Egypt Inflation Jumps to Five-year High in November

Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
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Egypt Inflation Jumps to Five-year High in November

Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)

Egypt's annual urban consumer inflation rate rose from 16.2 percent in October to 18.7 percent in November, the country's Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) said Thursday.

The inflation hike in November marks the highest increase since December 2017, when it reached 21.9 percent.

Egypt's annual headline inflation rate rose to 19.2 percent in November 2022, compared to 16.3 percent in the previous month.

On a monthly basis, the agency said that the general consumer price index for the total republic increased by 2.5 percent in November from October.

CAPMAS attributed the annual increase in the inflation rate for the entire republic to the increase in prices in sectors, foremost of which were: Food and beverages 30.9 percent, health care 12.4 percent, transport, and communications 16.6 percent, culture and entertainment sector 32.2 percent, and restaurants and hotels sector 30.1 percent.

In a press conference following the Cabinet's weekly meeting in the New Administrative Capital, Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said that there is a plan to provide hard currency and it will run on the short term until 30 June 2023.

The premier did not give further details of the plan, saying that some of the state's steps must not be announced in advance.

He revealed that the government is aware that there is a rise in prices and it attempts to alleviate the burden placed on the shoulders of the citizens.

Madbouly confirmed that the cabinet has set a plan to deal with the increasing prices, highlighting that most of the news spreading on social media “seek to harm the Egyptian economy”.

Meanwhile, the premier said on Wednesday that Egypt attracted about $9 billion in direct investments last year - the highest in 15 years.

“The state ownership policy document was finally approved,” Madbouli announced, stating that the government will be committed to implementing the state ownership policy document over the next three or five years.

He added that the investor, who wishes to obtain the golden license, applies directly to the Cabinet to shorten the distance and procedures.

Madbouly further announced that a committee has been formed to tackle the investors’ difficulties, noting that several measures and reforms were made to enhance the investment climate.



Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Turkish stocks jumped on Monday, bonds climbed and the lira rallied against the euro as news the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group was ending its four decade-long insurgency in the country added to US-China trade cheer.

Global share markets were enjoying a strong surge after the US and China agreed to slash tariffs, but Turkish equities outstripped most other bourses as they jumped more than 3%.

A PKK member said it was ceasing all military operations "immediately" following the group's decision to disband, a move that could boost NATO member Türkiye's political and economic stability.

The lira was up 1.3% against the euro and steady against the dollar, while its international market bonds, which have been losing ground for the last six months, were up nearly 0.7 cents.

The PKK decision followed an appeal from its jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan in February to disband. It is set to have far-reaching political and security consequences for the region, including in neighboring Iraq and also in Syria, where Kurdish forces are allied with US forces.

Omer Celik, spokesperson for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling AK Party, said the PKK's decision to dissolve was "an important step toward a terror-free Türkiye".

There have been intermittent peace efforts over the years, most notably a ceasefire between 2013 and 2015 that ultimately collapsed.

The PKK's move should now give Erdogan the opportunity to boost spending in the mainly Kurdish southeast of Türkiye, where the insurgency has handicapped the regional economy for decades.

Analysts welcomed the PKK move but added a note of caution.

"It can only be good news," said Christopher Granville, managing director of EMEA & Global Political Research at investment advisory firm TS Lombard. "But is it decisive for the difficult Turkish investment case?"

He said the PKK issue was ultimately "secondary" to questions about Türkiye's recent arrest of Erdogan's main political rival, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, and the broader direction of its macroeconomic policy.

Those concerns have weighed on Turkish markets this year.

MSCI's Türkiye equities index is down more than 13% compared to a near 8% rise in its pan-emerging market index., while lira-denominated government bonds have cost investors more than 8% on a total returns basis.

The cost of insuring Ankara's government debt using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) has also shot up, although Monday's rally saw that ease back.

"A continuation of the pullback (in CDS levels) ... may support banking stocks, which have been the negatively differentiated sector in BIST (Turkish stocks index) in the last 2 months," Garanti BBVA Yatirim's Director Ozgur Yurtdasseven said.

Turkish banking stocks were up 3.8% on the day, but remain more than 16% down on the year in lira terms and more than 20% in dollar terms.