Jordan’s Draft 2023 Budget Forecasts Lower Deficit, Steady Economic Growth 

A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
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Jordan’s Draft 2023 Budget Forecasts Lower Deficit, Steady Economic Growth 

A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)
A view of the Jordanian capital Amman during a coronavirus lockdown on February 26, 2021. (AFP)

Finance Minister Mohamad Al Ississ said on Wednesday that Jordan's draft 2023 budget forecasts 11.4 billion dinars ($16 billion) in state expenditure as the economy's recovery gathers pace. 

Al Ississ said in a statement the budget deficit was expected to fall to 2.9% of GDP next year from 3.4% this year with improved state revenues as the country's IMF-backed reforms yield results in enhanced fiscal consolidation. 

The budget, which a cabinet session earlier approved, foresaw total revenues next year at 9.5 billion dinars, with 802 million dinars in foreign grants, a slight rise from this year's 796 million dinars. 

Nearly 60% of state expenditure goes toward salaries and pensions in a country with a $50 billion economy. 

Jordan has met most of the fiscal and monetary targets since a major IMF program began in March 2020, closing tax loopholes and widening the tax base and maintaining $16 billion of adequate foreign currency reserves, the IMF said earlier this month. 

Al Ississ said next year's growth was expected to remain around 2.7 % at the same level forecast for this year despite a global recession and high interest rates. 

Jordan's growth has quickened in 2022 despite global economic turbulence, driven by strong progress in IMF-backed structural reforms that have cushioned the economy and strengthened macro-economic stability, the IMF added. 

The kingdom's commitment to IMF reforms and investor confidence in the country’s improved outlook helped it to maintain stable sovereign ratings at a time when other emerging markets were being downgraded, Al Ississ said. 

Ratings agency Moody’s upgraded Jordan’s credit outlook earlier this month from "stable" to "positive", shifting its overall rating from B1-stable to B1-positive. 



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.