OPEC Stresses the Importance of Increasing Oil Investments

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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OPEC Stresses the Importance of Increasing Oil Investments

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais (Asharq Al-Awsat)

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais stressed the importance of increasing investments in the oil sector to avoid any future volatility in the oil markets.

Ghais said that among the main challenges are the energy transition and the future of energy in general, adding that OPEC has adopted a policy that aims at embracing all forms of energy.

He added that OPEC's research studies have shown that oil will account for 29 percent of the global energy mix in 2045, highlighting another challenge related to investing in the oil sector, as the world requires nearly $12 trillion in investments in this sector alone.

The official explained that last year's challenges included the oil market's volatility and demand-supply unbalance, which led to a significant decline in investments.

Oil investments totaled some $500 million per year but decreased with the drop in prices in 2016, leading to a decrease in production capacity and investments after the COVID-19 pandemic, WAM quoted Ghais.

On OPEC's long-term demand-supply predictions, Ghais said that the organization has issued its 16th annual report during the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC) 2022 in the UAE and noted that the organization believes that dependence on oil will continue even though previous predictions claim otherwise.

He highlighted the fact that oil demand in 2045 will reach 110 million barrels per day, compared to 99 million barrels at present, adding that OPEC's expectations also indicate that with population growth increasing by one billion and 900 million people, the demand for oil and energy will increase to fuel global economic growth.

It could witness a growth in its annual gross product of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, reflecting demand levels.

He pointed out that OPEC's expectations also indicate an increase in energy demand by about 23 percent, from 300 million barrels equivalent to 350 million barrels in 2045. Meanwhile, oil demand levels will remain stable, and natural gas and renewable energy are expected to rise within the overall energy mix in the future while the share of coal will decrease.

On boosting investments in the oil sector, Ghais highlighted that investment delays are attributed to the sharp volatility in oil prices, adding that the role of OPEC and OPEC Plus consists of maintaining market stability.

The Sec-Gen stressed the importance of increasing investments in the oil sector to avoid any future volatility in the oil markets, and to promote investment in fossil energy.

UAE's policies aimed at ensuring global energy stability underscore its clear vision and critical role in being a safe international source of energy and oil supplies, in line with the main objectives of OPEC, said Ghais.

Since joining the organization, the role of the UAE has remained clear: to increase production, maintain economic growth, achieve diversification through other sources, and reduce costs.



WTO Slashes 2025 Trade Growth Forecast

Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
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WTO Slashes 2025 Trade Growth Forecast

Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)

The World Trade Organization sharply cut its forecast for global merchandise trade from solid growth to a decline on Wednesday, saying further US tariffs and spillover effects could lead to the heaviest slump since the height of the COVID pandemic.
The WTO said it expected trade in goods to fall by 0.2% this year, down from its expectation in October of 3.0% expansion. It said its new estimate was based on measures in place at the start of this week, Reuters reported.
US President Donald Trump imposed extra duties on steel and car imports as well as more sweeping global tariffs before unexpectedly pausing higher duties on a dozen economies. His trade war with China has also intensified with tit-for-tat exchanges pushing levies on each other's imports beyond 100%.
The WTO said that, if Trump reintroduced the full rates of his broader tariffs that would reduce goods trade growth by 0.6 percentage points, with another 0.8 point cut due to spillover effects beyond US-linked trade.
Taken together, this would lead to a 1.5% decline, the steepest drop since 2020.
"The unprecedented nature of the recent trade policy shifts means that predictions should be interpreted with more caution than usual," said the WTO, which is also forecasting a modest recovery of 2.5% in 2026.
Earlier on Wednesday, the UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) agency said global economic growth could slow to 2.3% as trade tensions and uncertainty drive a recessionary trend.
The Geneva-based WTO said disruption of US-China trade was expected to increase Chinese merchandise exports across all regions outside North America by between 4% and 9%.
Other countries would have opportunities to fill the gap in the United States in sectors such as textiles, clothing and electrical equipment.
Services trade, though not subject to tariffs, would also take a hit, the WTO said, by weakening demand related to goods trade such as transport and logistics. Broader uncertainty could dampen spending on travel and investment-related services.
The WTO said it expected commercial services trade to grow by 4.0% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026, well below baseline projections of 5.1% and 4.8%.
The expected downturn follows a strong 2024, when the volume of world merchandise trade grew by 2.9% and commercial services trade expanded by 6.8%.