Egypt Keeps Fuel Prices Unchanged until Year End

A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo (Reuters)
A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo (Reuters)
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Egypt Keeps Fuel Prices Unchanged until Year End

A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo (Reuters)
A gas station in the Egyptian capital, Cairo (Reuters)

Egypt fixed gasoline prices on Saturday, for a period of 3 months until the end of this year, as a result of global economic conditions and their repercussions on the oil markets.

The decision comes after three consecutive price increases, and the devaluation of the local currency against the dollar, despite a preliminary agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan ranging from 3 to 7 billion dollars.

In a quarterly review on Saturday, Egypt’s fuel pricing committee kept domestic fuel prices unchanged, the petroleum ministry said in a statement.

Prices of 80-octane, 92-octane and 95-octane petrol remained at 8 Egyptian pounds ($0.4098), 9.25 EGP and 10.75 EGP a liter, respectively, while the diesel price remained at 7.25 EGP.

Last week, at the end of a visit to Washington, an Egyptian delegation - represented by the Central Bank of Egypt and the Ministry of Finance – announced the success of the technical meetings with the managers and experts of the IMF, resulting in a full agreement over the new Egyptian economic reform program.

Two statements issued separately by the IMF and the Egyptian Ministry of Finance said that the two sides would soon announce the final agreement on the new program in Cairo.

The reform program of the Egyptian authorities includes “three main axes”, including reforms and measures related to fiscal policy, monetary policy, and structural reforms for the country’s economy.

The country pledged to resume fiscal discipline efforts by maintaining an annual primary surplus in the public budget and working to return the trajectory of government indebtedness to GDP to less than 80% in the medium term.

It also intends to work on extending the life of government debt, diversifying funding sources, improving the efficiency of revenues and spending in the public budget, as well as increasing spending on human development.



After Trump’s Victory, Arab Demands for Competitive Advantages Due to Regional Tensions

Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
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After Trump’s Victory, Arab Demands for Competitive Advantages Due to Regional Tensions

Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)
Donald Trump addresses his supporters at the West Palm Beach Convention Center in Florida on Wednesday. (EPA)

With the election of Donald Trump as US president, the global economy has gained direction for the coming years. Trump’s policies favor corporate tax cuts, increased investment, and expansionary monetary policies. He also promotes local production to boost job creation, which involves imposing significant tariffs on trade partners, particularly in Asia. This approach could trigger a trade war, affecting inflation in both the US and worldwide.

The US economy is already grappling with high prices, slower economic growth, and rising unemployment, alongside a national debt nearing 99% of GDP. This backdrop underscores the importance of economic issues in the recent election.

For the new US administration, domestic concerns will not be the sole priority. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially recent Middle Eastern conflicts, will also impact the US economy. To gain regional insights, Asharq Al-Awsat consulted economists from various Arab nations on their expectations and requests from the US president regarding the Middle East.

Priority of Regional Stability

Dr. Mohamed Youssef, an Egyptian economist, emphasized that regional stability is crucial, benefiting the economy and paving the way for resolving complex issues like the Nile Dam dispute affecting Egypt. He highlighted the American role in fostering calm in the region.

Iraqi economist Durgham Mohamed Ali noted that US relations vary across the Middle East; while Lebanon and Yemen remain outside current US alliances, Sudan and Somalia require international aid to rebuild infrastructure.

Competitive Advantage for Arab Countries

Ahmed Moaty, a global markets expert from Egypt, suggested that reduced US tariffs would improve Arab economies’ competitiveness. However, he pointed out the American high debt could motivate the administration to impose tariffs to protect local industries and reduce imports. Ali observed that US tariffs are interest-driven and selective, favoring allies like Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea while being stringent toward BRICS members, such as China, Brazil, and South Africa. He linked tariff policies to regional geopolitics, especially the conflicts involving Israel, Lebanon, Palestine, and Iran, which could influence US economic decisions.

Dr. Mohamed Youssef also argued that easing US-China competition could benefit the global economy, as high tariffs on Chinese goods reduce China’s growth, decreasing demand for key commodities like oil.

Ibrahim Al-Nwaibet, CEO of Saudi Arabia’s Value Capital, predicted that a Republican win could positively impact oil and interest rates, revitalizing the petrochemical and trade finance sectors.

On currency, Moaty noted the strong US dollar pressures emerging markets, especially in the Middle East. He suggested offering US Treasury bonds with higher yields to Arab countries as a counterbalance. Ali added that the dollar’s strength poses challenges for countries heavily reliant on US currency amid global liquidity shortages.

The BRICS Bloc

Ali also mentioned the high levels of US debt, explaining: “In general, the entire world is concerned about rising US debt, slowing growth rates... and is wary of the BRICS alliance, which some Arab countries hope to join. The question remains whether a cold economic war will ensue.”

Youssef also discussed the BRICS, which could play a role in attracting the new US president’s attention to countries joining the alliance. He added: “This may provide new competitive advantages for countries in the region, particularly as countries like Egypt, the UAE, and Iran recently joined BRICS, while Saudi Arabia is still evaluating the benefits of such move.”