4 Gulf Banks Raise Interest Rates by 0.25%, Qatar Holds

The city of Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The city of Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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4 Gulf Banks Raise Interest Rates by 0.25%, Qatar Holds

The city of Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The city of Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The majority of central banks in the Gulf region raised the main interest rates on Thursday, following a decision by the US Federal Reserve to raise its key policy rate by 0.25%, in an effort to counter inflation.

Qatar kept the interest rate unchanged, while the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA), the Central Bank of the UAE, the Central Bank of Oman and the Central Bank of Bahrain announced in separate statements they would raise their rates by 0.25%.

The Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) said it increased its key interest rates by 25 basis points, following the US Federal Reserve’s move. It added that it lifted its repurchase agreement (repo) and reverse repo rates by 25 bps to 5.25% and 4.75%, respectively.

Similarly, the UAE Central Bank raised its base rate for the overnight deposit facility (ODF) by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.65 percent, from 4.4 percent, effective from Thursday.

For its part, the Central Bank of Bahrain increased its key rate on one-week deposits by 25 bps to 5.5 percent, citing “development of the international financial market and… to ensure the smooth functioning of the money markets in the kingdom”.

On the other hand, the Qatar Central Bank (QCB) decided to keep the current interest rates unchanged, saying that it would maintain the repo rate at 5.25 per cent, the deposit rate at 5 percent and the lending rate at 5.5 percent.

“The Qatar Central Bank aims to keep current interest rates at appropriate levels to support economic growth,” the QCB said in a statement.

“The step-down in the magnitude of the rate hike is positive for the GCC, who have not required such an aggressive tightening cycle,” said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank.

“We expect to see some greater impact of the rate hikes this year on credit demand, though the investment programs should provide some support for credit growth,” she added.



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.