Egypt's December Inflation Accelerates to Annual 21.3%

The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
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Egypt's December Inflation Accelerates to Annual 21.3%

The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel
The cleaning tools that are made from feathers are displayed at a shop in the Toulon Quarter of Cairo, Egypt, November 30, 2021. REUTERS/Hayam Adel

Egyptian annual urban consumer inflation in December rose to 21.3% from 18.7% in November, exceeding analyst expectations, data from the statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Tuesday.

The inflation figure was the highest since December 2017, when it hit 21.9%. The price rises followed a currency devaluation in October and restrictions on imports.

The median forecast in a Reuters poll of 15 economists had projected inflation of 20.50%. Five economists also forecast that core inflation would come in at a median 23.6%, up from 21.5% in November.

The central bank allowed the Egyptian pound to depreciate by about 14.5% on Oct. 27 and let its value continue to weaken slowly and incrementally in November and December.

"Food and beverages were up 4.6% month-on-month (adding to the 4.5% in November), impacted mainly by bread and cereals, dairy, vegetables and meat," said Allen Sandeep of Naeem Brokerage.

This goes somewhat towards absorbing a 25% devaluation in late October but portends more inflation to come, Sandeep said.

"Now combined monthly inflation has risen by around 7% over three months. This is close to a 30% pass through to the urban CPI index. With the new round of devaluation ongoing, which we expect to be roughly 15%, we can expect annual CPI to touch 25% by February."

Egypt's surging prices will add to pressure on the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee to raise interest rates when it next meets on Feb. 2.



SABIC Expects Capital Expenditure of $4 Bn in 2025

One of the Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) plants... (SPA)
One of the Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) plants... (SPA)
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SABIC Expects Capital Expenditure of $4 Bn in 2025

One of the Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) plants... (SPA)
One of the Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) plants... (SPA)

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), one of the world’s largest petrochemical companies, reported a net loss of 1.21 billion riyals ($322.6 million) for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting continued pressure on the global petrochemical sector.

Despite this, the company is maintaining disciplined capital investment management, with capital expenditure expected to range between $3.5 billion and $4 billion in 2025.

The loss was primarily attributed to a 1.05 billion riyal decline in gross profit, driven by rising feedstock prices, along with non-recurring costs of 1.07 billion riyals linked to a strategic restructuring initiative aimed at streamlining annual costs by approximately 345 million riyals and improving long-term operational efficiency.

SABIC CEO Abdulrahman Al-Fageeh, speaking at a press conference following the release of the company’s results, highlighted ongoing challenges in the global economy, including a slowdown in global GDP growth.

 

 

“The first quarter business environment was marked by uncertainty, with global economic growth at just 2.97%, along with a slowdown in the manufacturing PMI, which intensified challenges for the sector,” he said.

Despite the losses, Al-Fageeh noted SABIC's remarkable resilience, supported by what he described as “stable demand” for petrochemicals. He emphasized the company’s continued focus on operational excellence and its transformation efforts throughout the year.

SABIC projects its capital expenditure to range between $3.5 billion and $4 billion in 2025, reaffirming its commitment to creating long-term value through operational excellence, transformation, and systematic growth as part of its future vision.

Mohammed Al-Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, commented to Asharq Al-Awsat that initial forecasts from various research firms prior to the results announcement were mixed. While some expected a significant year-on-year drop in net profit, others predicted revenue growth.

“Looking at the reported results, we see that revenue aligned with expectations, indicating slight year-on-year growth, while the reported net loss was smaller than some estimates, which had anticipated larger losses,” Al-Farraj said.

“However, the results still fall short of profits from the same period last year. It is important to consider the impact of one-time restructuring costs when making comparisons,” he explained.