Oman's Inflation Rate Inches Close to 2%

Shoppers in a supermarket in Oman (Reuters)
Shoppers in a supermarket in Oman (Reuters)
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Oman's Inflation Rate Inches Close to 2%

Shoppers in a supermarket in Oman (Reuters)
Shoppers in a supermarket in Oman (Reuters)

The inflation rate of the Consumers Price Index (CPI) in Oman stood at 1.98 percent during December 2022, according to the latest data issued by the National Centre for Statistics and Information (NCSI).

Oman News Agency (ONA) reported on Sunday an increase in the prices of primary groups in December 2022 compared to the corresponding period in 2021.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages rose by 5.4 percent, restaurants and hotels by 4.05 percent, health by 3.82 percent, furniture, household equipment, and routine household maintenance increased by 2.27 percent, and housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels saw a 0.63 percent hike.

Inflation declined in the communications group by 0.06 percent and stabilized in the tobacco group.

Prices also went up for oils and fats by 19.49 percent, meats by 8.42 percent, milk, cheese, and eggs by 7.65 percent, fruits by 6.51 percent, non-alcoholic beverages by 5.43 percent, bread and cereals by 5.10 percent, other foodstuffs by 2.75 percent and sugar, jam, honey and sweets by 2.33 percent.

The prices of fish and seafood dropped by 5.80 percent and vegetables by 1.03 percent.

Meanwhile, the Global Integrated Energy Group (OQ) inaugurated a new ammonia plant in Dhofar with a production capacity of 1,000 metric tons per day of liquid ammonia.

ONA reported that the $463 million project contributes to enhancing the utilization of the natural resources of Oman and supporting efforts and plans for economic diversification.

It also aims to promote the export of Omani products to global markets.

CEO of OQ Group Talal al-Awfi confirmed that the plant is working to make the most of the hydrogen-rich gas produced from the Salalah Methanol Plant to maximize its utilization and convert it into ammonia to be marketed to various local, regional, and global markets.

Omani youth represent about 80 percent of the project's total workforce.

Awfi pointed out that the factory recently exported five ammonia shipments via Salalah Port through the OQ Trading Company, the group's trading arm, to enhance Omani exports abroad.

The demand for liquid ammonia is growing steadily in the global markets, as it is included in manufacturing many products such as fertilizers, cleaning products, and refrigeration devices.

Awfi also noted that ammonia produces green hydrogen, a vital OQ Energy Transition Agenda component.

OQ is a globally integrated energy company with roots in Oman, operating in 17 countries. It covers the entire value chain from exploration and production to marketing and distribution of end-user products.

Its fuels and chemicals are sold in over 60 countries worldwide, making it a prominent player in the energy sector



Euro Zone Poised to Enter Trade Quagmire as Trump Wins

A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
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Euro Zone Poised to Enter Trade Quagmire as Trump Wins

A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)
A container ship unloads its cargo in the German port of Hamburg (Reuters)

As Trump 2.0 becomes a reality, Europe is poised to enter a new geopolitical and trade quagmire with its biggest trading partner.

Donald Trump's victory may harm Europe's economy as proposed 10% US tariffs risk hitting European exports such as cars and chemicals, eroding Europe's GDP by up to 1.5% or about €260 billion.

Analysts warn of European Central Bank (ECB) rate cuts, euro weakness, and a recession risk.

According to several economic analyses, there is broad agreement that Trump's proposed 10% universal tariff on all US imports may significantly disrupt European growth, intensify monetary policy divergence, and strain key trade-dependent sectors such as autos and chemicals.

The long-term effects on Europe's economic resilience could prove even more significant if tariffs lead to protracted trade conflicts, prompting the European Central Bank (ECB) to respond with aggressive rate cuts to cushion the impact, according to Euronews.

Trump's proposed across-the-board tariff on imports, including those from Europe, could profoundly impact sectors such as cars and chemicals, which rely heavily on US exports.

Data from the European Commission shows that the European Union exported €502.3 billion in goods to the US in 2023, making up a fifth of all non-European Union exports.

European exports to the US are led by machinery and vehicles (€207.6 billion), chemicals (€137.4 billion), and other manufactured goods (€103.7 billion), which together comprise nearly 90% of the bloc's transatlantic exports.

ABN Amro analysts, including head of macro research Bill Diviney, warn that tariffs “would cause a collapse in exports to the US,” with trade-oriented economies such as Germany and the Netherlands likely to be hardest hit.

According to the Dutch bank, Trump's tariffs would shave approximately 1.5 percentage points off European growth, translating to a potential €260 bn economic loss based on Europe's estimated 2024 GDP of €17.4 tn.

Should Europe's growth falter under Trump's tariffs, the European Central Bank (ECB) may be compelled to respond aggressively, slashing rates to near zero by 2025.

In contrast, the US Federal Reserve may continue raising rates, leading to “one of the biggest and most sustained monetary policy divergences” between the ECB and the Fed since the euro's inception in 1999.

Dirk Schumacher, head of European macro research at Natixis Corporate & Investment Banking Germany, suggests that a 10% tariff increase could reduce GDP by approximately 0.5% in Germany, 0.3% in France, 0.4% in Italy, and 0.2% in Spain.

Schumacher warns that “the euro area could slide into recession in response to higher tariffs.”

According to Goldman Sachs' economists James Moberly and Sven Jari Stehn, the broad tariff would likely erode eurozone GDP by approximately 1%.

Goldman Sachs analysts project that a 1% GDP loss translates into a hit to earnings per share (EPS) for European firms by 6-7 percentage points, which would be sufficient to erase expected EPS growth for 2025.