World Bank Officials: Cooperation in the Region Targets Development, Climate Protection

World Bank officials Paul Noumba Um and Marina Weiss (Asharq Al-Awsat)
World Bank officials Paul Noumba Um and Marina Weiss (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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World Bank Officials: Cooperation in the Region Targets Development, Climate Protection

World Bank officials Paul Noumba Um and Marina Weiss (Asharq Al-Awsat)
World Bank officials Paul Noumba Um and Marina Weiss (Asharq Al-Awsat)

World Bank officials stressed that climate challenges in the Middle East included water scarcity, food shortage, and energy security, noting that the Saudi Green Initiative was an example to follow in order to address these threats.

Asharq Al-Awsat interviewed Paul Noumba Um, the Regional Director of the World Bank’s Infrastructure Department in the MENA region, and Marina Weiss, Regional Director for Egypt, Yemen, and Djibouti, on the sidelines of the COP27 in Sharm el-Sheikh.

The two officials noted that the Bank paid great attention to the Middle East and North Africa region, saying that during the past year, it contributed about $32 billion in support to developing countries’ climate response.

“We believe that the climate problem is the most pressing issue of our time and for future generations, and (doing nothing) is not an option...Part of our action and our goal during our participation in COP27 is that we should not look at addressing climate change from the point of view of costs, but as a great opportunity that can be invested to obtain a better life…” they said.

Water scarcity

The two World Bank officials added: “In the Middle East and North Africa, 6 out of 10 people suffer from water scarcity. This is the main output of our analysis during the Country Climate Diagnostic Report, which highlighted this result in Morocco, Egypt, Jordan, and Iraq.”

Both Noumba Um and Weiss emphasized that water scarcity was a huge challenge. “If we do not deal with it properly, it may cause a violent mass displacement of the population to other areas, which in turn may be affected as a result of displacement and an increase in density compared to the available water,” they warned.

They said that it might also cause damage to life and the economy in large areas, as it may reduce national income between 3 and 6 percent by 2050.

“Water scarcity is reflected, of course, on food security, which is the second problem that is no less important,” they said.

The third challenge, according to the two officials, is energy security.

They noted that the MENA region was a sunny area that enjoyed the necessary land and manpower to use for energy transition.

Serious initiatives

On the Saudi Green initiatives, the two officials emphasized that Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States were seeking to address the three challenges of water, food, and energy.

They added that the Gulf countries have the largest reserves of oil and gas, “and most of them now possess - and are working on - technologies to reduce emissions from fossil energy... which goes in parallel with our efforts in the SCALE initiative, for example.”

Moreover, Noumba Um and Weiss pointed to progress in the production of green and blue hydrogen in the Gulf through technologies that are compatible with climate protection.

“So we conclude that the Gulf countries are on the right track, and have taken the agenda of dealing with climate change very seriously and as a high priority,” they remarked.

Extensive Efforts

Asked about the support provided by the World Bank to the MENA region, the two officials said: “We, with our partners, provided developing countries last year with about $32 billion to confront climate challenges.”

They noted that around half of the budget was dedicated to adaptation efforts, while the other part was for damage mitigation.

“This amount represents about 35 percent of our total financing during that period, which shows the extent of the Bank’s interest in climate issues,” they underlined.

The Bank also launched a new initiative called, SCALE, a new multi-partner fund to help reduce emissions, which will benefit the region and other developing countries.

Facing Displacement

On the World Bank’s efforts to face the problem of displacement, the two officials said: “We try primarily to prevent this from happening... We try to alert governments to the upcoming danger through our research and analysis, even if we are dealing with a fragile society (in conflict areas for example). We are also seeking to provide these societies with the necessary technologies and programs to resolve the crisis or stop its deterioration.”

Noumba Um praised the positive energy and active and broad participation from all parties at COP27.

“I don’t like to anticipate the results, because the challenges and files here are enormous,” he said, underlining the need to unify efforts “because we have no other options.”

He pointed out that some countries were facing existential crises.

“For example, water scarcity in Jordan has exceeded the maximum level ever recorded and allowed internationally,” he warned, saying that the country needed international and regional assistance to overcome the crisis and “to reduce water wastage and preserve every drop by all means.”



Venezuela Depreciation Risks Reversing Years of Inflation Gains

People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
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Venezuela Depreciation Risks Reversing Years of Inflation Gains

People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)
People walk through a market in the low-income Petare neighborhood, in Caracas, Venezuela November 16, 2024. (Reuters)

Currency depreciation is set to reverse years of declining inflation in economically beleaguered Venezuela, public and private sector sources say, as foreign currency sales fall short of demand and the socialist government keeps tight-lipped about its strategy.

After years of hyperinflation and amid broad US sanctions, in 2022 the administration of President Nicolas Maduro began using orthodox policies including credit restrictions, lower public spending, a fixed dollar-bolivar rate and central bank sales of billions of dollars in foreign currency to tamp down consumer prices.

Maduro, who will begin his third term in January after a disputed election that the opposition and international observers say he lost, has said his government defeated inflation of more than 100,000% and prices in 2024 are similar to those in 2014.

But the administration's policy has now changed.

After more than nine months of the exchange rate being held at 36.5 bolivars to the dollar, the government in mid-October allowed the currency to float, beginning a depreciation that has seen the bolivar slide to about 45 versus the dollar, according to central bank figures.

Analysts say the over-valued currency made imports cheaper than locally-produced goods, impacting Venezuela's private sector and helping push prices up by 12% in nine months.

The untethering of the exchange rate will also put upward pressure on prices in the final quarter of 2024, financial and business sources said, with analysts predicting in a LatinFocus survey the rate will end the year at 50 bolivars to the dollar.

Year-on-year inflation was 25% through September. Official figures for October have not yet been released.

"For nine months the depreciation of the currency was zero while inflation was rising, which exposed problems in the exchange scheme," said economics professor and consultant Daniel Cadenas, who added the market depends on oil income. "For the system to function, there needs to be a growing source of exchange and that's not possible."

The government had predicted internally that inflation would close the year at 30%, two sources with knowledge of the projection said, but depreciation could increase the figure and local analysts have estimated inflation between 35% and 40%.

"There has been a necessary adjustment in the exchange rate that will have an impact on inflation," said Asdrubal Oliveros, head of local think tank Ecoanalitica. "The government has understood it needs to devaluate."

REDUCED CENTRAL BANK SALES

Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, who until recently also served as finance minister, told an event with business people last month that there must be "reflection" about the use of foreign exchange.

"We should all be concerned with how foreign exchange is used in imports. It is a subject the Finance Ministry is reviewing," she said. "We need to take care of foreign exchange because this is a blockaded country and there cannot be cheap exchange for hair dye."

Rodriguez's comments are the only ones made on the subject by the government since devaluation began. Neither the central bank nor the communications or finance ministries responded to requests for comment.

Private sector demand for cheap foreign exchange increased during the nine months the rate was held, even as the quantity of dollars being injected into the market by the central bank was reduced, sources said.

In July the bank was offering some $800 million, but by October that figure had fallen to $400 million, according to calculations by local consultancy Sintesis Financiera.

The central bank did not respond to a question about the reduction.

"The strategy in exchange policy is not going ahead," a government source said, without giving further details.

Food and medicine companies in Venezuela are allowed to pay for some of their goods with foreign currency, while other companies are given central bank promissory notes indexed to a specific exchange rate.

Two private sector sources said many businesses are eating through their inventories in the face of import difficulties.