Egypt Private Sector Activity Slides for 26th Month in Row

 Egyptian vegetable and fruit seller waits for customers at a popular market in Cairo, Egypt, January 18, 2023. REUTERS/Hadeer Mahmoud
Egyptian vegetable and fruit seller waits for customers at a popular market in Cairo, Egypt, January 18, 2023. REUTERS/Hadeer Mahmoud
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Egypt Private Sector Activity Slides for 26th Month in Row

 Egyptian vegetable and fruit seller waits for customers at a popular market in Cairo, Egypt, January 18, 2023. REUTERS/Hadeer Mahmoud
Egyptian vegetable and fruit seller waits for customers at a popular market in Cairo, Egypt, January 18, 2023. REUTERS/Hadeer Mahmoud

A contraction in Egyptian non-oil private sector activity entered its 26th straight month as high inflation and a continued shortage of foreign currency weighed on business, a survey showed on Sunday.

The S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) slipped to 45.5 in January from 47.2 in December, well below the 50.0 threshold that marks growth in activity.

"The Egyptian non-oil economy suffered a sharp contraction in operating conditions in January, as a depreciation of the pound drove a rapid acceleration in price pressures," S&P Global said, Reuters reported.

The PMI's sub-index for overall input prices climbed to 72.3 from December's 65.0 and that for purchase prices rose to 72.7, its highest reading since the months after Egypt devalued its currency by half after an earlier IMF agreement in 2016. The purchase price sub-index was at 64.3 in December.

"Roughly half of all surveyed firms saw their purchasing costs increase since the end of last year, leading to a robust and quicker rise in overall expenses," S&P Global said.

Headline inflation in Egypt surged to a five-year high of 21.3% in December, the state statistics organization reported last month.

The increased inflationary pressures and the impact on demand led to a sharp contraction in output across the non-oil sector in January, S&P Global said.

"Some firms added that import restrictions led to further supply shortfalls, which hindered activity and contributed to a sustained rise in backlogs of work."



Gold Falls from Two-week Highs as Dollar Ticks Up

A woman holds a gold ornament at a jewellery shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/ File Photo
A woman holds a gold ornament at a jewellery shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/ File Photo
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Gold Falls from Two-week Highs as Dollar Ticks Up

A woman holds a gold ornament at a jewellery shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/ File Photo
A woman holds a gold ornament at a jewellery shop in the old quarters of Delhi, India, May 24, 2023. REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis/ File Photo

Gold slipped from a near two-week high on Tuesday as the dollar firmed, though losses were capped by bolstered bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Spot gold was down 0.5% at $3,354.56 per ounce, by 1220 GMT. Bullion hit its highest since July 24 on Monday at $3,385.29. US gold futures also fell 0.5% to $3,408.20.

The dollar index rose 0.2% from a one-week low hit earlier in the session, reducing gold's appeal to other currency holders.

Data on Friday showed employment growth in the US slowed more than anticipated in July, with payroll revisions for May and June slashing a hefty 258,000 jobs from previous tallies, Reuters reported.

The CME FedWatch tool now puts the odds of a September cut at nearly 88%, up from 63% a week earlier, with markets largely pricing in at least two quarter-point reductions this year.

"What gold needs to move higher from here is probably (another) weaker US economic data... The other item gold is watching is who US President Trump names as next Fed Governor, potentially the successor of Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell," said UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Trump's dismissal of the labour statistics chief following the weak payrolls report, coupled with news that he will appoint a new Fed governor, added to uncertainty.

Trump also threatened to lift tariffs on Indian goods beyond last month's 25% hike, citing India's continued purchases of Russian oil.

Gold, long seen as a safe haven in times of political and economic uncertainty, typically performs well in a low-interest-rate environment.

"I still do not see traders pushing up aggressively above the $3,450 level unless we have a very clear catalyst," OANDA senior market analyst, Kelvin Wong, said.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.2% to $37.45 per ounce, platinum lost 1.1% to $1,314.50 and palladium shed 1.8% to $1,184.94.

South Africa-based miner Sibanye-Stillwater has asked the United States to consider imposing a tariff on Russian palladium imports to support the long-term viability of US supplies.