OPEC Stresses the Importance of Increasing Oil Investments

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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OPEC Stresses the Importance of Increasing Oil Investments

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais stressed the importance of increasing investments in the oil sector to avoid any future volatility in the oil markets.

Ghais said that among the main challenges are the energy transition and the future of energy in general, adding that OPEC has adopted a policy that aims at embracing all forms of energy.

He added that OPEC's research studies have shown that oil will account for 29 percent of the global energy mix in 2045, highlighting another challenge related to investing in the oil sector, as the world requires nearly $12 trillion in investments in this sector alone.

The official explained that last year's challenges included the oil market's volatility and demand-supply unbalance, which led to a significant decline in investments.

Oil investments totaled some $500 million per year but decreased with the drop in prices in 2016, leading to a decrease in production capacity and investments after the COVID-19 pandemic, WAM quoted Ghais.

On OPEC's long-term demand-supply predictions, Ghais said that the organization has issued its 16th annual report during the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC) 2022 in the UAE and noted that the organization believes that dependence on oil will continue even though previous predictions claim otherwise.

He highlighted the fact that oil demand in 2045 will reach 110 million barrels per day, compared to 99 million barrels at present, adding that OPEC's expectations also indicate that with population growth increasing by one billion and 900 million people, the demand for oil and energy will increase to fuel global economic growth.

It could witness a growth in its annual gross product of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, reflecting demand levels.

He pointed out that OPEC's expectations also indicate an increase in energy demand by about 23 percent, from 300 million barrels equivalent to 350 million barrels in 2045. Meanwhile, oil demand levels will remain stable, and natural gas and renewable energy are expected to rise within the overall energy mix in the future while the share of coal will decrease.

On boosting investments in the oil sector, Ghais highlighted that investment delays are attributed to the sharp volatility in oil prices, adding that the role of OPEC and OPEC Plus consists of maintaining market stability.

The Sec-Gen stressed the importance of increasing investments in the oil sector to avoid any future volatility in the oil markets, and to promote investment in fossil energy.

UAE's policies aimed at ensuring global energy stability underscore its clear vision and critical role in being a safe international source of energy and oil supplies, in line with the main objectives of OPEC, said Ghais.

Since joining the organization, the role of the UAE has remained clear: to increase production, maintain economic growth, achieve diversification through other sources, and reduce costs.



IMF Says International Community Should Provide Grants to Lebanon

Smoke billows over Beirut's southern suburbs, after an Israeli strike, amid the ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon October 25, 2024. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
Smoke billows over Beirut's southern suburbs, after an Israeli strike, amid the ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon October 25, 2024. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
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IMF Says International Community Should Provide Grants to Lebanon

Smoke billows over Beirut's southern suburbs, after an Israeli strike, amid the ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon October 25, 2024. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir
Smoke billows over Beirut's southern suburbs, after an Israeli strike, amid the ongoing hostilities between Hezbollah and Israeli forces, as seen from Baabda, Lebanon October 25, 2024. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

The international community should work to end the conflict in the Middle East and provide grants to Lebanon, the head of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia department has said.

Jihad Azour spoke to AFP in Washington, where the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank are currently taking place.

In updated economic estimates, the Fund slightly downgraded its outlook for economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa to 2.1 percent this year, while maintaining its 4.0 percent growth outlook for 2025.

However, these estimates do not take into account the economic impact of the recent escalation of conflict in southern Lebanon, where Israel has invaded to fight Hezbollah.

Azour, a former Lebanese finance minister, noted that the most severely affected places, including Lebanon and the Palestinian territories, were facing a "huge humanitarian problem" which has devastated their economies.

"You have massive loss in output, you have a massive destruction in infrastructure, and you have a huge set of needs for additional spending, for shelter, for health and so on," he said.

"We expect that growth will be negative in those cases, and we expect that the recovery would take longer to materialize," he added.

The IMF has suspended its forecasts for the Lebanese economy, citing an "unusually high degree of uncertainty." But a recent United Nations Development report estimated that the country's GDP would be 9.2 percent smaller as a "direct consequence" of the conflict.

"You have massive destruction of infrastructure in a large region, which is the south, and mass destruction of livelihood, because this is an agricultural region that was severely affected," Azour said, adding that almost 20 percent of Lebanon's population had been displaced.

"We encourage the international community, we encourage the friends of Lebanon, to provide grants," he continued, calling on the international community "to put its utmost effort in order to solve the problem, in order to reduce the suffering of people."

For countries indirectly affected by the conflict, like Jordan and Egypt, the impact of Israel's ongoing military campaigns in Gaza and Lebanon has been felt differently.

While Egypt has been hit hard by a 70 percent fall in revenues from ships traversing the Suez Canal, Jordan's economy has suffered from a steep decline in tourism, Azour said.