Jordan’s Draft 2023 Budget Forecasts Lower Deficit, Steady Economic Growth 

A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
TT

Jordan’s Draft 2023 Budget Forecasts Lower Deficit, Steady Economic Growth 

A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)

Finance Minister Mohamad Al Ississ said on Wednesday that Jordan's draft 2023 budget forecasts 11.4 billion dinars ($16 billion) in state expenditure as the economy's recovery gathers pace. 

Al Ississ said in a statement the budget deficit was expected to fall to 2.9% of GDP next year from 3.4% this year with improved state revenues as the country's IMF-backed reforms yield results in enhanced fiscal consolidation. 

The budget, which a cabinet session earlier approved, foresaw total revenues next year at 9.5 billion dinars, with 802 million dinars in foreign grants, a slight rise from this year's 796 million dinars. 

Nearly 60% of state expenditure goes toward salaries and pensions in a country with a $50 billion economy. 

Jordan has met most of the fiscal and monetary targets since a major IMF program began in March 2020, closing tax loopholes and widening the tax base and maintaining $16 billion of adequate foreign currency reserves, the IMF said earlier this month. 

Al Ississ said next year's growth was expected to remain around 2.7 % at the same level forecast for this year despite a global recession and high interest rates. 

Jordan's growth has quickened in 2022 despite global economic turbulence, driven by strong progress in IMF-backed structural reforms that have cushioned the economy and strengthened macro-economic stability, the IMF added. 

The kingdom's commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country’s improved outlook helped it to maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, Al Ississ said. 

Ratings agency Moody’s upgraded Jordan’s credit outlook earlier this month from "stable" to "positive", shifting its overall rating from B1-stable to B1-positive. 



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
TT

Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.