Egypt Expects $12 Bn in Gas Revenues in 2022

A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
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Egypt Expects $12 Bn in Gas Revenues in 2022

A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)

Egypt's gas revenues are expected to reach $12 billion, and about $7 billion from oil derivatives and petrochemicals, announced petroleum minister Tarek el-Molla.

Molla spoke to Skynews Arabia on Monday on the sidelines of his participation in the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC).

He said that Egypt aims to increase liquified natural gas (LNG) exports to eight million tons this year, adding that the country can export up to 12 million tons of LNG annually.

Egypt depends on gas exports to increase the foreign currency when the country is suffering from a scarcity of the dollar, which causes problems for exporters.

For the third time since 2016, Egypt has liberalized the exchange rate, causing the pound to lose about 50 percent of its value since the beginning of this year.

On Thursday, Egyptian authorities liberalized the exchange rate to end the black market, where the dollar price reached 24 to 25 EGP, coupled with the Central Bank of Egypt's (CBE) decision to raise interest rates by two percent.

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) official said that Egypt's move to raise interest rates is a step in the right direction, and a flexible exchange rate will help protect its economy from shocks during tightening global financial conditions.

Egyptian authorities pledged a "durably flexible" exchange rate with a staff-level agreement for a $3 billion IMF extended fund facility.

The central bank also raised interest rates by 200 basis points in an out-of-cycle meeting.

"The measures that the central bank took last week in hiking interest rates goes in the right direction. It is very important to control inflation," the director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department, Jihad Azour, told Reuters.

"The move to a flexible exchange rate will help the Egyptian economy to be protected from term-of-trade shocks as well as external shocks, especially at a time when global financial conditions have tightened and become more challenging," he said.

Egypt has been struggling to cope with the impact of the war in Ukraine, which led to rapid outflows of portfolio investments, a hike in the commodity import bill, and a drop in tourism revenues.

The IMF said on Thursday that a flexible exchange rate regime should be "a cornerstone policy" for rebuilding and safeguarding Egypt's external resilience.

It confirmed a staff-level agreement on a $3 billion, 46-month Extended Fund Facility.

It said the deal was expected to catalyst a large, multi-year financing package, including about $5 billion in the fiscal year ending June 2023, reflecting "broad international and regional support for Egypt."

Asked if there were assurances on assistance from wealthy Gulf states, Azour said: "Yes, and some of the Gulf authorities already issued statements in support of the program."

He said the $5 billion for FY2022-23 would be in addition to the extension of Gulf states' deposits in Egypt's central bank.

He said that any steps by Egypt that increase predictability and bring confidence back are welcomed and allow Egypt to cover its financing needs.

"We see that through these programs, there are enough financing assurances to cover their (Egypt's) external financing needs," he added.



Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions
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Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil prices climbed on Tuesday reversing earlier declines, as fears of tighter Russian and Iranian supply due to escalating Western sanctions lent support.

Brent futures were up 61 cents, or 0.80%, to $76.91 a barrel at 1119 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 46 cents, or 0.63%, to $74.02.

It seems market participants have started to price in some small supply disruption risks on Iranian crude exports to China, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

In China, Shandong Port Group issued a notice on Monday banning US sanctioned oil vessels from its network of ports, according to three traders, potentially restricting blacklisted vessels from major energy terminals on China's east coast.

Shandong Port Group oversees major ports on China's east coast, including Qingdao, Rizhao and Yantai, which are major terminals for importing sanctioned oil.

Meanwhile, cold weather in the US and Europe has boosted heating oil demand, providing further support for prices.

However, oil price gains were capped by global economic data.

Euro zone inflation

accelerated

in December, an unwelcome but anticipated blip that is unlikely to derail further interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank.

"Higher inflation in Germany raised suggestions that the ECB may not be able to cut rates as fast as hoped across the Eurozone, while US manufactured good orders fell in November," Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum said.

Technical indicators for oil futures are now in overbought territory, and sellers are keen to step in once again to take advantage of the strength, tempering additional price advances, said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

Market participants are waiting for more data this week, such as the US December non-farm payrolls report on Friday, for clues on US interest rate policy and the oil demand outlook.