called on the international community to exert maximum and concerted efforts to achieve this just goal.

The last round of talks between the three countries in Kinshasa ended in early April 2021 with no progress made, prompting Cairo to protest to the UN Security Council and demand international partners to pressure Addis Ababa to agree to sign an agreement that guarantees the rights of the downstream countries.

Addis Ababa deems GERD essential for the electrification and development of Africa's second most populous country.

But Cairo and Khartoum fear it could threaten their access to vital Nile waters and have demanded a written agreement between the three countries on the dam's filling and operation.

Head of Sudan’s Transitional Sovereign Council Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held talks on Saturday with Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.

Burhan announced at the end of the talks that reaching an agreement with Ethiopia on GERD is “possible.”

Ahmed, for his part, stressed that the GERD project will yield great benefits to Sudan and underlined his country's commitment to addressing the issue within the African framework



Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
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Iraq Preoccupied with Potential Broad Israeli Attack

Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)
Iraqi PM Mohammed Shi al-Sudani at an emergency national security council meeting. (Iraqi government)

Baghdad has been preoccupied this week with serious possibilities that Israel may expand its war on Gaza and Lebanon by striking several targets in Iraq in retaliation to attacks by Iran-backed armed factions.

Concern has been high that Israel may attack government buildings, oil fields and strategic locations, not just the positions of the armed factions that have previously launched attacks against Israel, said sources close to the pro-Iran ruling Coordination Framework.

Media sources have spoken of government speculation that Iraq could come under “300 Israeli attacks”.

The fears in Iraq have been compounded by an Israeli complaint to the United Nations Security Council against seven armed factions and holding Baghdad responsible for the attacks they have carried out against it.

This prompted the government, through the foreign ministry, to send an official letter to the Security Council, UN Secretary-General, Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation in response to the Israeli threats.

The ministry said on Saturday that Iraq is “the cornerstone of stability in the region and world and it is one of the countries that are most committed to the UN Charter.”

“The Zionist entity’s letter to the Security Council is part of a systematic policy aimed at creating claims and excuses in an attempt to expand the conflict in the region.”

It said Iraq has turned to the Security Council out of Iraq’s keenness on the international body carrying out its duty in maintaining international peace and security and the need to rein in the “Zionist aggression in Gaza and Lebanon.”

Moreover, it stressed that Iraq has been keen on exercising restraint when it comes to the use of its airspace to attack a neighboring country.

Israel has used Iraqi airspace to launch attacks against Iran in October.

Iraq underscored the importance of the international community stepping in to “stop this hostile behavior that is a flagrant violation of international law.”

It called for international efforts to stop the Israeli escalation in the region and ensure that international laws and treaties are respected to consolidate security and stability.

Meanwhile, a source close to the Coordination Framework said the main Shiite parties are taking the Israeli threats “very seriously”, urging Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani's government to take “all the necessary measures to avert a potential Israeli strike.”

All leaders of armed factions, as well as Shiite leaders, have taken up alternative locations and are moving under great secrecy, confirming that they have changed the majority of their military positions, said the source.

It also dismissed claims that Israeli jets have overflown Iraq, saying nothing has been confirmed, but not ruling out the possibility, especially since US forces have control over Iraqi skies and Iraq is helpless against stopping these violations.

Iraq had submitted a formal complaint to the UN and Security Council over Israel’s use and violation of its airspace to attack Iran.

Analyst and former diplomat Ghazi Faisal said the pro-Iran armed factions have been gathering their forces in the Sinjar province, which is strategic for Iran’s arms deliveries and logistic support to Syria where attacks can be carried out against American forces and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.

Sinjar is one of the most important strategic bases for the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, he added.

Furthermore, he noted that the armed factions insist on continuing the war against Israel, rejecting government calls for calm and neutrality.

The government’s statements are aimed at delivering a message that it “is not directly responsible for the strategy of these factions,” which follow Iran’s policies.

Iraq has repeatedly said that it refuses for its territory to be used to attack another country, but some observers believe that it may allow Iran to do so should Israel strike.