Morocco’s Central Bank Caps its First Treasury Bond Purchases

A tourist buys locally-manufactured Argan oil from one of the stores in Moroccan Essaouira (AFP)
A tourist buys locally-manufactured Argan oil from one of the stores in Moroccan Essaouira (AFP)
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Morocco’s Central Bank Caps its First Treasury Bond Purchases

A tourist buys locally-manufactured Argan oil from one of the stores in Moroccan Essaouira (AFP)
A tourist buys locally-manufactured Argan oil from one of the stores in Moroccan Essaouira (AFP)

Morocco's central bank said on Thursday it planned to limit its first-ever liquidity-boosting purchase operations of treasury bonds to 25 billion dirhams ($2.5 billion), citing the dampening impact of market uncertainty over rate outlook on demand.

The central bank has so far injected 16.2 billion dirhams ($1.6 billion) through treasury bond purchases on Jan. 9 and Jan. 16.

The move comes amid lower demand for treasury bonds due to "fears of investors regarding the evolution of the benchmark interest rate," Younes Issami of the Bank's monetary policy and foreign exchange department told a news conference.

Morocco's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate in December by 50 basis points to 2.5 percent as it looks to curb inflation.

"Most investors have no visibility on the evolution of rates ... They preferred to wait rather than invest," he said.

The Moroccan central bank limited the purchases to bonds with less than a year maturity issued less than a month ago, he said.

Buying treasury bonds is a tool of "boosting liquidity without affecting the central bank’s monetary policy," Issami said.

Separately, Morocco is considering issuing an international bond in 2023 most likely in US dollars, he said.

Morocco hopes to regain its investment grade as it expects to leave the "grey list" of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) which is currently visiting the country.

The bond issuance is not conditioned on the retrieval of the investment grade which Morocco lost in 2020, Issami said.

Foreign debt represented 15.5 percent of Moroccan gross domestic product in 2022 and is expected to rise to 16.5 percent in both 2023 and 2024, according to central bank figures.

Morocco's economic growth is expected to recover to 3.3 percent in 2023 after 1.3 percent in 2022, the High Commission for Planning expected Moroccan said last week.

"Uncertainties linked primarily to the progress of the war in Ukraine, interest rates, and epidemic and climatic risks" will decide how much the economy actually grows in 2023, Ayache Khellaf, secretary general of the HCP said at a press conference in Rabat.



Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
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Turkish Stocks Jump as PKK Disbandment Adds to Trade Relief

 People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)
People walk on a small street leads that to the historical Galata Tower in Istanbul, Türkiye, April 25, 2025. (Reuters)

Turkish stocks jumped on Monday, bonds climbed and the lira rallied against the euro as news the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) militant group was ending its four decade-long insurgency in the country added to US-China trade cheer.

Global share markets were enjoying a strong surge after the US and China agreed to slash tariffs, but Turkish equities outstripped most other bourses as they jumped more than 3%.

A PKK member said it was ceasing all military operations "immediately" following the group's decision to disband, a move that could boost NATO member Türkiye's political and economic stability.

The lira was up 1.3% against the euro and steady against the dollar, while its international market bonds, which have been losing ground for the last six months, were up nearly 0.7 cents.

The PKK decision followed an appeal from its jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan in February to disband. It is set to have far-reaching political and security consequences for the region, including in neighboring Iraq and also in Syria, where Kurdish forces are allied with US forces.

Omer Celik, spokesperson for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling AK Party, said the PKK's decision to dissolve was "an important step toward a terror-free Türkiye".

There have been intermittent peace efforts over the years, most notably a ceasefire between 2013 and 2015 that ultimately collapsed.

The PKK's move should now give Erdogan the opportunity to boost spending in the mainly Kurdish southeast of Türkiye, where the insurgency has handicapped the regional economy for decades.

Analysts welcomed the PKK move but added a note of caution.

"It can only be good news," said Christopher Granville, managing director of EMEA & Global Political Research at investment advisory firm TS Lombard. "But is it decisive for the difficult Turkish investment case?"

He said the PKK issue was ultimately "secondary" to questions about Türkiye's recent arrest of Erdogan's main political rival, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, and the broader direction of its macroeconomic policy.

Those concerns have weighed on Turkish markets this year.

MSCI's Türkiye equities index is down more than 13% compared to a near 8% rise in its pan-emerging market index., while lira-denominated government bonds have cost investors more than 8% on a total returns basis.

The cost of insuring Ankara's government debt using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) has also shot up, although Monday's rally saw that ease back.

"A continuation of the pullback (in CDS levels) ... may support banking stocks, which have been the negatively differentiated sector in BIST (Turkish stocks index) in the last 2 months," Garanti BBVA Yatirim's Director Ozgur Yurtdasseven said.

Turkish banking stocks were up 3.8% on the day, but remain more than 16% down on the year in lira terms and more than 20% in dollar terms.