Oil Rises on China Outlook, Supply Worries after Türkiye Quake

An oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
An oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
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Oil Rises on China Outlook, Supply Worries after Türkiye Quake

An oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
An oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo

Oil prices rose for a second straight session on Tuesday, driven by optimism about recovering demand in China, and concerns over supply shortages following the shutdown of a major export terminal after an earthquake in Türkiye.

Brent crude futures rose 82 cents, or 1.01%, to $81.81 per barrel by 0300 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate futures rose 82 cents, or 1.11%, to $74.93 per barrel.

"Crude prices are rising on expectations that China's recovery will take hold and on supply outages from the earthquake that devastated Türkiye," Reuters quoted Edward Moya, analyst at OANDA, as saying.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects half of this year's global oil demand growth to come from China, the agency's chief said on Sunday, adding that jet fuel demand was surging.

Operations at Türkiye's 1 million barrel per day (bpd) oil export terminal in Ceyhan were halted after a major earthquake hit the region. The BTC terminal, which exports Azeri crude oil to international markets, will be closed on Feb. 6-8.

Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ bank in Sydney, also pointed to the shutdown of the 535,000-bpd Phase 1 of the Johan Sverdrup oil field in Norway's area of the North Sea as a major driver of prices.

The oil markets will closely watch the US Federal Reserve's chair Jerome Powell's speech on Wednesday, analysts said. Interest rate hikes typically strengthen the dollar, which could make crude more expensive for non-American buyers.

"The rebound in oil prices is more like a cautious move ahead of Fed Powell's speech tomorrow, when the Fed chairman may provide more clues on the future rate hike path," Tina Teng, an analyst at CMC Markets, said.



Gold Steady as Inflation Data Sparks Caution over Fed Rate Outlook

Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Steady as Inflation Data Sparks Caution over Fed Rate Outlook

Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold prices held steady on Thursday as investors assessed a wave of economic data indicating persistent US inflation, hinting that the Federal Reserve may proceed cautiously with further interest rate cuts.
Spot gold held its ground at $2,637.78 per ounce, as of 0739 GMT.
US gold futures edged 0.1% lower to $2,637.30.
The market is focusing on the Fed's rate cuts, with the latest core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data suggesting slowing inflation, leading to expectations that the Fed's policy next year might be less dovish than previously projected, said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.
The Fed's struggle to bring inflation back to its 2% target, combined with the possibility of higher tariffs under the upcoming Trump administration may constrain the central bank's ability to implement rate cuts next year.
Markets now see a 68.2% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in December, as per the CME group's FedWatch tool.
Elsewhere, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum warned of retaliation if Trump enforces a 25% tariff, citing potential US job losses and higher consumer prices.
Gold is regarded as a safe-haven investment during periods of economic or geopolitical instability, including trade wars.
Trading is expected to be thin with US markets closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday.
In the short term, particularly over the next few days to two weeks, gold could come under further pressure, Wong said, adding the longer-term bullish trend for gold, however, remains intact.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.10% to 878.55 metric tons on Wednesday.
Spot silver fell 0.8% to $29.84 per ounce, platinum edged 0.1% higher to $928.10 and palladium added 0.6% to $978.05.