Lebanon’s National Currency Tumbles as Central Bank Issues ‘Ambiguous’ Measures

 The Lebanese pound at its worst (AFP)
The Lebanese pound at its worst (AFP)
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Lebanon’s National Currency Tumbles as Central Bank Issues ‘Ambiguous’ Measures

 The Lebanese pound at its worst (AFP)
The Lebanese pound at its worst (AFP)

The Lebanese pound exchange rate on the black market has slid to nearly LBP 40,000 to the US dollar amid conflicting reports about a delay in new regulatory measures that the Central Bank is preparing to take, which requires raising the price of allowances for withdrawals from hard currencies.

In parallel, authorities have started to work on collecting customs duties for imports with a rate of 15,000 to the US dollar.

Lebanon’s Central Bank had said it would halt purchases of dollars on its Sayrafa platform starting on Oct. 25 until further notice. The bank, however, would continue to sell exclusively dollars on its exchange rate platform.

Although the move was intended to strengthen the Lebanese pound, observers believe that money exchangers increasingly buying US dollars is an indication that the national currency will soon hit new lows.

A banking official explained to Asharq Al-Awsat that the “ambiguity” arising from the overlapping of monetary decisions “still prevents the possibility of determining the expected timing of the issuance of new measures.”

Despite impressions that measures were officially approved at the beginning of this month, it was reported that government agencies instructed the bank to slow down a little, in order to simultaneously link the validity of the financial steps related to the general budget with the monetary measures for withdrawals.

This reinforced expectations that the promised circulars will be issued before the middle of November.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat under the conditions of anonymity, the banker asserted that leaks from relevant sources at the Central Bank “match expectations for adopting a higher exchange rate for withdrawals from dollar accounts in Lebanese banks as a first step within the task of reorganizing exchange rates.”

Besides preparing for the unifying of exchange rates, the Central Bank is looking to implement a basic demand from the package of conditions handed over by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission in Lebanon.



Oil Falls as Traders Weigh Potential US-China Trade Talks

Oil Falls as Traders Weigh Potential US-China Trade Talks
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Oil Falls as Traders Weigh Potential US-China Trade Talks

Oil Falls as Traders Weigh Potential US-China Trade Talks

Oil prices fell on Friday as traders squared positions ahead of an OPEC+ meeting and amid some scepticism about a potential de-escalation of the trade dispute between China and the United States.

Brent crude futures were down 23 cents, or 0.4%, to $61.90 a barrel at 1105 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $59 a barrel.

For the week, Brent was on track for a 7% drop and WTI was down 6.5% so far, the biggest weekly declines in a month, Reuters reported.

China's Commerce Ministry said on Friday that Beijing was "evaluating" a proposal from Washington to hold talks aimed at addressing US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs, signalling a possible easing of the trade tensions that have rattled global markets.

"There is some optimism when it comes to US-China relations but the signs are only very tentative," said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group. "It's still very fluid, a one step forward, two steps back situation when it comes to tariffs."

Concerns that the broader trade war could push the global economy into a recession and crimp oil demand, just as the OPEC+ group is preparing to raise output, have weighed heavily on oil prices in recent weeks.

Complicating any talks was a threat from Trump to impose secondary sanctions on buyers of Iranian oil. China is the world's largest importer of Iran's crude.

Trump's comments followed a postponement of US talks with Iran over its nuclear program. He had previously restored a "maximum pressure" campaign against Iran, which included efforts to drive the country's oil exports to zero to help prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon.

Oil prices gained late in Thursday's session to settle nearly 2% higher on Trump's remarks, erasing some of the losses recorded earlier in the week on expectations of more OPEC+ supply coming to the market.

Several OPEC+ members are set to suggest the group accelerates output hikes in June for a second consecutive month, Reuters previously reported. Eight OPEC+ countries will meet on May 5 to decide a June output plan.