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Tunisia: Economy Grew in Third Quarter of 2022

Boats enter Al Ataya Port in Kerkennah Islands, off Sfax, Tunisia, October 23, 2022. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Boats enter Al Ataya Port in Kerkennah Islands, off Sfax, Tunisia, October 23, 2022. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
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Tunisia: Economy Grew in Third Quarter of 2022

Boats enter Al Ataya Port in Kerkennah Islands, off Sfax, Tunisia, October 23, 2022. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui
Boats enter Al Ataya Port in Kerkennah Islands, off Sfax, Tunisia, October 23, 2022. REUTERS/Jihed Abidellaoui

Tunisia's economy grew by 2.9% in the third quarter of this year, driven by growth in the services sector, the state statistics institute said on Tuesday.

In the same period last year, growth was 1.7%.

“Over the three months from July to September, the gross domestic product increased by 2.9% on an annual basis, marking an acceleration compared to the two previous quarters (respectively at 2.3% and 2.6%),” it said.

“Despite a difficult global environment and record inflation, economic activity is continuing its recovery dynamic after the 2020 health crisis; a process that is still incomplete, since the national income still remains below its level at the end of 2019,” it added.

Tunisian Minister of Tourism Mohamed Moez Belhassine also announced that the tourism sector welcomed this year more than 5.4 million tourists till November 10, a huge increase (174 percent) compared to the same period last year.

Despite the positive developments in the sector, the number falls short of the influx of tourists in 2019.

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WTO Slashes 2025 Trade Growth Forecast

Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
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WTO Slashes 2025 Trade Growth Forecast

Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)
Chinese made cars, including Volvo and other brands, are seen at the port in Nanjing, in China's eastern Jiangsu province on April 16, 2025, as they wait to be loaded onto ships for export. (Photo by AFP)

The World Trade Organization sharply cut its forecast for global merchandise trade from solid growth to a decline on Wednesday, saying further US tariffs and spillover effects could lead to the heaviest slump since the height of the COVID pandemic.
The WTO said it expected trade in goods to fall by 0.2% this year, down from its expectation in October of 3.0% expansion. It said its new estimate was based on measures in place at the start of this week, Reuters reported.
US President Donald Trump imposed extra duties on steel and car imports as well as more sweeping global tariffs before unexpectedly pausing higher duties on a dozen economies. His trade war with China has also intensified with tit-for-tat exchanges pushing levies on each other's imports beyond 100%.
The WTO said that, if Trump reintroduced the full rates of his broader tariffs that would reduce goods trade growth by 0.6 percentage points, with another 0.8 point cut due to spillover effects beyond US-linked trade.
Taken together, this would lead to a 1.5% decline, the steepest drop since 2020.
"The unprecedented nature of the recent trade policy shifts means that predictions should be interpreted with more caution than usual," said the WTO, which is also forecasting a modest recovery of 2.5% in 2026.
Earlier on Wednesday, the UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) agency said global economic growth could slow to 2.3% as trade tensions and uncertainty drive a recessionary trend.
The Geneva-based WTO said disruption of US-China trade was expected to increase Chinese merchandise exports across all regions outside North America by between 4% and 9%.
Other countries would have opportunities to fill the gap in the United States in sectors such as textiles, clothing and electrical equipment.
Services trade, though not subject to tariffs, would also take a hit, the WTO said, by weakening demand related to goods trade such as transport and logistics. Broader uncertainty could dampen spending on travel and investment-related services.
The WTO said it expected commercial services trade to grow by 4.0% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026, well below baseline projections of 5.1% and 4.8%.
The expected downturn follows a strong 2024, when the volume of world merchandise trade grew by 2.9% and commercial services trade expanded by 6.8%.