Unemployment Rate Continues to Decline among Saudis

The Saudi government is working on measures that stimulate the employment of citizens. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government is working on measures that stimulate the employment of citizens. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Unemployment Rate Continues to Decline among Saudis

The Saudi government is working on measures that stimulate the employment of citizens. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi government is working on measures that stimulate the employment of citizens. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s labor market indicators showed a decrease in the unemployment rate by 1.4 percentage points in the third quarter of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021.

The rate of participation of citizens in the labor force increased by 2.7 percentage points, and the ratio of the employed to the population increased by 3.1 percentage points, according to new data released by the Saudi General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT).

The unemployment rate for the total workers in the Kingdom reached 5.8% during the third quarter of this year, unchanged from the second quarter, while it decreased compared to 2021 by 0.8 percentage points.

Based on labor market statistics for the third quarter of 2022, the unemployment rate for Saudis reached 9.9%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, and the participation rate of citizens in the labor force increased by 0.7 percentage points, to reach 52.5%.

The ratio of the employed to the Saudi population also increased by 0.5 percentage points, to reach 47.3%, compared to the previous quarter.

According to the Labor Force Survey in the third quarter of this year, the unemployment rate among Saudi women rose to 20.5%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points compared to the previous quarter, while it decreased by 1.4 percentage points when measured with the same period of 2021.

On the other hand, the rate of participation in the labor force for Saudi women increased by 1.4 percentage points to 37%, while the rate of employed female citizens increased by 0.7 percentage points, or by 27.4%.

As for Saudi males, the unemployment rate recorded in the third quarter of 2022 was 4.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous quarter, and a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from 2021.

In January, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development announced the entry into force of the decision to localize customer service professions, and the second phase of legal professions, across the Kingdom, after the end of the specified grace period.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.